You are at least correct on this. My guess is we reach a 20-30 year low. You do understand that OPEC is going to pump oil until every non-conventional oil play,etc, is not able to produce. They see the world is trying to get off its "oil addiction" and they are certainly going to control that market until they do. I talked to a realtor from Calgary, who told me the number of wells Alberta will be using in 2016, is the same number that were producing in 1983.
How long do you think hedging is good for? The dollar is not coming back up any time soon, not while oil is $35. The Canadian economy is hedged on resources. I don't know how you think exchange rate is not going to matter. Part of the revenue stream has been cut by 10-15 percent. Salary expenses are still coming out in US dollars. All the revenue that comes in from tickets, Canadian Advertising, etc, moving forward is in CAD.
You can't expect us to sign Maeda, or another free agent pitcher if you want, its very unlikely to happen. As has been pointed out, Maeda is far from a sure thing. Huge amounts of money in large long term pitching contracts, is not a good model for Major League success. How many playoff wins did we get out of Mark Buehrle's contract. How many playoff wins has LAD got out of Kershaw/Greinke's contracts over last 3 years? How many playoff wins did Washington get from Max Scherzer last year.