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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. Martin just spent all of Sept riding the bench despite being healthy. He's not going to be back next year. There are at least a small handful of teams that could be upgraded with him as starting catcher. Jays will still need to eat up money but unless he's ready to play 50 games a year as a back up in 2019, I see no other real alternative. Now if he wants to be a back up and mentor Jansen, then that's a different story. Especially if Maile has actual trade value, then the Jays might be better off from an asset standpoint to do it like that. I just feel like the Jays will trade Martin to do him a favor.
  2. I'd expect it to be pretty low in 2019 considering the team has no plans on contending and Shapiro doesn't like free agency anyway. They'll also be giving playing time to a lot of pre-arb and non expensive arb players. I think $130m is reasonable, but wouldn't surprise me if it's lower, especially if they decide to trade Smoak and Pillar.
  3. He had options this year, don't know about next year. Eh, I'd keep him. Mid-90's FB, gets GB's, strikes out a good amount. I could see him having a surprise 1.0 WAR season out of no where and then disappearing a year later. Or he could flame out completely. Relievers in a nutshell. Cost is low enough to justify keeping him if they decide to go that route.
  4. Combined WAR of JD, Bautista, Edwin, Tulo, and Martin: 2015: 24.3 2016: 17.9 2017: 9.0 2018: 3.9 If only Shapiro extended these guys to long-term deals, or doubled down to add more expensive vets at the expense of prospects. Then we'd be in much better shape.
  5. In Edwin's prime he was striking out about 15% of the time. He was making hard contact, drawing walks, and not striking out. For a 40 HR slugger, that's damn good. Stanton is striking out 30% of the time. He just had a .333 BABIP season and still saw a huge drop in performance. They have some similarities, but the K's and contact rates are huge. Stanton strikes out double the amount Edwin did in his prime. Edwin's offensive profile seemed much more likely to age gracefully than Stanton's does. Stanton looks like an old man skills player. At age 29, I don't think he has many more great years in him.
  6. Well Bautista and Edwin aged pretty well (by post PED standards) due to high walks and modest k%. I think those types would age a bit more gracefully. Stanton has a decent walk rate but nothing great, and his K's won't be going down any time soon. I'm not saying he'll fall off tomorrow, but 9 years is a long time. If he's still a surplus value player for half of those years, I'd be shocked.
  7. In a few years when they will have to be paying Judge, Severino, Didi, Sanchez, etc, a lot more money, he will be making $30m a year. Sure for the Yankees that's not a big deal, but still not a very high value contract. He had over 200 strike outs this year and he was 28 with a 9.9% walk rate. He might have a few more good power years left but when this dude loses bat speed, he's going to fall off like crazy. Those skills don't age well, and he has 9 more years left on his deal.
  8. Brian Cashman never makes bad trades, except for the one which everyone thought was a steal. Nine more years of Stanton as he declines is going to be brutal for them.
  9. Aaron Boone saving his bullpen for tomorrow by keeping CC in there. Smart move.
  10. Before the series started I had the Yankees in 5. Not 100% confident tonight, but I'll stick with that prediction.
  11. Why? For around $1.5m it's not a huge amount of money. Velocity, K's, and GB's. These are the types you get lucky with for one year.
  12. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/10/mlb-arbitration-salaries-2019.html Seems pretty reasonable.
  13. The Braves deserved to get swept too (unfortunately they won a game). The Indians should have played the WC game. A minor tweak in the playoff format (keep the same amount of teams) would work with me. No excuse to have the Indians have a free pass to the DS considering what the Red Sox, Astros, Yankees, and A's had to go through (and all that better records).
  14. Yeah there is a dollar value attached to the comp pick. Don't know the exact number, but I'm confident that Merryweather is worth more than that. Remember this pick is after the 2nd round, not the 1st. We are talking about a pick in the 75 to 80 range.
  15. The one thing worse than a bad team is an old bad team. That's what the Jays have been the last two years. In 2019..... Jansen 24 Tellez 24 Gurriel 25 Diaz 28 Drury 26 McKinney 24 Hernandez 26 Grichuk 27 ----------- Vlad 20 Of course being younger doesn't mean being good, but there's a bunch of guys there who hit the ball hard as hell and might be able to improve. That's something.
  16. None of that matters if JD accepts the qualifying offer. I think that was the whole point of the trade. They did not want him back in 2019, and it was looking like that was the only option if they gave him the QO.
  17. I'm fairly indifferent to Merryweather as a whole, but why does he "suck"? It's not his fault he got hurt and was promoted slow as dirt when he was healthy. It's not like he throws high 80's and gets by with deception. Seems like he sits in the low to mid 90's with two other pitches. He might end up being nothing, but I'm pretty sure no one ever heard of him prior to this trade, so seems pointless to dismiss him or hype him up at this point.
  18. Angel "fire me and you're racist" Hernandez. His job is safe.
  19. Boone's going to get roasted for bringing Severino out for the 4th. Not watching the game so not sure how he looked or what his pitch count was after 3, but bringing in Green after the damage was already done seems like a really pointless move.
  20. Pearce definitely looks good at 1B. Why the Jays put him in LF when he's a walking injury risk and can't play the outfield anymore beats me. A lot of value lost.
  21. They were a .500 team in record and run differential against non Central opponents. I think below .500 record. They have some really good talent but as a team are overrated. They deserve to get swept out of the playoffs by a clearly better team. When 47% of your games are against Min, KC, CWS, and Detroit, and you finish with the same record as the 3rd place team in the East, then no sympathy from me. Get swept and let real teams play in October.
  22. Damn where the hell did Muncy come from? He’s been a beast this year.
  23. Lol at that strike on Acuna.
  24. Kratz not only still playing but starting on a playoff team in 2018 is insane.
  25. Merryweather might pitch in ST, but I doubt he breaks camp with the team. They will probably take it slow with him and then ramp it up towards the middle of the year. Best guess, if he stays healthy, is he will make an appearance on the roster towards the end of the year (Aug/Sept) and then be a rotation candidate for 2020.
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