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Posted
Seriously though, wtf kind of name is Buehrle? Great-grandpapper shortened it from Buehrlekowalski at Ellis Island or something? Dude looks kinda Polack......

 

Ya I've googled the spelling a few times, ain't gonna lie. It hurts my brain a bit.

Posted
Maybe so... But I think it's not over just yet. This team will surprise all of you.

 

JSFIP. Your calm rational thoughts have so far proved to be an uncanny premonition.

 

My own opinion is that old junk ballers are a dangerous species, yet Mark Buerhle looked like the Ace we have all been waiting for.

 

I gave you another thanks. In my time on the board I have seen many positive thinkers come and go. Thus far you have stood the test of time unlike the others who have all fallen.

 

Keep in mind it has only been two days. We will all turn on you quickly if things go downhill.

Posted
Seriously people, chill out! It was 1 game. ONE!!!! There will be 161 more. Everything that could have went wrong did go wrong. Reyes injury, Dickey unlucky outing, and Goins getting stuck unprepared against one of the best LHPs in the game.

 

I believe in this team. They can get the job done. Now everyone join me and ditch the freaking out after one game. Seriously. It's time to take a step back and relax. Big picture. We're set.

 

My original projection for the team was 82-80.

 

After 4 days the only new information I have is that Reyes will miss atleast 2 weeks and be replaced by questionable individuals.

 

The combined performance of Dickey/Hutch/Buerhle/Morrow is exactly as expected. Individual variaton will probably even out.

 

Due to the Reyes injury I dock .2 of a win.

 

My projection stands at 81.8-80.2.

 

Wether JSFIP has any logical reason to predict better then 81.8-80.2 I do not know. He gets no thanks today as the Jays are exactly where expected. Neither up or down from reasonable hopes.

Community Moderator
Posted
My original projection for the team was 82-80.

 

After 4 days the only new information I have is that Reyes will miss atleast 2 weeks and be replaced by questionable individuals.

 

The combined performance of Dickey/Hutch/Buerhle/Morrow is exactly as expected. Individual variaton will probably even out.

 

Due to the Reyes injury I dock .2 of a win.

 

My projection stands at 81.8-80.2.

 

Wether JSFIP has any logical reason to predict better then 81.8-80.2 I do not know. He gets no thanks today as the Jays are exactly where expected. Neither up or down from reasonable hopes.

 

Yep. Feels like a .500 ball club or slightly better, and far too dependant on Reyes and Morrow being healthy and good than I would like.

Community Moderator
Posted

Good things:

 

Hutch awesome

Bautista hot from day 1

Melky killing the ball almost every at bat

Lind looks good

Much improved defense

Posted

2-2 vs the Rays. 2/3 hopefully vs the Yankees. We then have some winnable series vs Houston, Minnesota and Baltimore. After that, Jose Reyes is back.

 

Optimism!

Community Moderator
Posted
2-2 vs the Rays. 2/3 hopefully vs the Yankees. We then have some winnable series vs Houston, Minnesota and Baltimore. After that, Jose Reyes is back.

 

Optimism!

 

When you say it like that, I'm all like:

 

http://host-34.242.54.159.gannett.com/images/640/360/2/assetpool/images/130908060340_jose%20reyes.jpg

Posted
Panic again.

 

Dickey comes back against all odds. It's a miracle. Dickey and Beurle slop balling version of 2001 Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling??? Jose Bautista and Melky Cabrerra new bash brothers?? On pace for 150 homers. JSFIP foresaw this. Some did not.

 

Calm cool rational season projection - 81.9-80.1

 

Irrational season projection heavily biased to yesterdays events - 94-68

Posted
Panic again.

 

3-4 with Hutch getting rocked.

 

New calm projection - 81.4-80.6

 

Over-reactionary projection - 74-88 (was 94-68 yesterday)

Posted
Seriously people, chill out! It was 1 game. ONE!!!! There will be 161 more. Everything that could have went wrong did go wrong. Reyes injury, Dickey unlucky outing, and Goins getting stuck unprepared against one of the best LHPs in the game.

 

I believe in this team. They can get the job done. Now everyone join me and ditch the freaking out after one game. Seriously. It's time to take a step back and relax. Big picture. We're set.

 

fyi -- I can't figure out why you started arguing that Bonifacio will put up huge WAR. At first I gave you the benefit of the doubt... figured you were legitemitely positive and had put some thought into it. Now I figure you are either a troll or sick.

Posted
The lineup lacks depth right now, and it's showing in the lack of runs. We're going to need some bats to have big seasons outside of Melky, Bautista, Edwin, and Lind vs. RHP. Lawrie and Rasmus in particular.

 

Rasmus and Lawrie have been dead so far. Edwin not much better. Majority of our offense has come from Melky/Bautista/Lind. With Lind sitting out half of the games, that leaves Melky and Bautista providing the offense. Not good so far.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
There's no question we can compete. But contending is another story

 

compete for what exactly?

Posted
The lineup lacks depth right now, and it's showing in the lack of runs. We're going to need some bats to have big seasons outside of Melky, Bautista, Edwin, and Lind vs. RHP. Lawrie and Rasmus in particular.

 

And everyone, atleast on this message board, saw this coming. Stephen Drew and a good right handed bat like Baker could of been worth 4 wins.

 

It's starting to look like the injured are going to be injured and the sucky are going to be sucky. If we have a group of players, Goins, Sierra, Short stop replacements that end up at -2 WAR and we could have had Baker and Drew instead... 4-6 wins right there.

Posted
The lineup lacks depth right now, and it's showing in the lack of runs. We're going to need some bats to have big seasons outside of Melky, Bautista, Edwin, and Lind vs. RHP. Lawrie and Rasmus in particular.

 

Lineup can't afford too many more DL stints by the main 7 because we have NO positional depth . Still If the diabetic duo come around and start pitching to their ability it will be an interesting season . Going to enjoy it .

Posted
1 game less in the loss column than Tampa.

 

All 5 teams are within 1 game.

 

Nobody is going to run away with this division I could see at least 3 teams being with in 5 games of each other at all times.

Posted
Seriously people, chill out! It was 1 game. ONE!!!! There will be 161 more. Everything that could have went wrong did go wrong. Reyes injury, Dickey unlucky outing, and Goins getting stuck unprepared against one of the best LHPs in the game.

 

I believe in this team. They can get the job done. Now everyone join me and ditch the freaking out after one game. Seriously. It's time to take a step back and relax. Big picture. We're set.

 

Really nothing overly positive nor negative right now. The weird thing is this team after 9 games is what it's been the last 20 years. Ground hog day.

 

So-So team with on base percentage problems and injuries.

 

2nd in homers, 13th in on base percentage the closer and the short stop on the disabled list.

 

The positive is that the on base percentage problems are largely due to the .222 team average which will normalize. They get Reyes back and Lawrie and Colby start hitting... be interesting to see that.

Posted
Really nothing overly positive nor negative right now. The weird thing is this team after 9 games is what it's been the last 20 years. Ground hog day.

 

So-So team with on base percentage problems and injuries.

 

2nd in homers, 13th in on base percentage the closer and the short stop on the disabled list.

 

The positive is that the on base percentage problems are largely due to the .222 team average which will normalize. They get Reyes back and Lawrie and Colby start hitting... be interesting to see that.

 

When you look at it like that pretty depressing, feels like nearly the same team for a decade.

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