The top 2 teams in each division make the playoffs regardless of record. So let's assume:
NYY, TAM
MIN, CLE
OAK, HOU
So that leaves two spots open. BAL, SEA, KCR, DET, and BOS all rebuilding/tanking. Angels suck. That leaves 2 spots for Toronto, White Sox, Rangers.
Damn, the Jays actually have a better chance than I thought. Of course Bo being out hurts those chances a lot.