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nmrch

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Everything posted by nmrch

  1. nmrch
    Never claimed i was, i don't hide the fact that i base my opinions based solely on stats. I'm believer in performances over pedigree, draft status and how much of a bonus someone got. Take Jon Harris, 36 IP isn't an insignificant sample size, a college pitcher who struggled against NWL kiddies isn't going to amount to anything 99 times out of a 100, and yet many of you have him ranked very high.
  2. nmrch
    lol and yet you have Pentecost ranked very high who was horrible in a short sample size and has just as many injury concerns. I'm sorry but some of these lists are bad and you guys are the self professed prospect experts. Dan Jansen puts up awesome K to BB ratios and displays decent power when he's healthy, he has more potential than pretty much anyone not named Alford, i would have him around #4 behind SRF and Greene, the latter for his high floor.
  3. nmrch
    People were scoffing at me when i said Heyward would get 200 million a couple of months ago and i didn't even take into account the greater than usual inflation we've seen this offseason. The Cubs are actually getting a pretty decent deal which is a crazy thing to say about a 200 million dollar contract.
  4. nmrch
    That's not how markets work. There has been an explosion in baseball revenues in the last couple of years and the money is now trickling down to the players, its got nothing to do with Happ.
  5. nmrch
    5 years 90 million
  6. nmrch
    Doesn't it depend on where your official residence is for the majority of the year? I don't know about Grienke but most of these guys live in Florida or Arizona in which case it would make no difference. I've always gotten the impression that taxes are something sports writers care more about than the players and agents, its almost never a deciding factor or even something they think about that much.
  7. nmrch
    They're not at all outrageous if you understand how much baseball revenues have exploded in the last couple of years. The growth has been even greater than the cable deal boom we saw starting around 2008. And the players share of the pie is actually smaller than it is on other leagues, even Football i believe.
  8. nmrch
    good effing riddance, Gibby treated him a like a top 10 catcher and a legitimate option at DH for some reason, it would have been downright irresponsible to bring him back with that imbecile still managing.
  9. nmrch
    I blame Shapiro for this, and the Chavez deal. He is ultimately the President, he's either behind these moves or is approving them with his choice to let LaCava run the show.
  10. nmrch
    yeah, Smoak is a consistently terrible player. In his best season put up a below average 113 wRC+ but overall he's just been bad, there is no simply no potential here. Like you, hate this move and the Chavez deal. The Happ and Estrada signings are a fine, and may even give us value given the crazy salary inflation we'll see this offseason and in the next couple of years.
  11. nmrch
    The dollar per war argument imo doesn't apply when you're talking about fractional wins. Smoak is a terrible, there is no point burning a roster spot on him like you said. It will be harder to just waive him if we might want to, it shouldn't but that's how teams behave, sunken cost fallacy and all.
  12. nmrch
    Have people learned nothing in the AA years? Unless you get exceptionally lucky, you need 7 starters atleast to get through a season
  13. nmrch
    There are many ways to build a good team with a rotation that will get the job done. It doesn't require a traditional ace and then a #2 and then a #3 etc. The Jays just don't have the payroll(or trade assets) to acquire a top 15 pitcher. The next best thing you can do is build depth and ensure that you never have the likes of Jeff Francis making starts for you when one of your guys goes down.
  14. nmrch
    since when do we get number two starters for 3 years 36 million?
  15. nmrch
    I'm not confusing anything. I'm just not comparing them at the present moment, and its stupid to do so given how massive a 2.5 year age difference is in baseball. Sydnergaard spent his age 20 season dominating in high A and double AA, Osuna spent his age 20 season getting big league hitters out and was pretty good at it. Those are comparable achievements, or at least they're not ridiculously incomparable achievements, so you're being argumentative for no reason. Its possible(and probably likely) that Osuna's age 23 achievements won't be as good as Syndergaard's but we'll have to wait to find out And i don't know why you keep lecturing me on how good Syndergaard is and how much better he is then Osuna right now when i just said he would be a perennial Cy Young candidate and that i would obviously take him over Osuna right now.
  16. nmrch
    A 20 year old who had a good season as a reliever and a 23 year old who had a good season as starter. Yeah it's so crazy compare them. I would take Syndergaard right now obviously but that's not how I'm comparing them. Osuna has 2.5 years to get to that level, he might not get there but what he did as a 20 year old is kind of a big deal and it's sad that even Jays fans have no idea.
  17. nmrch
    All i said originally and now was that its not an insane comparison, not that i'd take Osuna over Syndergaard.
  18. nmrch
    I still stand by this post. Syndergaard is a phenomenal talent and will be a perennial cy young contender, anyone who thinks otherwise is an idiot but Osuna did well as a 20 year old, even if its out of the bullpen. The 2 1/2 years of age difference is kind of a big deal so its not an insane comparison. Some of the smart people posting in this thread should know that. I don't know where the discussion of Hoffman came about but i've trashed him since pretty much day 1
  19. nmrch
    he'll make close to 30 million on average with a long term contract, so this makes no sense. Now if you're talking 60-70 million, that is closer to what he'd expect to justify the risk.
  20. nmrch
    oh, my bad, i thought those numbers were equivalent to service time in baseball "years"
  21. nmrch
    baseball reference has it as 1.148 http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stromma01.shtml
  22. nmrch
    except for Ventura all those guys had 2 atleast years of service time though right?
  23. nmrch
    I noticed it too and it was kind of interesting. Stroman pretty much retweets any article about him so it could be nothing but there might be legitimate interest on his part. As for potential contracts, there haven't been many pitchers who've signed pre-arb extentions with only 1 year of service time compared to position players. The obvious comparison is Bumgarner http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/7820946/madison-bumgarner-agrees-san-francisco-giants-2017
  24. nmrch
    Managing the 40 man roster was probably AA's biggest shortcoming during his tenure. Fans pay attention to trades, FA signings and the draft but maximizing the output from what you already have is one trait where mediocre GM's standout from good ones.
  25. nmrch
    To be fair executive leadership isn't about "knowing" things, its about judgement. That's why many CEO's jump from one company to the other from completely different sectors. AA isn't a super smart executive but a guy like Friedman would probably be successful in almost any sport.
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