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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    Apparently they were supposed to get a Top 100 prospect for Sung-whatever Oh...an erratic reliever we literally pulled off the scrap-heap months prior who went on a hot streak. Literally no one wants to move top prospects anymore, and here we are nitpicking on the returns for guys like Curtis Granderson and Aaron Loup LMFAO. Happ and Donaldson are literally the only legitimate gripes you can actually make a case over. I wouldn't have targeted Drury, but he's been tricking teams into believing that he's an impact type player for years now for whatever reason - including the Yankees. The Donaldson situation unfolded as badly as possible - they knew they should have moved him a year earlier, and I fully believe that they wanted to.
  2. metafour
    Why would the Indians keep a "non-prospect" who "twice bombed out of AAA" on their 40 man roster? An interesting choice from a team who built an entire rotation off of guys that no one thought were anything. Those are quite the conclusions that you are making about a guy that hasn't pitched a single MLB inning, so how exactly are you concluding that he "gets taken to the woodshed against advanced hitters" LMFAO. hE GaVe Up 105 hITs in 78 INNinGs thOUgh.
  3. metafour
    Fangraphs:
  4. metafour
    No offense, but college baseball fans are literally useless as a "source" on the signability of high school prospects. For one, very few of them know anything about the MLB draft in general, and secondly, they are highly biased towards whatever school they support. So no s***, Florida Gator fans think that he's going to make it to campus. The reality? If he's a first round pick, there is a 95%+ chance that he's signing. And if there was actually talk about him not signing, why has it not been reported by any draft writer who would certainly know more about the situation than Joe Schmoe the Gators fan? We already know that Al Leiter's kid has a $4+ million dollar tag that makes him a difficult sign...I haven't heard anything about obscene demands from Allen, which means that he should be signable. None of this matters as he is highly unlikely to be in play for us at #11 anyway.
  5. metafour
    Actually, the idea of "strong" and "weak" MLB drafts has more or less proven to be a false narrative because apart from being able to judge the relative strength of the first 20 or so picks, everything after that generally tends to even out on a year to year basis due to the unpredictable nature of evaluating baseball prospects. This supposedly terrible college pitching class will inevitably produce at least one pitcher taken after the first two rounds who ends up being an above average MLB regular. It happens every year. It has been shown that they can do a fairly good job of judging the overall strength of the TOP prospects on a year to year basis, but even something like the last pick in the first round shows fairly consistent success rates regardless of how "strong" or "weak" the draft is perceived to be.
  6. metafour
    The Iceman must really think he is smarter than everyone else. Rosen? Josh Rosen? Who? LMFAO.
  7. metafour
    Dwight Smith Jr. with the Golden Sombrero. wRC+ down to 107 going into today (and will be lower tomorrow). Defense grading out at a huge negative. BB and K rates completely pedestrian. No OBP to speak of. LOL @ all the clowns jumping around a few weeks ago as if we'd given up an All-Star. He'll end the season as a 4th outfielder type...just as expected.
  8. metafour
    Guessing "starter ceilings" is pointless, and if you look at scouting reports vs. "projected ceilings" they often don't even make logical sense. Jackson Rutledge is 95-98+ while flashing two plus breaking balls...uhmm, if that clicks, he is obviously AT LEAST a #2 starter LMAO. Some reports even have his changeup as plus at times. I'd say the same for Manoah who feature two 65-grade pitches; a guy like that can pick up a changeup and grossly surpass whatever "mid-rotation starter" label you'll see thrown onto him. Look at stuff; not a guesstimated "projected rotational ceiling" that is wrong 90% of the time anyway. At the end of the day rotational ceiling comes down to values that are unpredictable.
  9. metafour
    That means that they aren't leaning on anything. Who had us "leaning" on Groshans last year? Exactly.
  10. metafour
    Short season rosters aren't announced until after the draft.
  11. metafour
    Brilliant idea Todd - just use all of your top picks on the least predictable prospects (pitchers). You should definitely look to fill needs with MLB draft picks. Thanks for the sweet post man.
  12. metafour
    We are kind of in a blah position because unless something weird happens, we are more or less picking first among essentially the 3rd tier of prospects. It looks like a zero chance of Bleday being there, and a slim chance of Bishop being there (and even that is prob. a stretch given his overall athleticism + power + production this year). Corbin Carroll looks like the highest "rated" prospect who could potentially get pushed down to us. Jung, Thompson, and Busch are all completely underwhelming picks IMO. In that scenario I would rather just do what we did last year and "reach" for a HS bat that we like who will sign for a discount. Brett Baty is old as s*** but I'd rather take him than Jung who's bat is still largely a product of hype (his power doesn't seem to actually show up). This draft looked a lot better for us back when Misner was looking like a legit top 11 pick because it assured us one of those guys being there.
  13. metafour
    His name is Yeinier Cano; MLB.com placed him 2nd on their IFA list (ahead of Yolbert Sanchez who they have 5th). http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018/?list=int
  14. metafour
    The money that they acquired is for the 2018 class. Who are they signing? Who knows. MLB.com just threw out a report on some new 25 year old Cuban reliever that just came on the market who could be MLB ready next year.
  15. metafour
    Those GM's don't even exist anymore.
  16. metafour
    Josh Donaldson.
  17. metafour
    You are trying too hard. Justin Woodell (also repeated by a nameless MLB scout) stated that the version of Alford he saw in spring training is a version that he hasn't seen before, and he has seen Alford a lot through his struggles. Players like him with elite tools and athleticism can flip a switch in a second, and its not like he didn't just come off a hamate injury.
  18. metafour
    This is a huge problem around the league. There is a massive disconnect between how virtually every front office approaches the game of baseball in 2019 and the "story" that these veteran broadcasters paint to fans. What you end up with is a bunch of casual fans learning some ridiculous 1980's version of the game that no longer applies because 9/10 MLB teams employ these 60 year old former players who just show up to the ballpark every day and shoot the s***. I don't understand why there isn't a movement to transition a new wave of younger broadcasters into the league.
  19. metafour
    He has starter stuff but there is concerns regarding delivery/injury history which is why most project him as a reliever.
  20. metafour
    Todd on suicide watch.
  21. metafour
    Good young player...you mean a corner outfielder with average speed and forgettable power, who can't play CF? So a guy who has no real place here, and is a 4th outfielder type anyway? Really?
  22. metafour
    Its 92 with sink, and he's hit higher than that as well....again from the left side. That isn't my grade, its what Kiley McDaniel wrote just last year. The scouting grades on him have been pretty consistent across all platforms: above average FB that may not be there yet, and a plus changeup. Again, I'm not sure what fringe 5th starters you guys are watching, but a LHP who features two above average pitches with at least average MLB command is pretty safely out of that "category" from a simple upside analysis.
  23. metafour
    55 future FB, 60 CH, throws from the left side with at least average command. Those are from actual scouting reports. "Average to below average" stuff on what planet, exactly? Mark Buehrle threw 85-87 for most of his career, Borucki has hit 94/95 and safely sits in the low 90's. I'm not making any comparisons; my stance here is pretty simple: a LHP with two above average pitches by definition has a higher ceiling than whatever the hell you want to quantify a "fringy 5th starter" as. His changeup has the upside to be among the top-percentile in the majors, hence why they literally wrote an article about it on Fangraphs. Again, simple question: do you seriously believe that a "fringy 5th starter" is going to possess a league-defining pitch? The answer is pretty obviously no.
  24. metafour
    No, I find the discussion that you guys clearly don't know what a "fringy 5th starter" is silly. Mark Buehrle had multiple entire seasons worth of performance that were as "unimpressive" if not moreso from a rates-standpoint, and he obviously wasn't a "fringy 5th starter". A fringy 5th starter by definition has no redeeming qualities, hence the title. I don't care what Borucki's rates are over 70 IP sample sizes; his arm is clearly superior to that of a "fringy 5th starter", he throws from the left side, and he keeps the ball in the strike zone.
  25. metafour
    His sample sizes are all tiny across ALL levels because of his injury history. That AAA sample was 77 IP over 13 starts. The year before that he was 8.16 K/9 and 1.55 BB/9 in AA (yes, I'm aware that it was at a lower level). The actual scouting looks on him have always been better than his small sample sizes indicate. As in: his overall stuff is above average, and he knows how to throw strikes.
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