lue Jays draft picks with top-10 round slot values
Round 1, Pick No. 23: Brandon Barriera, LHP, American Heritage High (Plantation, Fla.) ($3,075,300)
Scouting Report: Barriera ended his season early, choosing to make his final start before his team’s schedule was over, which may become more common going forward (Hunter Greene did this as well) as pitchers try to avoid getting hurt right before the draft. He’s been up to 98 with a very fast arm and shows two very sharp breaking balls, both of which can touch plus, along with a plus changeup. He doesn’t offer much projection, but he also doesn’t need it given his present stuff, and his build right now seems sufficient for him to stay a starter. I don’t think he gets great extension over his front side, but it’s a minor quibble. It’s premium stuff, and he’s aggressive on the mound. If he gets to consistent strikes, he’s an above-average starter.
Barriera moving up the draft charts as his spin rate rises
Blue Jays select hard-throwing lefty in first round, add versatile hitters
Round 2, Pick No. 60: Josh Kasevich, SS, Oregon ($1,216,100)
Scouting Report: Kasevich is very hard to strike out, with just 16 Ks in 277 plate appearances this year for a 5.8 percent strikeout rate that was the best for any player in a major conference this spring. He swung and missed at just 30 pitches all spring, only six of them fastballs, according to data from Synergy Sports, and it’s easy to see why – he has a short, simple swing that lets him put the ball in play a ton, but it’s flat so he doesn’t produce any power. He reminds me a lot of David Fletcher, who also never struck out and didn’t hit for any power in college, but has nearly 10 WAR despite being a below-average hitter in the majors because he can play strong defense at second and passable defense at short. Kasevich is a better shortstop than that, and hit more homers this year (seven) than Fletcher did in his whole college career. He doesn’t make much hard contact, so Fletcher’s career is probably a high ceiling for him, but Kasevich offers a high floor as well and I think he’ll be really good value for someone in the second round.
Free-agent comp., Pick No. 77: Tucker Toman, 3B, Hammond High (Columbia, S.C.) ($846,500 — for losing Marcus Semien)
Scouting Report: Toman, the son of Middle Tennessee coach Jim Toman, is a switch-hitting infielder with the potential to hit for average and power from both sides of the plate, with some risk around his contact skills. He has great bat speed, with a more fluid and powerful swing from the left side, although he had better results batting right-handed over the summer (in a small sample). He’s shown he can handle good velocity, but struggles more against breaking stuff. With below-average speed, he’s limited to third base or second if he stays on the dirt, with enough arm to probably stay at the hot corner – although if he remains on the dirt, it’ll be because of his instincts rather than athleticism or agility.
Free-agent comp., Pick No. 78: Cade Doughty, 3B, LSU ($833,200 — for losing Robbie Ray)
Scouting Report: Doughty hits with a super-wide stance in all counts, making it surprising he’s shown the power he has this year (19 doubles and 15 homers for a .567 slugging percentage). He hammers fastballs, but the noisy lower half – he steps back slightly and forward again, so his hips and torso are moving almost the entire time – might be why he’s had trouble with offspeed stuff. He’s played mostly third and second for the Tigers with a little bit of shortstop, and profiles best at second, with average speed that should allow him to stay on the dirt. His profile really comes down to the bat, specifically whether he can hit offspeed stuff more consistently. He had a big split between his results on fastballs and results on everything else, and he’s going to see a lot fewer fastballs once he gets into pro ball.
Round 3, Pick No. 98: Alan Roden, OF, Creighton ($623,200)
Round 4, Pick No. 128: Ryan Jennings, RHP, Louisiana Tech ($465,400)
Round 5, Pick No. 158: Mason Fluharty, LHP, Liberty University ($346,800)
Round 6, Pick No. 188: T.J. Brock, RHP, Ohio State ($268,300)
Round 7, Pick No. 218: Peyton Williams, 1B, Iowa ($210,300)
Round 8, Pick No. 248: Dylan Rock, OF, Texas A&M ($173,800)
Round 9, Pick No. 278: Devereaux Harrison, Long Beach State ($158,500)
Round 10, Pick No. 308: Ian Churchill, LHP, University of San Diego ($150,300)
Round 11, Pick No. 338: Pat Gallagher, RHP, Connecticut
Round 12, Pick No. 368: Nolan Perry, RHP, Carlsbad High School (NM)
Round 13, Pick No. 398: Bo Bonds, RHP, University of Louisiana at Lafayette
Round 14, Pick No. 428: Sammy Hernandez, C, Lakeland Senior High School (FL)
Round 15, Pick No. 458: Michael Turconi, SS, Wake Forest
Round 16, Pick No. 488: Kale Davis, RHP, Oklahoma State
Round 17, Pick No. 518: Ryan Chasse, LHP, Campbell University
Round 18, Pick No. 548: Jeremy Pilon, LHP, Ecole Secondaire De Montagne
Round 19, Pick No. 578: Gage Stanifer, RHP, Westfield High School (IN)
Round 20, Pick No. 608: Gregory Pace Jr., OF, Detroit Edison Academy (MI)