Bobthe4th
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Everything posted by Bobthe4th
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In the last 2 years Moss has provided a total of 1 WAR over Carrera, and Pagan 0.6 WAR over Carrera. While I agree that both have a higher upside (Carrera in a 4th outfielder role gives you a peak of 1-1.5 WAR at best) I don't consider either to be good enough to start every day, and that's what I'd call a significant upgrade. As Brownie says, Valbuena is more of a replacement for Smoak, but more versatile. Which I'd be happy with btw, I think Smoak is more of an issue than Carrera.
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Yes, most likely we are, with a bit of Pearce in the OF as well. The remaining free agents aren't big upgrades, and a trade for anymore who is significantly better would likely cost too much or create a gap elsewhere (e.g. If we traded a starter).
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To increase starting depth and have insurance for when Estrada and Liriano's contracts are up at the end of the season.
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I think overall it's been a pretty good offseason. It would go close to a great offseason if we did one or more of the following: Upgraded Smoak Upgraded Carrera/Upton Upgraded the bullpen (you listed only six "good" arms including at least 3 that could easily not be good at all, but relievers are so volatile except the very top few, quantity is prob better than quality) Got a backup catcher that could realistically give Martin 2 games off from catching a week.
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The only way Carrera doesn't make the 25 man is if we sign two more outfielders, which seems very unlikely at this point. He did fine as a 4th outfielder last year and they'll likely use him in that role again.
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I agree, and even if people think we weren't, any team in the playoffs can win it all. On any random day either team can win, even if it's Cubs vs Reds. It's the long season that weeds out the teams with less talent.
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Even though with Gibbons picking the lineup Pompey is behind Carrera, Upton, Pillar, Pearce, whoever we sign for RF, and probably Barney he's still one of the main candidates for promotion in the event of injuries. And with his trade value being down compared to say 2 years ago, I don't really see us trading him right now. -
I could see us moving Pompey at the deadline if we're close to the playoffs and he hasn't been playing. It'd be in a deal where we take on salary from a non contending team who are looking to shed salary, and can afford to start Pompey to give him a chance. If we are out of contention maybe Pompey gets that chance here instead.
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The only bit I read is askreddit which sometimes has interesting stories posted.
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If this was meant for Reddit, where's the tldr?
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Thanks, that's much more reasonable. Hopefully it won't be an issue anyway, and we'll be right in the mix for the playoffs.
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Sorry, I maybe misunderstanding you, but are to trying to suggest Donaldson gets traded if at the deadline we are more than 3 games out of a wildcard place? 3 games is nothing, that can be caught up in less than a week.
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Haha, the team I support now plays in the 6th division (we went out of business and had to start from the bottom but have been promoted a few times since then).
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The coldest I've ever been was watching 4th division football (soccer) in the snow. I couldn't feel my feet by the end of the match. Good times.
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With the second wildcard we'd have to be epically bad (unlikely without injuries to one or more of the pitchers + a position player like Donaldson/Martin) to be selling everyone. A .500 team still has a good chance of a wildcard. I do think that if we are around .500 we'd shop Estrada, and if Gurriel / Urena is considered ready, maybe we'd shop Tulo too. I seriously doubt we'll be entering full rebuild mode though.
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Also Miller. People like Kipnis, Brantley, Allen you'd expect baseball fans to know too as a minimum. It's actually an interesting contrast to a personality based sport like the NBA, baseball players just aren't as well known in general.
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Even if NFL wasn't the most popular sport in America they only play 8 home games instead of 81 so are therefore much more likely to sell out each game.
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Even in a recession a major city will have thousands of people who have plenty of disposable income. You're right that the quality of experience would have a bigger effect and that's directly related to the quality of the team.
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Good point. At the beginning of 2016 most media had Cleveland finishing 3rd behind the Royals and Tigers (though Fangraphs' projected wins had them winning their division). The average sports fan in Cleveland prob wouldn't have noticed that the team was good when the focus was on LeBron and the Cavs. Then the last month of the season they'd notice playoffs were possible/likely, they the team reaches the World Series and makes a big statement signing of EE.
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Smoak wastes a 25 man spot by being only a 1B, not good enough to start every day, and not good enough to DH. IMO that's more harmful than throwing away $4m for 2 years.
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This is a really good point. They were worried that EE wouldn't come back, and that they'd be forced to pay over the odds for a 1B if Smoak left too. So they secured Smoak early. 2 things have changed since then: Smoak has gone from average to DFA standard since signing his contract; the 1B market never took off, it'd be easy to get another 1B even now.
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Fenway Park only has a capacity of 37,949 and Wrigley Field has a capacity of 41,268, compared to the Rogers Centre's 53,506. Your point still stands though - you've got to sell the tickets.
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Just checked, Cleveland were third worst in attendance in 2016. 1.59m at an average of 19,650 a game. We were 3rd, but best in the AL at 3.39m at 41,880 a game. 2016 MLB attendance figures
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Apparently EE's deal with the Indians includes up to $1m a year attendance bonuses on a sliding scale for total attendances over 2 million people a year. Can't remember seeing that before, but it's an interesting clause.
