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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    I'm having a hard time getting particularly excited about Joey Murray for some reason. Smoke and mirrors trick pitch guys with marginal stuff leave me terrified when watching that they can end up getting torched if their location is even a little off. Time will tell if the invisiball translates even to AAA let alone MLB. I had an interesting thought on a possible Patrick Murphy comparison in AJ Burnett. Both tall righties, upper 90's fastballs that generate plenty of ground balls, both primarily fastball/curveball repertoires with show me change-ups. Sure this is probably way too optimistic but Burnett shows that a primarily two pitch pitcher can have a great career as a starter if the two primary pitches are good enough. Burnett's minor league numbers were mostly pretty ugly, it looks like in the first few years of his career he was one of those guys who had no idea where his pitches were headed.
  2. max silver
    Yeah, you would have to think $6 million or whatever the Jays slot value is just might change his mind.
  3. max silver
    I won't be surprised if Patrick Murphy forces his way into the Jays rotation by the second half of the season. He should be close to ready for a full MLB season starter's workload as he's been up around 150 innings already. Nate Pearson and Patrick Murphy should both be very fun to watch with their upper 90's heat.
  4. max silver
    Future Jays are big on Pete Crow-Armstrong.
  5. max silver
    It was nice to see Patrick Murphy get some love in your prospect evaluation. The guy has been on my radar heavily since he torched the Florida State League in 2018. He ticks a lot of boxes, tall starters build, mid-upper 90's velocity consistently, hammer curve ball, improving change-up, limits home-runs, generates ground balls. The injury history is a bit scary, but if he manages to stay on the field there is some nice upside present.
  6. max silver
    I'm willing to bet sooner or later he will be directed by the player development regime to get his diet and exercise plans in order, just as eventually happened with Vladdy Jr.
  7. max silver
    I wonder if the healthy version of Luis Severino might be a suitable choice for an optimistic Nate Pearson potential outcome. Although Severino has sustained multiple arm issues the last few years, so that also shows how fickle it is to try to project these guys.
  8. max silver
    I see you have your 50% outcome comparison for Nate Pearson listed as Jon Gray. I suspect every single reader on this board would be pretty disappointed with that outcome, and with what Nate has done up to this point I'd readily argue he has a very good chance to have a similar career to the guy you've listed as his 95% outcome in Noah Syndergaard. How do you go about tabulating the results to come up with your comparison players?
  9. max silver
    Hey great, I've really been looking forward to this one.
  10. max silver
    Yeah this makes me wonder what the guy could reasonably be expected to even earn in arbitration. The total contract can work out to $29.5 million as it has two option years tacked on at the end. This just seems unnecessary to hand out a contract like this to a reliever so early on.
  11. max silver
    People still use batting average by itself to evaluate offense nowadays? What year is this?
  12. max silver
    Yeah for sure, if you combined Eric Thames bat with Anthony Alford's defense and base-running you would potentially end up with a borderline star.
  13. max silver
    The only way I really see this becoming more than an occasional thing is if one of either Fisher or Alford ends up breaking out, as that suddenly creates more talented players deserving of playing time than there is available time to go around. Definitely a good problem to have, even if it's unlikely to happen.
  14. max silver
    Lol I didn't start steer the discussion towards politics in the first place so no need to direct this my way specifically.
  15. max silver
    Holy f*** man, turn your brain on. If you read through that list of cherry picked "accomplishments" and think that they are all actually good things being listed then I suggest you start thinking every once in a while. The whole thing reads like it was written by Donald Trump himself interestingly enough given the phrasing. Things like increasing exports of coal means the world burns more coal, not exactly a fantastic accomplishment, imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum for "national security reasons" was punishing both the United States and it's supposed allies for no net economic benefit to anyone, withdrawing from the "horrible one-sided Iran agreement" means Iran is now actively enriching uranium for the purpose of creating nuclear weaponry.
  16. max silver
    In your view what does the study propose for a line-up, vs. what Charlie has proposed? I haven't seen the full line-up quote from Charlie yet, but didn't see the sense in batting Vladdy so far down in the line-up at the clean-up spot. I would argue he's in the top two going forward.
  17. max silver
    Wow, add in that the German suspension as well and the Yankees rotation has taken some major hits.
  18. max silver
    Kevin Pillar has put up a WRC+ of 103 vs LHP for his career, vs only 85 WRC+ for Benintendi. Chances are better than not that Pillar would put up better defense in left field than Benintendi would as well, so for a team that just traded away their best outfielder Kevin Pillar actually becomes an important platoon player in maximizing their outfield usage.
  19. max silver
    Hopefully common sense eventually takes over in lineup construction for the Jays. They have the perfect lead-off man in Cavan Biggio. He has the perfect combination of best OBP in the team and just so happens to also be the team's best base-runner by a large margin. Batting second and third would ideally be the team's two best hitters in Vladdy Jr. and Bo Bichette. In my eyes it's up in the air which of these two will eventually be the better hitter, but for this season at least these two will each should be getting close to the maximum amount of at bats possible, and ensuring they come up to bat in the first inning. I think Gurriel would make a great clean-up hitter, the guy is an extra base machine.
  20. max silver
    You may need to fine tune your Buck ******** detector then, the discussion included quotes from Cavan directly taken from a Kaitlyn McGrath written Athletic article. Absolutely zero Buck Martinez affiliation guaranteed from that particular discussion actually.
  21. max silver
    Did you bother reading the fact that it was quoted straight from Cavan himself? Perhaps reading comprehension isn't your strong suit.
  22. max silver
    Who bats 5th I wonder? Hopefully it's someone that can at least provide a small modicum of protection for Vladdy Jr., last season he was already seeing one of the lowest percentages of pitches in the strike zone, this will likely continue to an even greater degree this season.
  23. max silver
    That's an interesting graphic, if it were to break down on a monthly basis we would have exactly what we need to see whether or not there was an approach change. It certainly does suggest Cavan has been too passive with pitches in the strike zone, but the overall results of +24 take runs and -10 swing runs suggests the passive approach mostly works for him. It appears most of his success is attributable to taking pitches out of the strike zone, with the passiveness in pitches in the strike zone working against him. I look forward to what 2020 brings for Cavan, if he looks more like the September guy going forward than the preceding months then he is a much better player than originally expected.
  24. max silver
    I don't think we have enough available data to definitively make a decision on whether his approach is changed, but I'll lean towards taking Cavan's word for it. To do otherwise is to suggest the man is either a dumbass or a liar, and I see no reason to believe either is true. Cavan is one player who I think can successfully become more aggressive on hittable strikes while still taking borderline pitches. There aren't many players with the type of pitch recognition/strike zone awareness that he possesses, and if he is actually attempting to do more damage on hittable pitches then he is certainly going to better off for it. Is there a way to look up at which areas of the strike zone a player is swinging? All I have come across is more vague data only showing overall swing percentages, but nothing breaking it down into zones over a month to month basis.
  25. max silver
    The guy is/was so underrated it's shocking, I fully agree that his upside is tremendous. But I see no issue with him being coached to be more aggressive swinging at pitches he can crush, if that means he puts up more doubles and home runs and a few less walks overall then that makes him even better. With the reported new altered approach as you have illustrated the overall plate discipline profile wasn't changed for the worse, and the walk rate remained as high as was the case previously, so there were seemingly no negative consequences for Cavan. My only question for Cavan going forward is whether the high strikeout rate will eventually end up biting him in the ass, perhaps if the umpires stop giving him the rookie treatment 2 inch extra wide strike zone on both sides of the plate the strike out rate will plummet eventually.
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