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AMS528

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Everything posted by AMS528

  1. AMS528
    Pressure of local boy who's definitely not as good as Vlad trying to replace Vlad would be so rough that I would just assume for failure. Naylor's best season is slightly worse than Vlad's 2022 season which we were annoyed by.
  2. AMS528
    So as far as I can tell Nimmala has the most HR's of any player 18 or younger in the minors this year. His .250 ISO is also by far the best for any teenager that's played in A ball or higher this year. Obviously the strikeouts are a huge concern, but that power is unmatched for his age right now.
  3. AMS528
    Lol how is Brandon Barriera still 5th on that list.
  4. AMS528
    So defensive numbers as they are calculated for WAR are a bit of a mystery to me. Would that mean based on Vlad's defensive numbers last year, and what he appears to be heading towards defensively this year, he would be more valuable as a basically exclusive DH if they were to adjust the penalty to the same as a 1B? He was -20.6 last year and -14.7 so far this year with plenty of time to accumulate last years number. And if 155 games at DH would be 5 runs and 0.5 WAR, does that mean a difference of about 8ish runs last year and probably this year as well? That would last year mean he would have been worth 2 WAR last year and this year if he keeps up his current pace, instead of being worth like 4.2 WAR he's worth roughly 5? That's not an insignificant chunk if that's the math on it.
  5. AMS528
    Yeah you hope he figures out the contact issues cause that is a lot of power for an 18 year old.
  6. AMS528
    And I think that definitely makes some sense. I've always felt the DH penalty is too significant.
  7. AMS528
    Kind of relevant to Vlad and his value. Apparently not something that makes a huge difference, but I am curious how his overall value looks like with that that adjustment. bWAR obviously has always been kinder to him.
  8. AMS528
    On July 13 he had a .799 OPS and today after his double it's .910. Also nice to see Barger hitting.
  9. AMS528
    I didn't even know he was still pitching this year. 29-67 with 5.56 ERA across 700 innings over the past five years. Amazing, just consistently went out there week after week for five years in a row to get shelled.
  10. AMS528
    This guy has done nothing but hit the ball since getting drafted. Has moved up really quickly since being drafted as well. Third level in two years and hasn't struggled yet. Solid deal. Farm is less depressing.
  11. AMS528
    This guy has done nothing but hit the ball since getting drafted. Has moved up really quickly since being drafted as well. Third level in two years and hasn't struggled yet.
  12. AMS528
    IKF is having a career year with the bat that he will likely never repeat again, they should absolutely look to trade him.
  13. AMS528
    Good prospects on down years. Snelling has been worse in every kind of way, but he's still just 20 in AA.
  14. AMS528
    I think I agree with Terminator here, his expected numbers are better this year because his contact is also better, but even with his changing batted ball profile year to year he hadn't had that kind of underperformance before. If he ends this year well, then you can look at the last four years and say that last year was the outlier I think and at least a chunk of that was luck based.
  15. AMS528
    I think looking at the last four seasons, it's possible to see 2023 and say he underperformed his batted ball profile. When he was underperforming it earlier this year, it was easier to say, he's just a batted ball underperformer, but now his numbers line up. And they lined up in 2022, and in 2021. So there's that I guess, that last year was a down year and one where he was at least a little bit unlucky.
  16. AMS528
    He's at 2.8 fWAR and projected to finish with between 4-4.5ish. He's at 3.4 bWAR and would be projected to finish with around 5. He's also not playing like a 3 WAR player either.
  17. AMS528
    Is there much of a chance that Yesavage could become that or is he more of a finished product (as I've heard he's super advanced)?
  18. AMS528
    Just an absolutely ridiculous heater. It's going to be an expensive extension, but at least now he's giving us reason to want to provide it. It also does matter that he's been an ironman. He never misses a game, and he basically can player near every game. That's been the case every single season of his career.
  19. AMS528
    Given the state of our farm and looking at these new prospects who have actually performed this year, I feel like they basically immediately take up positions in our top ten, especially from the Kikuchi trade. Is Bloss at the top of our list given the injury/suspension? He's anywhere from 1-3. Loperfido is probably 4-5, depending on where you want to slot Yesavage in the top 5. This rescues our farm from being worse than like the Angel's. Edit: Just realized Loperfido lost eligibility. So he won't be part of the lists.
  20. AMS528
    If he is less bad at either of those then he is a 1B and it encourages him to maintain his fitness it really should be something we try. It really would increase the floor of his value. Right now he's tracking as a 4 WAR player by fWAR and a 5 WAR player by bWAR. I have read some posts that seem convincing that his defense isnt quite as bad as OAA would indicate. But any other position he can play below average does raise the ceiling and floor. His bat to ball skills are so good that last year which I think we can consider a but unlucky is probably the floor.
  21. AMS528
    Just for 2.5 months or so. He should really come back in the offseason, sign as our #4/5 pitcher on a fair deal. I'd be pretty happy with that.
  22. AMS528
    I've basically said the same, but when you have these Cavan Biggio type hitters, they have very precarious profiles that can fall apart quickly. Horwitz if he's able to stick at second has a much higher floor.
  23. AMS528
    Sure but he's not even a free agent this year so at least he's ahead of the contract year performance. Seriously though if we don't sign him to an extension he has to get traded this offseason. His numbers are great, barring a sudden collapse he's going to have excellent value again.
  24. AMS528
    Vlads turnaround has been crazy. We're all understandably skeptical but it's been three months and his numbers now match up with the underlying stats. I think people were wondering if he'd even manage 20 HR's this year and now 30 should be reasonably easy. He'd better not turn back into a pumpkin with the bat.
  25. AMS528
    .887 OPS and a 150 wrc+ for Vlad same as Freddie Freeman now. Top 15 in the league. Just on a crazy heater.
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