GDT(4/4): Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - Quintana vs. Buehrle - 1:07 PM ET

[CJ-Freeway]

True. But Baltimore's and New York's struggles tell that the AL East is just plain terrible this season. At the current pace, 3 AL West teams (Oakland, LA and Seattle) will make the playoffs, while two of Toronto, Baltimore or New York(Boston and Tampa definitely) will be watching from the clubhouse.

 

You can imagine TBS and Fox aren't looking forward to frequent 10:00pm starts in the postseason if it's something like Oakland vs. LA/Sea in the postseason. The AL East needs to wake up!

 

Hopefully the turn to July will get the Jays sparked again. Bautista's back Tuesday.. maybe that'll help.

 

BTW, the AL East is awful vs. the Central:

 

Toronto 13-13

Baltimore 9-14

Yankees 4-6

Boston 9-13

Rays 4-9

 

Those numbers show a massive talent gap between the AL East and AL Central. Most of the AL Central have younger teams and stronger offenses. So Toronto is not alone in struggling vs. the AL Central.. yet we're .500 against them thanks to wins vs. Cleveland, KC and Detroit offsetting struggles vs. Chicago and Minnesota.

 

 

Exactly, at this current rate, the AL East winner (whoever it will be), will probably get destroyed in the NLDS. Jays need a new bat and a new arm before trade dealine, and with Bautista and Lawrie back, they will be hard to beat.

[jaysfan2014]

Exactly, at this current rate, the AL East winner (whoever it will be), will probably get destroyed in the NLDS. Jays need a new bat and a new arm before trade dealine, and with Bautista and Lawrie back, they will be hard to beat.

 

Yes, we need a SP and a 2B. Lawrie will be back after the All-Star Break, and Bautista's back Tuesday. Plus, the trade market should pick up soon.

[intentional wok]

Exactly, at this current rate, the AL East winner (whoever it will be), will probably get destroyed in the NLDS. Jays need a new bat and a new arm before trade dealine, and with Bautista and Lawrie back, they will be hard to beat.

 

Any team can win in the postseason, IMO, which just a SSS tournament. The hard part is getting there. The East winner will likely play the Central winner (likely Detroit, whose rotation will still be scary regardless of struggles).

[burlingtonbandit]

Any team can win in the postseason, IMO, which just a SSS tournament. The hard part is getting there. The East winner will likely play the Central winner (likely Detroit, whose rotation will still be scary regardless of struggles).

 

This. If the blue jays can get on a hot streak like in May during the post season they could win the WS. Look at the giants a few years ago.

[intentional wok]

Yup, or the 06 Cards who took it all after an 83-win season.

[Atothe]

Boom.

 

Do you see who you're agreeing, one of the worst posters in the history of anything

[DH12]

Do you see who you're agreeing, one of the worst posters in the history of anything

 

have appointed yourself the judge of who is a good poster?

[Atothe]

So the 3 and half week strech where we dominated baseball is what makes us a first place team. But the current 3 week streak where they have regressed a lot means we are just in a slump. Ok I think I get it now guys.

 

No it means we're as good as any team in this division, nothing more nothing less.

[Atothe]

have appointed yourself the judge of who is a good poster?

 

you're one of theeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee worst, you're in rarefied air

[GD]

So the 3 and half week strech where we dominated baseball is what makes us a first place team. But the current 3 week streak where they have regressed a lot means we are just in a slump. Ok I think I get it now guys.

 

/incorrect buzzer noise/

 

The overall sample that says we're in first place supported by various metrics is what makes us a first place team

[ElNik2013]

Expected this loss so I'm not upset over it. What's most concerting is the 7-15 slide + the injuries going into a long road trip which will take them to the AS break. I could see them hitting the break at .500 or just 2 games above.

[Daniel Labude]

you're one of theeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee worst, you're in rarefied air

 

But he is still better.....................................................................................................than you

[Daniel Labude]

We definitely need a good set of games next week. At least 4 wins

[Atothe]

But he is still better.....................................................................................................than you

 

you still mad I could you out a couple of weeks on your dumb posts?

[Daniel Labude]

you still mad I could you out a couple of weeks on your dumb posts?

 

?....too much rum this time

[Atothe]

?....too much rum this time

 

not enough to forget how useless you are

[DH12]

not enough to forget how useless you are

 

I am the best baby

[G-Snarls]

Due in this sense simply means a greater likely hood of a regression to the mean. I don't gamble

 

 

Was going to post this earlier but barely had cellular

 

Yes, players are likely to regress TOWARDS career norms, but won't always reach them, especially if they have a lot of PA/IP already banked.

 

Will illustrate with a simple math example. A fictional player let's say has 4 years of MLB experience and has been a consistent .300 hitter all 4 years. That's his true talent level. The next year after 81 games he is hitting. 400. He's been "seeing the ball well" or had a lot of BAbip luck or whatever. Second half he probably won't keep that up. He'll probably start hitting his usual. 300 and end up with a career year hitting. 350. Or to use the opposite say he has a bad first half. Mechanics not right, getting unlucky whatever and he hits. 200. Well, he will almost certainly regress/progress (don't let me get started on that one LOL) and start hitting closer to his career norms in the second half. But he's VERY unlikely to get back all the way to 300 because he's buried himself so deep. Good chance he hits 300 ish in the second half and ends up with a.250 average and have a career off year.

 

In neither case if the guy "due" to start hitting like mad or like crap because he was bad or hood before. In the same way if you toss a coin 5 times and get 5 tails you're still no more than 50/50 to get heads next time.

Edited June 30, 2014 by G-Snarls

[DH12]

I am hereby predicting Jays will Acquire Jason Hammel at the deadline. You heard it here first.

[GD]

I am hereby predicting Jays will Acquire Jason Hammel at the deadline. You heard it here sixtieth.

 

fixed

[JFD]

I'm still trying to figure out why Bautista pinch hit for Navaro when he's one of our best clutch hitters.

 

anyone care to explain this?

[burlingtonbandit]

If anyone is looking to go to the game on Tuesday I have a single ticket in sec 517. Bought the tickets when i lived in Burlington but have since moved to Ottawa.

[Convo]

When is Lawrie expected back?

[KingKat]

I'm still trying to figure out why Bautista pinch hit for Navaro when he's one of our best clutch hitters.

 

anyone care to explain this?

 

More importantly, it negated the possiblility of a retroactive DL stint for Bautista. Not worth it IMO. (Admiteddly, that's easier to say knowing that he didn't come through.)

[BlueJayWay]

I'm still trying to figure out why Bautista pinch hit for Navaro when he's one of our best clutch hitters.

 

anyone care to explain this?

Uh, Bautista is a vastly, vastly superior hitter to Navarro. It's that simple. Even a Bautista that hasn't faced live pitching in a week, I'd probably want him up there over any Jays hitter except Edwin.

[BlueJayWay]

More importantly, it negated the possiblility of a retroactive DL stint for Bautista. Not worth it IMO. (Admiteddly, that's easier to say knowing that he didn't come through.)

Hopefully that indicates they don't expect to DL him. Although if he has to DH the next few games then we probably lose Lind's bat...unless they wanna go with the E5 experience.

[KingKat]

Hopefully that indicates they don't expect to DL him. Although if he has to DH the next few games then we probably lose Lind's bat...unless they wanna go with the E5 experience.

 

 

Jose Bautista

Hoping for some good news this morning and then have a big announcement to make this afternoon #StayTuned

 

[GD]

o s***^

[eastcoastjaysfan]

 

Jose Bautista

Hoping for some good news this morning and then have a big announcement to make this afternoon #StayTuned

 

 

Probably re-signed with Booster Juice or something.

[CHRIS]

Probably re-signed with Booster Juice or something.

 

Bautista Booster Juice Bobblehead Day? COULD YOU IMAGINE?