Going on last year's record, 93-69.
Most excellent teams will lose 65ish games, so that's a guarantee. A poor 1-run record just means many of those losses will be very close. If a team could swing half of those losses into wins, you'd have a 100+ win juggernaut, which is an absurd thing to expect. A bad 1-run record for a good offense and good pitching staff with a great team record just means that even their losses are hard fought.