Is there not better data on Cecil's pitches on a pitch-by-pitch basis? The stats suggest the stuff is still there, but do the results not also suggest more lapses in stuff than before? It's possible hitters are just more aggressive on the same rate of lapses than previous years, but is there not something to the observations being made that his breaking stuff isn't getting over as sharply as before? Can we really just assume all Cecil pitches are created equally and he's just having bad luck rather than struggling with his control more often than usual? Then again, we only have 26 innings to look at -- but I also don't think that's necessarily a reason to think he should be genuinely better over the next 38 games.
Or, someone who spends more time with stats tell me why I'm wrong.