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nmrch

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Everything posted by nmrch

  1. nmrch
    Statistically Hendricks is the best reliever on this team, its kind of criminal how much Gibby disrespects him and relagates him to a middle reliever role. A bum like Sanchez on the other can do no wrong
  2. nmrch
    It would be huge but i really don't see Davis not coming back
  3. nmrch
    Davis will go two more innings if required but our guys are a but underrated. It comes down to Davis, Duffy, Hochaver and Medlen vs Osuna, Lowe, Hendricks, Hawkins and Loup
  4. nmrch
    rain delay, atleast Davis will be sitting for a while after coming into the game.
  5. nmrch
    If we can keep it tied up after Davis does his thing i'd say advantage Blue Jays. We still have Lowe and Hendricks who i really trust. edit: obviously in addition to Osuna, but call me crazy but i like Lowe and Hendricks more than him
  6. nmrch
    Bautista is GOD
  7. nmrch
    What? He's horrific as a starter and someone i wouldn't trust even in relief, especially at that spot
  8. nmrch
    f***l Gibbons, i swear Sanchez literally cannot do anything that stops Gibbons from treating him like he's Mariano Rivera 2.0
  9. nmrch
    What are you talking about? Volquez was terrible yesterday, he was okay in Kansas City but overall he's hardly dominated the Jays. And he wasn't locating jack btw, he walked a combined 8 guys in a 11 innings against the Jays in the post season. Besides for every example of good pitchers that dominate in the playoffs i can give you a hitter that has great numbers in the playoffs. As for the second part of your post i really don't get it, haven't you been arguing that pitching dominates in the post season?
  10. nmrch
    Ofcourse they have worse numbers are good pitchers than average pitchers, that doesn't prove what you think it does. Great pitchers also have worse numbers against good hitters than they do against mediocre hitters. That;s not saying anything and it doesn't really back up what you and some others have been saying. There is no evidence that good pitching disproportionately dominates good hitting more than the other way around.
  11. nmrch
    It doesn't matter, the idea that good pitching destroys good hitting is just nonsense, END OF STORY. There is no study that proves or even suggests what you're saying. On the other hand, we have a good tool to predict what the outcomes of at bats woudl be based on hitter vs pitcher strengths. Check out this tool, and plug in theoretical numbers, like peak Bonds vs peak Pedro or Harper vs Kershaw. http://bbbnumbers.blogspot.com/2014/10/the-outcome-machine-predicting-at-bats.html
  12. nmrch
    The fact that the Mets won(even in a sweep) doesn't make them a better team, if you believe otherwise you don't know what you're talking about. And "pitching dominates in the postseason" is more nonsense btw, yes the post season allows you to get more starts from your aces but that's not what happened here. And also the Cubs trio of Arrieta, Lester and Hendricks is almost as good as Degrom, Harvey and Syndergaard. Why did the Cubs not benefit from this "pitching dominates in the post season" effect. Arrieta after all had one of the best non Kershaw seasons in recent years. Here are the xFIP's, 2.61, 3.06,3.25 vs 2.92, 3.24,2.91. You wouldn't know which set of starters belonged to which team without looking them up. This is basically what bad punditry is built on, a lot of generalizations based on no evidence and post hoc fallacies left and right.
  13. nmrch
    I honestly don't believe that you can. Good teams win baseball games, how you do it really doesn't matter. There has been no evidence to suggest that a particular style is more effective at winning in the post season. For example i've seen a lot of people say that KC's hitting style is suited for the post season but there's nothing to back that up. Even a 105 win team will go down to a 90 win team about ~30% of the time. Its kind of what makes baseball a beautiful game, the randomness of it makes for great drama.
  14. nmrch
    With all due respect to your opinion it is wrong, the Cubs were considered favorites by the bookies. And when i said historic i was referring to the fact that the third place team in that division won 97 games. I don't care enough to look it up but i doubt a division has been that good at the top many times before.
  15. nmrch
    A 90 win team in a weak division just swept a 97 win team in one of the best divisions in MLB history. The playoffs are a crapshoot, this talk about "put the Jays over the top" is nonsensical. A good team can usually control whether they make the playoffs or not, what happens once they get there is a crapshoot.
  16. nmrch
    There is no "uncanny ability to come back from large deficits", it happened twice in 3 games, that's not a trend nor is it a repeatable skill.
  17. nmrch
    i have no idea what this means, did the "geeks" ever deny that extreme groundballers can't be good pitchers. Stroman's relatively low K rate is not at all worrying given how many groundballs he's generating, where is the problem here?
  18. nmrch
    With Cecil gone the Jays clearly have a problem matching up against lefties in key spots. Not to mention only one of our 4 SP's is a lefty. The Astros have 2 lefties and a switch hitter in their lineup, the Royals have 3 lefties and 2 switch hitters. The Royals lineup is much more lefty heavy. With the Astros the you pretty much only have to worry about Rasmus and Valbuena. So from that aspect i would prefer the Astros.
  19. nmrch
    The players don't care about respect, they only care when they happen to be on the wrong side of these incidents. The Jays don't care because their guy did it, if Rougned Odor hit a go ahead homerun and did what Jose did the Rangers wouldn't care either. You're the sucker here, but you wouldn't understand i guess.
  20. nmrch
    Yeah i'm not a player, so are 99.99% of the people(the fans) involved in the business of MLB, they don't care about your stupid arbitrarily drawn unwritten rules of the game and your hilariously delusional notion of "respect".
  21. nmrch
    I can't wait for that culture to die. Player emotions are a big part of sports, people don't pay money to watch robots play. I understand the Rangers not liking it but what kind of a f***ed up person has a problem with what Bautista did?
  22. nmrch
    Wow, that was the most fulfilling sporting experience ever for me. I thought it was a great game even before that debacle happened with Choo and Martin and words can't describe how crazy the Bautista homerun was. It was awesome just watching the game and let the experience take you in without analyzing it too much, like i didn't even get angry to Gibbons for letting Sanchez face 4 lefties
  23. nmrch
    If on average you think the remaining three games are tossups, the Jays chance of winning the series is 12.5%. If you think they're 55% favorites(which is fairly generous with 2 games on teh road) then the odds go up to ~17% Hopefully Estrada pulls it out on Saturday and we go with Price on 3 days rest and hope he has one of those magical games.
  24. nmrch
    No it doesn't. Its just the nature of Baseball, underdogs tend to be slight underdogs. The nature of the game makes it very possible for inferior teams to get the best of better teams.
  25. nmrch
    It was 60-40 Toronto before today, now probably 65 - 35 Rangers. So we're underdogs but not overwhelmingly so.
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