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Posted
This will have a boatload of implications for the FAP Contest. Part Two will kick off, and TBJ12 will be the first to six Part One points (two correct picks).

 

points for everybody, right?

Posted
Yeah I only had three teams on my dartboard for that toss, Rangers, Red Sox and Yankees, and I came up rangers. My darts aren't proving very prophetic so far
Posted

http://www.bluejaysmessageboard.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=409&d=1385246267

 

mccann.JPG

 

Avg catcher .319/.394 (OBP, SLG) ----> JPA really suck

Posted
I kind of expected the Yankees to stick with the in-house options. It would be better that they did - demand seems to be greater than supply for catching help right now.

 

In many ways, they'd probably be better off going after Russell Martin next off-season.

Posted
You guys should understand that we don't have 17 mil to spend on a catcher. All our money needs to be put into the rotation. We can trade for a cheap catcher like Hannigan.
Posted
Alex do something

 

- Brian, we're looking at $12M for two years. How is that does that sound?

- Brian?

- Brian, you getting my texts or what?

Posted
Anyone care to join me in guessing where the other relevant dominoes fall?

 

Bos - Saltalamacchia

Tex - Pierzynski

TB - Molina

 

I guess that leaves us, Atl, Min, and Col to fight over Hanigan or settle for a below-average FA.

 

Quick, name me a catcher that had a good year a couple years ago, has been terrible since, but will cost a lot in a trade.

That's who AA is targeting right now.

Posted
You guys should understand that we don't have 17 mil to spend on a catcher. All our money needs to be put into the rotation. We can trade for a cheap catcher like Hannigan.

 

We could have had much more than $17M, if we didn't make idiotic decisions.

Posted
Bos - Saltalamacchia

 

They didn't want to offer Ruiz a third year, they're not gonna give Salty his 3-4 years I don't think.

Posted

Here's what I said about McCann elsewhere.

 

He'll need to put up something like 9.4 WAR or ~1.8 a year over the life of the contract. Steamer has him at 3.6 wins next year which would be paying 5 million/win which is pretty nice, covers a good deal of the contract (38% or so). If you project him at like a 0.5 win decline, he'd provide $32 million in surplus value. Although I don't know if that's too conservative, cause who knows if he can stick at catcher and that gives him like a win's worth of value, and if he moves to DH that would be going from +12.5 runs/600 to -17.5 runs/600. That's a few wins. Putting it in perspective, if he had DH'd this year and had a full season, he would have been worth approximately 1 win.

 

TL;DR could be a nice contract but needs to stick at catcher for it to be mostly worth it which seems unlikely.

Posted
Yep you did. I don't really trust the Shapiro number since we don't know how he came up with it. $6.5M or so seems more realistic.

 

9 million is a bit much; 7.5 millions is fair (Chris Young money)

Posted
Yep you did. I don't really trust the Shapiro number since we don't know how he came up with it or what it applies to (probably a proprietary metric). $6.5M or so seems more realistic.

 

I wrote the post in roughly 4 and a half minutes and most people where I originally posted that don't understand DIPS or anything beyond ERA so meh. I always figured it was been 5 and 9, like 7 or something. But I've never really used that as a figure cause it's arbitrary.

Posted
I actually kind of like this for New York. Not a lot of surplus potential, but that isn't everything, especially to New York. They needed a catcher and got a very good one on a deal that doesn't break the bank. Have him catch 100 games a year, maybe play some 1B and I think they'll be satisfied. That short RF porch will suit him just fine.

 

Yeah, pretty much my appraisal of it as well. He just needs to stay healthy-ish.

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