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Community Moderator
Posted

Just watched a bunch of Park video to form my own amateur scouting report.

 

WOULD.

BUY.

 

Swing actually reminds me of Donaldson. I'd spend $50M on him, comfortably.

Posted
Just watched a bunch of Park video to form my own amateur scouting report.

 

WOULD.

BUY.

 

Swing actually reminds me of Donaldson. I'd spend $50M on him, comfortably.

You wouldn't have to. He's looking for maybe $25M + posting fee.

Posted
You wouldn't have to. He's looking for maybe $25M + posting fee.

 

With some of the recent success of these guys, how come there seems to be such little interest and low bids? $13M bid wins it? Plus salary, even if he flops, how is that a fantastic gamble?

Community Moderator
Posted
With some of the recent success of these guys, how come there seems to be such little interest and low bids? $13M bid wins it? Plus salary, even if he flops, how is that a fantastic gamble?

 

There have also been failures, you just don't think of them. This guy had 161 K's in 140 games in Japan.

Posted
There have also been failures, you just don't think of them. This guy had 161 K's in 140 games in Japan.

 

Not too far off from Kang's %. 50HR the last two seasons. But Eric Thames is also mashing there, so I get that. But still seems like it would be a decent gamble.

Community Moderator
Posted
Wow the Tigers are hiring Jay Sartori to run their analytics.

 

Says a lot about AA and analytics. Sartori didn't want to run that show in Toronto, obviously.

 

I guess being "Senior Director of Baseball Operations and Analytics" is a lot better than being "Senior Director of Sheehan, Pare, and maybe 1 or 2 interns depending on the month"

Posted
Says a lot about AA and analytics. Sartori didn't want to run that show in Toronto, obviously.

 

I guess being "Senior Director of Baseball Operations and Analytics" is a lot better than being "Senior Director of Sheehan, Pare, and maybe 1 or 2 interns depending on the month"

There was no Pare when Sartori was there. Just Sheehan.

Posted

Toronto analytics system and department is much larger than Tigers. They had nothing until 2 months ago. Literally no analytics department.

 

Now they have Sartori + a guy I know. 2 people.

Community Moderator
Posted
Toronto analytics system and department is much larger than Tigers. They had nothing until 2 months ago. Literally no analytics department.

 

Now they have Sartori + a guy I know. 2 people.

 

Kiley McDaniel was saying on a podcast a few weeks ago that the ceiling for a pure analytics guy in an MLB org is basically director of analytics. I'm surprised someone like Sartori would leave a good job with apple to run a 3-person division with a glass ceiling.

Community Moderator
Posted
Toronto analytics system and department is much larger than Tigers. They had nothing until 2 months ago. Literally no analytics department.

 

Now they have Sartori + a guy I know. 2 people.

 

lol

Posted
Kiley McDaniel was saying on a podcast a few weeks ago that the ceiling for a pure analytics guy in an MLB org is basically director of analytics. I'm surprised someone like Sartori would leave a good job with apple to run a 3-person division with a glass ceiling.

Nah, AGM is definitely attainable if you are personable. Then GM from there. There are the nerd types who aren't that personable that will have that ceiling though.

Community Moderator
Posted
Nah, AGM is definitely attainable if you are personable. Then GM from there. There are the nerd types who aren't that personable that will have that ceiling though.

 

Must have been Kiley's scouting bias showing through.

Posted
Must have been Kiley's scouting bias showing through.

The podcast where he went through what everyone in a front office does? That was a great episode.

Community Moderator
Posted
The podcast where he went through what everyone in a front office does? That was a great episode.

 

That was the one.

Posted
Apparently the Tigers are hiring Chris Long (former Padres analytics guy, active on Twitter) too as a consultant. Interesting.
  • 3 weeks later...
Posted
Can someone write about Happ (GD maybe)? The fan and media reaction is terrible; they need someone to set them straight with facts. A good article would get great readership imo.
Posted
Can someone write about Happ (GD maybe)? The fan and media reaction is terrible; they need someone to set them straight with facts. A good article would get great readership imo.

 

Get me FRIAS numbers!

Posted

I'll run FRIAS tomorrow Jacob, thanks for asking for it and reminding me.

 

I was going to release FRIAS with the Saber Resource rollout but that can't happen now. I may continue to run SR as a private site though and will look into how much more time it would take to get the FRIAS and TIPS calculated properly.

Posted (edited)

Alright I ran FRIAS in R using the models from pre-2015. I sent the results to Nick and Jacob and can send them to others (along with the R file and input CSV) on request.

 

As before, it's important to remember that FRIAS doesn't try to be a full projection system. It doesn't regress rates based on sample size. It just says "what DIPS talent level did the pitcher display in the season?"

 

If FRIAS was being first created this offseason, it would be called HILL (Hurlers' Intuitive Latitudes Leveraged) in honour of Rich.

 

Edit: A few of the TBF and IP numbers are messed up because of name differences. I can re-send if needed with the fixes.

Edited by NorthOf49

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