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Would you trade Hutch for Upton?  

56 members have voted

  1. 1. Would you trade Hutch for Upton?

    • Yes
    • No
    • Possibly, but the trade would have to be more elaborate than a 1-for-1 (please explain in comments)


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Posted
that steamer you seem to post about so often has hutch projected to post a 4.12 FIP next year and Miller to post a 4.2 FIP and Miller posted a 3.61 SIERA in 2013. I would say that's relatively close, or maybe that steamer you mention quite often is way off base.

 

The thing is, Miller is clearly has a higher ceiling. I do not even think that's debatable. But as we often see talent doesn't pan out.

Posted
First

4.12 in Toronto = 1.9 WAR over 173 IP

4.20 in St. Louis = 1.0 WAR over 173 IP

 

Second, Steamer also assumes both catchers have league average framers catching them.

 

The point is they are both young pitchers. Their body of work isn't large enough yet. They are both good young pitchers projected to be mid rotation guys....they could both end up being a bit better or a bit worse than that, but I don't think you can say one is definitely far better or worse than the other. I'd take Hutch myself. I think he has better command of his pitches and I like his mental make up...but time will tell.

Posted
Yeah I voted a knee jerk yes but I'd change my vote if I could because once you break down the contracts, it doesn't work.

 

This

Posted
It's a purely hypothetical scenario. Had they not made the Heyward/Miller trade, it would make sense for them.

 

Just assume that there are no other factors involved, and only judge the trade itself.

 

I misinterpreted this,(didn't really read your OP...:P) if contracts are involved, I'm on the fence. Upton would surely upgrade the wins this season, but at that cost, I'd have to say no. Unless AA had a chance to talk extension. Tough call, if they want the prize they probably would. It's all moot anyhow.

 

Good topic.

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