2015 Annual Win Prediction Thread

[Deadpool]

1010101

 

I hate how long it took me to convert that to decimal. I used to be able to do that s*** so f***ing quickly.

[Gen.Disarray]

83.

[Rusty_Savage]

87. I think Sanchez struggles early on so Aa goes out and get a stater and move Sanchez to the BP.

[KingKat]

I hate how long it took me to convert that to decimal. I used to be able to do that s*** so f***ing quickly.

 

Is there a short hand method or do you just have to start a 1 and work your way up until you're there?

[Deadpool]

Is there a short hand method or do you just have to start a 1 and work your way up until you're there?

 

It's actually easier to count the digits and start from the left. Haven't had to do it since my CCNA (my prof wouldn't allow binary calculators so we had to do it either on paper or in our heads...) which was nearly 3 years ago now, so I'm way, way slower on it.

[KingKat]

It's actually easier to count the digits and start from the left. Haven't had to do it since my CCNA (my prof wouldn't allow binary calculators so we had to do it either on paper or in our heads...) which was nearly 3 years ago now, so I'm way, way slower on it.

 

Still don't get it but I'm probably too old for this particular new trick.

[Deadpool]

Still don't get it but I'm probably too old for this particular new trick.

 

1010101 is 7 digits long, the 7th digit (from the right) is 64, 5th is 16, 3rd is 4, 1st is 1... So 64+16+4+1 = 85. (I just find it's easier to go left to right than right to left, but maybe that's not easiest for everyone).

[KingKat]

1010101 is 7 digits long, the 7th digit (from the right) is 64, 5th is 16, 3rd is 4, 1st is 1... So 64+16+4+1 = 85. (I just find it's easier to go left to right than right to left, but maybe that's not easiest for everyone).

 

O.K. so the trick is to memorize what 1, 10, 100, 1000, etc. represent and then add up wichever ones are visually represented in the sequence?

[Deadpool]

O.K. so the trick is to memorize what 1, 10, 100, 1000, etc. represent and then add up wichever ones are visually represented in the sequence?

 

Yeah. So, for networking, we work with octets. So they go as follows... 128,64,32,16,8,4,2,1 and 1 is "on" while 0 is "off". so, for example, 11010001 would be 128 + 64 + 16 + 1 or 209. (this is why network addresses max out at 255, or 11111111).

[crmr]

I'll go with 85

[Olerud363]

I want to change my prediction....

 

I have found a new item that adds some information that was missing...

 

There is an article on the Blue Jays site that says Jose Reyes is going to concentrate more on getting on base, seeing pitches and scoring 120 runs...

 

This indicates to me an important point. Beeston really has no more influence. In past years Beeston would have Cito give the boys a speech to get them ready for the season.

 

Cito - "boys... if you're right handed try and kill the third base coach, if you're left handed try and kill the first base coach, don't wait for your pitch or you'll be caught napping, if your homerun hooks foul it means you had a good swing and I'll put it in the books even if the official scorer won't, if you want to do math go to math class but if you want to score runs get some rbis."

 

That seems to not be happening this year -- Gibby is going to try and get the boys on base and Beeston can't interfere... Go Gibby!

 

Beeston is worth -20 WAR, so if there is no Beeston that is 20 more wins.

 

I officially change my prediction from 79 to 99... I will win this contest!

[CrackerJack]

There is an article on the Blue Jays site that says Jose Reyes is going to concentrate more on getting on base, seeing pitches and scoring 120 runs...

 

Reyes might as well aim for 135 runs scored and grab the Jays single season record from Shawn Green. Go big or go home, brah.

[King]

I want to change my prediction....

 

I have found a new item that adds some information that was missing...

 

There is an article on the Blue Jays site that says Jose Reyes is going to concentrate more on getting on base, seeing pitches and scoring 120 runs...

 

This indicates to me an important point. Beeston really has no more influence. In past years Beeston would have Cito give the boys a speech to get them ready for the season.

 

Cito - "boys... if you're right handed try and kill the third base coach, if you're left handed try and kill the first base coach, don't wait for your pitch or you'll be caught napping, if your homerun hooks foul it means you had a good swing and I'll put it in the books even if the official scorer won't, if you want to do math go to math class but if you want to score runs get some rbis."

 

That seems to not be happening this year -- Gibby is going to try and get the boys on base and Beeston can't interfere... Go Gibby!

 

Beeston is worth -20 WAR, so if there is no Beeston that is 20 more wins.

 

I officially change my prediction from 79 to 99... I will win this contest!

 

lol

[Spanky__99]

I'll give them 75 wins and fourth place. Stroman's loss too much to overcome and the young pitchers like Osuna and Castro prove to be too young to handle the tough AL east. On a positive not Gibbons is fired after this year and possibly AA also. Gibbons will prove once again unable to coach the players to play fundamental baseball such as successful bunting and moving runners over. Encanacion's back will put him back on the disabled list this year.

 

*sighs*

[skicross1]

I will guess 88 wins , having some worries about some of the young guys , at least one doesn't stick . They will have to make a move for starting pitching by june. hopefully the offence scores enough runs in support of some rocky starts early in the year , Norris is the rock in the middle of that starting rotation 15 wins .

[S33n]

91 big ones

[Olerud363]

Reyes might as well aim for 135 runs scored and grab the Jays single season record from Shawn Green. Go big or go home, brah.

 

135 will actualy be quite hard... Barry Bonds never did it despite having a .600 on base percentage. Ricky Henderson only did it once.

 

However I believe Jose Reyes can do it. I believe he can. Bautista will do it too. He will knock himself in 50 times, Then the other guys will have to knock him in 85 times. They can do it.

[TRM]

86 wins. No playoffs.

[CrackerJack]

135 will actualy be quite hard... Barry Bonds never did it despite having a .600 on base percentage. Ricky Henderson only did it once.

 

However I believe Jose Reyes can do it. I believe he can. Bautista will do it too. He will knock himself in 50 times, Then the other guys will have to knock him in 85 times. They can do it.

 

Yeah, it would be very difficult for Reyes to do it ... he'd have to really raise his OBP haha ... and (of course) play in close to all 162.

 

When Shawn Green scored 134 runs for the Jays, he was on base 260+ times (which included 42 HRs and 45 doubles)

 

edit: i'm surprised Bonds never quite scored 130 runs (just fell short a few times)

Edited April 2, 2015 by CrackerJack

[Nafro]

Nafro - 87

[Ehjays]

Ehjays 93 ................ EASY 93

[Daniel Labude]

96 wins

[labadee]

83 wins

[baloojayz]

87. I think Sanchez struggles early on so Aa goes out and get a stater and move Sanchez to the BP.

 

Does that happen though??? I mean who would be willing to give up one of their SP when the season is young? Price would be high in terms of SP prospects going back.

Judging by the fact Cole Hammels hasn't happened yet, I'd say it ain't happening after the season starts either.

 

Baloojayz-87

[oakville69]

I think the Blue Jays will win 87 games this year.

[RealAccountant]

78 wins.

[GNick49]

88 Wins

[TDotttt2005]

Here it is, 59 predictions are in. So far, the Mean, Median, Mode of the predictions are all 87 Wins. Last year the Mean, Median, and Mode were 86, 86, and 83, respectively so a little bit more optimism this year.

 

I'm off to NYC for Opening Day...so i'll update for any remaining guesses when I return. Go JAYS Go.

 

 

mcfly 75

TDottt2005 78

RealAccountant 78

Olerud363 79

King 79

Dylan 80

Praxis 80

jimcanuck 81

BTS 81

Jonn 83

Gen.Disarray 83

labadee 83

61Cygni 84

2015 84

Nabru 85

TheHurl 85

crmr 85

Jays76 86

JFaS 86

Dick_Pole 86

TheRealMin 86

Governator 87

Atothe 87

Northof49 87

Krylian 87

GD 87

guylaroche5 87

Rusty_Savage 87

Nafro 87

baloojayz 87

Oakville69 87

Angrioter 88

JaysRap 88

Sanny225 88

theblujay 88

ElNik2013 88

Stangstag 88

Gnick 88

Jays4life19 89

Deadpool 89

StroShow 89

mtljaysfan 89

Saskjayfan 90

Spanky99 90

SAAviour 90

TBJ12 90

43211234 90

NJH 90

z3r0s 91

Cyris 91

Frenchsoup 91

Baseballsss 91

S33n 91

Sdyment 92

Chappy 92

Saskjayfan 92

Ehjays 93

Jayzfan79 95

LetTheBallFly 96

 

Mean 87

Median 87

Mode 87

Min 75

Max 96

[JuniorFelix]

90 wins!

[Horses Fart]

80 Wins!!!