BJMB Post Season Survivor Prizes sponsored by Tercet/Admin

[Dick_Pole]

Picking solely on starting pitching is the reason that Vegas makes so much money on baseball.

 

Well, this ain't Vegas, this is a survival pool. No one is paying out an extra 50% to take Nats with Sanchez instead of Scherzer here.

[Dick_Pole]

I don't think you know what improbable means

 

He means rolling with a winning streak that would end with him winning the pool if he wasn't kicked out for the late pick. Everyone else understood that. Even Jim.

[BTS]

Day 6: Dodgers

 

Let's keep the improbable rolling lol

 

Weren't you eliminated?

[Jimcanuck]

dodgers

[Laika]

Weren't you eliminated?

 

Yes lol

[Boxcar]

He means rolling with a winning streak that would end with him winning the pool if he wasn't kicked out for the late pick. Everyone else understood that. Even Jim.

 

Not sure what's more improbable about him doing it vs literally everyone else but ok

[Laika]

Are any of the Nats good starters available out of the pen?

[Dick_Pole]

Not sure what's more improbable about him doing it vs literally everyone else but ok

 

1/22 = 4.5%. That sounds pretty improbable to me. I mean, he's got a way better shot than what your PPC guys are polling so maybe you're just in denial over the definition of improbable is.

[jays4life19]

P2F is going with the Dodgers.

[Candy Maldonado]

Dodgers for the win!

[Dick_Pole]

Are any of the Nats good starters available out of the pen?

 

Scherzer's for game four and Strasburg likely game five so I assume Corbin is a candidate to work out of the pen tonight and the rest of the games. Unless they switch it up and put Strasburg in the pen but I doubt he'd be a candidate to work tonight.

[TheHurl]

Well, this ain't Vegas, this is a survival pool. No one is paying out an extra 50% to take Nats with Sanchez instead of Scherzer here.

 

I was speaking more that the Nats are a .500 team in Scherzer starts this year. Including 6 - 9 in Washington. He was among the most profitable pitchers to bet against this year (I think DeGrom was the most profitable). I understand what you are saying and what everyone is doing but there are very few baseball games that hit better than 60% chance

[Boxcar]

Man, I really hope the Dodgers lose today.

[Brownie19]

Day 6 - Braves

 

I'm going to change this pick to the Dodgers. Thanks.

[jays4life19]

I'm going to change this pick to the Dodgers. Thanks.

 

I got chu

[DrSunshine]

Braves

[Laika]

Change me to LAD please

[AintNoThang]

You dudes who are changing from Braves to Dodgers are going to regret it bigly!

[Dick_Pole]

At this point I'll take the Dodgers losing if the Braves lose too. If I'm going down, I want to take a bunch of loudmouths who think betting against Wainwright is today's easier pick with me.

[AintNoThang]

At this point I'll take the Dodgers losing if the Braves lose too. If I'm going down, I want to take a bunch of loudmouths who think betting against Wainwright is today's easier pick with me.

 

I'm not necessarily betting against Wainwright, but I'm betting for the Braves offense.

[TheHurl]

I'm not necessarily betting against Wainwright, but I'm betting for the Braves offense.

 

in St. Louis. Not a good bet.

[Boxcar]

in St. Louis. Not a good bet.

 

This makes me feel a lot better

[Boxcar]

At this point I'll take the Dodgers losing if the Braves lose too. If I'm going down, I want to take a bunch of loudmouths who think betting against Wainwright is today's easier pick with me.

 

Lick my chode

[TheHurl]

This makes me feel a lot better

 

All I'm saying is that it is a great candidate for an under. I'll happily compare my single game sports betting to you. Last time I tracked I believe I was 51% on betting dogs in baseball.

[Krylian]

You dudes who are changing from Braves to Dodgers are going to regret it bigly!

 

They just don't want to listen to the Pole of Dick.

[Laika]

Wainwright and Sanchez are both mediocre.

 

Ryu and Soroka are both quite good. Both are on the road.

 

Braves offense is good, Cards is okay. Dodgers offense is very good, Nats is good.

 

I don't care about rookie / veteran narrative stuff. All noise.

 

Braves are probably ~55% favourites. I think the Dodgers went from a similar number to maybe 57% or something like that once Scherzer was not starting.

 

Love the false sense of predictive power that some people get just because they own some stocks or have ~20 years experience betting on sports and probably not winning big in the aggregate.

[Boxcar]

All I'm saying is that it is a great candidate for an under. I'll happily compare my single game sports betting to you. Last time I tracked I believe I was 51% on betting dogs in baseball.

 

I don't bet on sports so nothing to compare

[Laika]

nvm just checked Waino's statcast page. Wish I went with the Cards.

 

[jays4life19]

lol

[jays4life19]

FWIW, Vdub said she has a highly sophisticated computer projection system that spit out the STL pick.