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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. If two shutdown relievers are added I really don't see any relievers already on the MLB roster deserve to be removed from the roster to make way for a Trivino addition. There will still be a need for a long man on the roster, and the club has 4 relievers who have been quite good for the season as a whole. The team can't afford another Brad Hand type situation where a reliever with serious performance related question marks is brought in an ends up pissing away several potential victories during his time with the club.
  2. I don't think the club should be rolling the dice on reclamation type relievers this trade deadline as the stakes are too high this season. If the team misses the playoffs again despite being in the middle of their playoff window Atkins very well may find himself on the hot seat in the offseason. While Trivino's ERA is unsustainably high this season xERA and FIP still paint a picture of a decidedly mediocre bullpen arm bordering on replacement level.
  3. Why would the club need add 4 bullpen arms? With the 13 man pitching roster limit that limits the bullpen to 8 arms total assuming you are running a 5 man rotation. The club has 4 effective/dependable arms who should be in no risk of demotion off of the roster in Romano, Garcia, Cimber, and Phelps. Mayza has been a little up and down this season but barring total collapse he should be a lock for another one of the spots. I would assume the club wants to leave a potential spot open for Pearson if he's able to return this season. That leaves two remaining open spots for outside additions.
  4. What does the club really need pitching wise that necessitates moving pieces off of the MLB roster? I see the need for some bullpen reinforcements and a back of the rotation pitcher/swingman. The team has plenty of prospect capital to make these types of acquisitions. Swapping Gurriel for Laureano looks to be more of a sideways move in my view. If I'm not mistaken, Gurriel only has one remaining year of control so he wouldn't likely be of great interest to weaker/rebuilding clubs who are willing to move pitching out at the deadline.
  5. Go back and read my post again, I stated that Robles would provide a sizeable upgrade on the bases. If and when Tapia is to turn back into a pumpkin or one of the regular outfielders misses time due to injury having a 5th outfielder who isn't a sub replacement player suddenly becomes much more important. Zimmer was forced to play a lot more than was desirable earlier in the season due to Springers schedule days off and Teo's oblique injury. Tapia was really struggling at the time as well which compounded the issue further. With Springer's spotty injury history it would be very easy to see Zimmer forced into action more frequently. Neither of Zimmer or Robles has exactly been lighting the world on fire at the plate this season, but at the very least Robles puts the ball in play sufficiently to at least give himself a chance to get on base.
  6. Baseballtradevalues lists Laureano's value at 45.5 million, which seems kind of crazy for me given how Laureano hasn't had a really good season since 2019. The guy has a hard time staying on the field due to a steady stream of injuries. The recent PED suspension isn't a great look either. For a guy with a stellar defensive reputation he's having a really rough season defensively in center field with -7 DRS/-3 OAA. Expending legitimate assets for a dude who may be experiencing a severe defensive decline is a risky proposition to say the least. I can maybe get on board a bit with him as a Tapia replacement, but the club is already very heavy in right handed outfielders as it is.
  7. Bo is playing beneath his talent level this season, and simply appears to be having a bad season. The constant whinging about Bo is getting old in a hurry. We don't know the Jays clubhouse dynamic, but by all accounts Bo is a fiercely driven/competitive guy. We really don't know how he would react to a demotion. He seems to be in the same mold as Marcus Semien where he busts his ass in order to condition himself to play every single day, and wants to play essentially every inning of every game. It may be in his best interest to back off a bit, but he's displayed a strong ability to remain healthy, and until this season was on an upward trajectory performance wise as well. Cavan Biggio started the season with a -10 WRC+, and found himself out of a job. Despite Bo's struggles, he's still on pace for a 3 win season. Do you really think the club is going to be helped in any way by sending Bo down to AAA? Bo started the season slowly at the plate and in the field, but since May 1st he's been playing at over a 4 win pace when prorated to an entire season. For a player that's not been at his best that's still well above average. It's really up for debate whether Semien was a better shortstop defender than Bo was last season. When you examine the metrics on a rate basis Bo was actually better by OAA than Semien was. Semien makes less errors at the position, but that's the only advantage he has over Bo. Bo has more range, a stronger arm, and has more ability to make tough plays than Semien. I wish I knew of a method for parsing defensive statistics over time, as I have a feeling that having the ability to examine Bo's OAA numbers of the course of this season would paint a very interesting picture. If I recall correctly he was in the range of -7 OAA at one point this season, and due to a very steady run of play over the last several months has managed to work his way up to exactly even at 0 OAA.
  8. That's a really interesting potential trade target. I took a gander at baseballtradevalues and that site lists Robles's value at essentially nothing at 0.5 million. He would be a sizeable upgrade over Zimmer on the bases and provide a similar level of defense while also not being a complete black hole at the plate despite his deficiencies.
  9. Conversely Bo's xWOBA is easily the worst of his career at .324. Actual WOBA is .314 so it's not like he's been massively unlucky this season. He has produced one good month worth of at bats surrounded by two average/mediocre months and 1 downright terrible month. Monthly WRC+ values are as follows: April 45 May 143 June 102 July 99 Hopefully he can turn his season around in the second half, but his first half has been pretty underwhelming outside of the month of May.
  10. I was hopeful the bat could come around eventually, but the surprising thing to me is that his defensive metrics are rather pedestrian so far. I suspected if he were playing more to his floor that it would be his bat that was holding him back and not the defense.
  11. Giving up 27 runs in a single game certainly doesn't help, although I imagine at least a chunk of those were unearned due to shoddy defence. Thinking back the Tapia inside the park grand slam play wouldn't have been an error as the fielder lost the ball, and the popup that dropped in wouldn't have been ruled an error either as nobody touched it.
  12. From examining his defensive metrics for the season he's passable in left field (0 DRS/-1 OAA/216 innings) and center field (-1 DRS/0 OAA/149 innings), but an abomination in right field (-5 DRS/-3 OAA/199 innings). A little better optimization of his deployment into the field might mitigate a fair bit of the damage he's able to cause defensively.
  13. I have the feeling trading Hoglund could end up hurting a bit eventually. He already possessed top notch command as an amateur, and seems like the type of guy that would have really benefitted from the Jays pitching development system given how the club has had a lot of recent success in helping their pitchers improve upon their overall stuff.
  14. That's pretty cool having a facility like that to tap into. Giving Tiedemann a chance to tweak his arsenal as needed should help him have an easier adjustment against better competition in AA.
  15. I don't think that kind of behaviour every really flew, it's more like it flew under the radar/was kept under wraps. The recent spade of abuse victims speaking out could very well be giving Bichette Jr. the courage to finally speak out.
  16. I love what I'm seeing from this team right now. Schneider has them playing very aggressively on the bases and it's really paying dividends. The club manufactured several runs today with help from a perfectly executed hit and run and a timely steal from Zimmer. Charlie's teams really struggled to manufacture to help make up ground in games or tack on much needed insurance runs, and it's a real breath of fresh air. I was also very satisfied to see him showing proper leadership and addressing the little blowup Manoah was having with the Red Sox. This was another thing that was largely missing with Montoyo as the boss.
  17. That's a pretty terrible look pointing the finger at a potential abuse victim in such a fashion. Just because Bichette is famous it doesn't automatically preclude him from being a rotten piece of s***.
  18. Damn if this has a chance to be true I think the club is going to have to distance themselves from Dante Bichette Sr. Just spitballing here but maybe that's why he's no longer employed as an assistant hitting coach by the club.
  19. It's a bit of a misnomer that salary was saved in the Tapia deal, but that simply isn't the case. The deal was essentially salary neutral for this season as the Jays sent out $5,383,333 this season to Colorado. Add that to Tapia's $3,950,000 salary and you end up exactly with Grichuk's $9,333,333 2022 salary. The Jays sent $4,333,333 to Colorado for the 2023. Tapia is arbitration eligible for 2023 so if Tapia is to receive a small raise the 2023 total cash outlay could be essentially equivalent as well.
  20. This trade is looking more and more like a win over time. After a horrid start of the season Tapia has worked his way up from a -0.8 FWAR towards the end of May up to a -0.2 FWAR presently. He has produced a 138 WRC+/0.6 FWAR over his last 38 games. He is looking more and more like a useful 4th outfielder as the season goes on. He is a poor defender in center field and the club would likely be much better off using Teoscar out there instead, but given how Grichuk is down to a 77 WRC+ and having the worst season of his career it's easy to see moving on from him was a necessity. The fact that Pinto was added is just icing on the cake as he's up to a 121 WRC+ in A ball. He was heating up as the season progressed but looks to have missed a good chunk of time in July.
  21. I can only guess that Springer has been undergoing some sort of intensive treatment on his elbow during the All Star break that requires a bit of time to settle down before returning to play. Keeping Springer out of the lineup and maximizing rest/healing time could potentially be a worthwhile short term sacrifice in order to improve his health for the second half of the season.
  22. The Blue Jays version certainly was. From examining his numbers it seems entirely possible that the Mariners coaching staff has turned him around though.
  23. It's entirely possible that Berrios has turned his season around. His last 4 starts are pretty much peak performance level. 3.09 ERA/2.94 FIP/11.19 K/9 with underlying statcast numbers to back up a turnaround as his quality of contact numbers have been much better as well. I'm just going out on a limb here but it seems at least slightly possible that Walker was involved in assisting with the tweaks Berrios has been making recently.
  24. It almost pains me to say it, but based on Tapia's play over the last few months he's actually not a terrible choice for leadoff on a short term basis. He looks to have turned his season around in mid May, around May 12th or so. Since then he has produced a 127 WRC+ with an OBP of .347. The only regulars who have better OBP during this timeframe are Gurriel (.400) and Kirk (.416). It appears as though the club is attempting to run a set batting order where the primary bats remain in the same relative positions in the lineup with minimal shuffling. I'm not necessarily convinced the current lineup couldn't benefit from further tweaking though.
  25. I suspected it was your usual Redsox are the devil type drivel but I thought I'd give you the benefit of the doubt. I do agree that Cora was let off far too easily, but really don't see why the entire organization needs to be painted with the same brush.
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