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Dagagad

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Everything posted by Dagagad

  1. Dagagad
    What discount are we getting here? Is he really going into free agency and getting 10/350 or 10/400 even as a 26 year old free agent? Correa didn’t get that and he’s a short stop. There’s like a 20% chance that 10/300 ends up being a discount. He’d need to be like a 40 WAR player over the life of the contract. Honestly, he’d need to project WAY higher than that when you take into account all the risk This is not a smart team move. Although, after the Grichuk contract and the insane ‘cost control’ reasoning behind it… we might not be that smart. Edit; also I heard recently that the only thing that drives attendance is winning. I need to track down the study but it sounds about right to me.
  2. Dagagad
    Maybe it was unclear but I meant I didn’t know where he was swinging in the zone. Especially in early counts.
  3. Dagagad
    Interesting. I might have got price anchored by hearing the fanbase call for 300m+ contracts and still went to high with 250m. Maybe 10/200 is closer to a fair deal.
  4. Dagagad
    As a point of comparison, fangraphs did a few articles on possible extensions and had vlad down as a 8/174m extension. The only think I don’t understand if that means after arb or right now. It seems really light for right now.
  5. Dagagad
    The latest at the letters podcast is a good insight into how hard it to be a major league manager.
  6. Dagagad
    Yea, none of the smart teams are signing extensions early unless they are very likely to have a ton of surplus value. Betting on vlad to be a 30m value as like his median level isn’t a great bet. Franco’s deal is a good one if is even a 3/4 WAR player and there’s a decent chance that he has a few 6/7/8 WAR seasons. Edit: basically, if you are signing a guy this early, you should be aiming for close to his floor. If you think vlad is a 3WAR floor player, that’s 24m a year roughly. That’s not even counting any decline at the end. Or any possibility of him getting super fat at 28.
  7. Dagagad
    I wouldn’t. He’s a first base/DH. I need to see him make better swing decisions first before i commit to such a long expensive deal. What Yordan Alvarez got is low but more appropriate. Even that is betting that vlad will be as good a hitter as Alvarez consistently. So, maybe 10/250. More than Alvarez because he’s younger and has more upside maybe.
  8. Dagagad
    If he was a superstar last year, he could get back to that just by swinging at the right pitches.
  9. Dagagad
    He should just be taking. He should be taking more in the zone on early strikes as well when it’s low. How much of launch angle is just pitch selection?
  10. Dagagad
    Don’t go too far the other way. Vlad is still only 23.
  11. Dagagad
    Ah, thanks. That’s what I was looking for.
  12. Dagagad
    I think this is what Bo is supposed to be but he’s under performing. He started from such a high o swing bar that it’s probably going to be a while before it comes down noticeably if at all. Vlad is worrying. He’s not his dad and can’t be elite swinging at anything.
  13. Dagagad
    Yea, I know. I’m not sure what you mean.
  14. Dagagad
    If we are firing coaches for player performance, it would make more sense to can Pete Walker.
  15. Dagagad
    Looking at vlads fangraph page, man he is swinging outside the zone WAY more. 33.3% of the time this year up from 28.3% last year. That’s higher than every year of his pro career including his rookie year. I’m not sure how to find data of when he is swinging inside the zone but I feel like he is also swinging at more borderline stuff early as well. This isn’t really a problem team wide. We are swinging less outside than last year. Some guys have went up and some down but the only other person I can see with such a dramatic increase is Tapia (which I found surprising). With vlad at least, this to me is his major problem way beyond launch angle. He isn’t going to be the elite hitter he was last year consistently unless he swings inside the zone, and even in a smaller area than that early.
  16. Dagagad
    And if begins! Who’s being facetious now!!
  17. Dagagad
    His success rate is getting to the point where he just shouldn’t run. I wonder if he’s carrying an injury.
  18. Dagagad
    Need one of those to slip through.
  19. Dagagad
    Nice! He should still stop running though lol.
  20. Dagagad
    Is that enough to overturn? Doesn’t seem enough.
  21. Dagagad
    Cmon Teo, hit one out.
  22. Dagagad
    Vlad’s o swing and swing% both highest of his career this year.
  23. Dagagad
    Seems.
  24. Dagagad
    Eye test wise, vlad’s plate discipline or eye has seriously regressed this year.
  25. Dagagad
    I don’t give a f*** about Charlie other than he seems like a nice guy. He’s a manager and managers are fall guys. I just find it funny that during the honeymoon period s*** the last guy would get destroyed for on here is suddenly very explainable. It’s funny. Lighten up.
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