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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    Giolito's prospect status is down and Moncada is a better version of Robles. Kopech isn't far off from being the best pitching prospect in baseball himself.
  2. metafour
    This. It wouldn't even be outrageous to assume that Kopech becomes a better prospect than Giolito.
  3. metafour
    Uhm, they also gave up Kopech who is 20 years old, just dominated the AFL (ranked #2 prospect by BA behind only Gleybar Torres), and hits 100mph with his fastball. On top of two other prospects.
  4. metafour
    The $/WAR model does not work perfectly in free agency because there are market restrictions and realities that take precedent. Trout may be "worth" $75 million a year, but that doesn't mean that anyone would pay him anywhere near that on the open market even if he magically became a free agent tomorrow. The max he'd get is something like ~$40 million a year. Its a fun thing to look at, but it doesn't work in actual real life.
  5. metafour
    I can't wait until Conner Greene unveils magnum next season and shows all you hating f***s whats up.
  6. metafour
    How isn't he worth $15 million? He was worth $26 and $37 million the last two years. Even if you take his 3.3 and 4.7 WAR seasons as flukes; his ~2.1-2.3 WAR seasons still peg him at over $15 million.
  7. metafour
    He hasn't. He's been injured.
  8. metafour
    Except that the entire fascination with Steve Pearce is that over a regular season's worth of at-bats, he's actually a great player. You WANT him to play a full season. We got him for so cheap because due to injuries he CANT play a full season.
  9. metafour
    Great thinking jaysblue!
  10. metafour
    It has been speculated that they might load up on bats in free agency which would then allow them to trade young position players (like Springer) for pitching.
  11. metafour
    Except that they have exact MPH batted ball rates coming off of his bat, all of which confirm Morales' ~41.1% hard hit rate or whatever that "guy" typed into his computer. Average MPH Ortiz: 94.2 Morales: 93.9 Encarnacion: 91.5 Flyball MPH Ortiz: 95.2 Morales: 95.3 Encarnacion: 95.0 Line Drive MPH Ortiz: 99.8 Morales: 97.4 Encarnacion: 94.6 Groundball MPH: Ortiz: 89.9 Morales: 91.0 Encarnacion: 87.2
  12. metafour
    Actually, the fact is that Morales posted elite batted ball metrics last season, yet somehow that contact didn't result in base hits. His 41.1% hard contact rate was 5th highest in all of baseball...tied with Miguel Cabrera and Jose Bautista. He hit the ball harder than Encarnacion and posted a superior contact rate on pitches inside the strike zone as well. This reminds me of the JA Happ signing wherein we were "overpaying big time" despite the fact that hard analysis actually showed that JA Happ's stuff got better across the board the ~half season prior to us signing him. In Morales' case, his "average hitting" this past season doesn't even make sense given what he was actually doing at the plate.
  13. metafour
    Huh?
  14. metafour
    You think that his upside is as a 15 HR hitter who posts virtually the same ISO Power rating as Francisco Lindor? That sounds like Rowdy Tellez to you? Just because he hits the ball to all fields; doesn't mean that he is Billy Butler (who is the exact description of what a slap hitting DH/1B looks like). Billy Butler is 260 pounds and posts power numbers similar to half the middle infielders in baseball. His BABIP is abnormally high despite the fact that he cant run at all. He achieves this by...slap-hitting and selling out for contact. This isn't even a knock on Butler who during his prime was a very good contact hitter; I'm just not sure how you can conclude that Tellez turns into this TYPE of hitter just because they had similar AA stats. Butler did have power coming out of HS and going through the minors; but it seemed that once he hit the MLB he prioritized a level swing over driving the baseball. Tellez hasn't done anything to suggest that he will look to emulate that hitting strategy.
  15. metafour
    I think that you are stat-line scouting. Butler has spent the majority of his MLB career as a contact-oriented slap hitter; which is why he ranks near the top in BA, BABIP, LD%, K%, etc. among qualified DH and near the bottom in ISO, Pull%, etc. I guess that it is possible that Tellez turns into Butler; but he hasn't really shown anything to suggest that he's going to come up and turn into a 6'4 240+ pound hitter who sprays line drives all over the field. Billy Butler is a career .320 BABIP hitter despite the fact that he possesses zero athleticism.
  16. metafour
    His body doesn't even look bad. The "Tellez body" thing has quickly approached "Osuna body" hysteria wherein early worry about a "bad body" becomes gospel even after it stops being an actual concern. You can look at all sorts of footage of Tellez from this year; his body looks no different than ~95% of MLB 1B/DH types. He's clearly not very athletic, but it really has nothing to do with his body.
  17. metafour
    Billy Butler never had much power, so I don't really get this comparison at all.
  18. metafour
    Brett Cecil has made ~$10.6 million over 9 years since signing. He isn't giving anyone a discount, nor is he going to give a rats ass if the best offer comes from a team that is "contending".
  19. metafour
    Did you seriously just ask that?
  20. metafour
    Why would we lose our pick for re-signing our own free agent player.....?
  21. metafour
    I'm talking about your hypothetical wherein he takes a one year deal to try and land some mega contract the next year...at which point he will be 37. No one is signing a 37 year old who can't play defense to a huge contract, even if he "rebuilds his value" next season. Bautista will take his guaranteed ~3 year deal right now; I don't care how "cocky" he is. He's not an idiot.
  22. metafour
    Rebuild value? He is 37 years old next year. 37. Thirty Seven. What do you even think is going to happen even if he has a better year? Some team signs him for $100+ million? No chance, period.
  23. metafour
    You guys are crazy. Thew Bautista/Texas thing would blow over in a minute if he signed there. Its all a bunch of guys with huge ego's: guess what, you 'hate' each other when you are on different teams, but the feeling flips when you're playing on the same team. Its sports.
  24. metafour
    Were you the guy from the Moneyball movie? "We need to replace 'X' HRs and 'Y' RBIs!".
  25. metafour
    You smell ********? This was always the most obvious conclusion to what happened that night.
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