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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. The other thing is that Rogers is very optics-driven. The Jays best shot at trading Vlad would be if he put up a top-3 MVP level season in the next 2-3 years. No guarantee that another team would take him with 10 years left on his contract but if he put up like a 160-170 wRC+, then it would certainly increase the chances. But in that scenario, optics-driven Rogers would want no part of trading their franchise player coming off an MVP level season because of whatever PR hit they'd be destined to take from it. So they can't trade him now when he sucks and they won't trade him later if he ever bounces back. Vlad is either DFA'd some time in the next 13 years if he sucks bad enough, or he simply plays out the contract. I don't think there's another option.
  2. It's the Dodgers. The Brewers could be up 3-0 in the series and up 5 runs in the 9th in Game 4, and I'd still be nervous.
  3. Wow what great AB's by the Brewers. Hoping they can pull this out (game and series).
  4. Never thought I'd root for the Guardians to make the World Series, but here we are. Do the Rays even get a sellout tonight?
  5. The playoff wRC+ for the 4 teams remaining: 95, 93, 79, 65 (MIL, CLE, LAD, and TAM in that order). The Jays had a 128 wRC+ in last season’s playoffs (sad face). This hasn’t been a fun playoffs to watch so far from an offensive standpoint.
  6. MLBTR arb projection for him in 2027 is $11.3M. I think it finally happens this winter (not necessarily to the Jays but in general).
  7. Ross Atkins walking into those trade discussions:
  8. Yeah I'd be fine with anyone still in the playoffs winning other than the Dodgers. The White Sox are technically a big market team but very small payroll so if the Brewers advance past the Dodgers, then we are guaranteed a small market/payroll World Series regardless of what happens on the AL side (the Sox pitching is on fumes so I doubt they even get past the Guardians, much less the Rays). I haven't looked it up but this many small market/payroll teams this late into the post season doesn't happen often. All we need is the Dodgers to F off. A Rays/Guardians vs Brewers World Series would make everyone except FOX TV execs, MLB owners, and Los Angeles happy. That's the outcome we need.
  9. The Rays are going to annihilate whoever wins the White Sox/Guardians series.
  10. Yeah a 7 game DS would be a positive, and 8 regular season games is so minuscule that it wouldn't make much of a difference. The "choose your opponent" thing does feel very gimmicky. It would just be easier to do what the NBA does, which is keep the divisions but seed based on record. The NBA doesn't reseed after each round, but MLB can start doing that. It just makes more sense in general. I think we will see some form of expanded playoffs in the next CBA with or without a salary cap. The owners make more money if they can sell more playoff inventory, so wouldn't shock me at all if we get 1 extra WC in each league and then an expanded DS. The players are going to have to make some concessions to get the owners off a salary cap, and this is probably one of them.
  11. Yeah, while I don’t think the World Series matchup really changes anything as far we the CBA talks, it’s clear MLB has been using fan outrage to fuel their stance publicly. They’ve been paying for pro salary cap ads on MLB Network. A World Series matchup where the combined payroll of the two teams is 25 cents would hurt the owners from an optics standpoint. They’d be halting the game during a period of real momentum for the sport and wouldn’t have the Dodgers to use as the Boogeyman. Owners clearly pulling for a Dodgers three peat. After 2025 I never want to see the Dodgers win again so hopefully it’s the Brewers year in the NL.
  12. Their lineup plays a lot better at home, so wouldn't shock me if they win the next two. 90% of their lineup without Judge are LHB that benefit from their Mickey Mouse home dimensions. Cody Bellinger has a wRC+ of 97 and 81 on the road the last two seasons, while it's 149 and 152 at home. Of course, their fielding likely sucks anywhere, so all the Rays have to do is put the ball in play and the Yankees will panic.
  13. If you thought the 2025 Yankees were sloppy defensively, man, this game is a reminder that it's still there. Buck Martinez watching this game with a smile on his face.
  14. Using Sale in Game 3 of the WC series was foolish but now he’s starting Game 3 of the DS with a 1-1 series, so not the worst outcome for the Braves. Hopefully they eliminate the Dodgers. I don’t think they will, but Ray Kerr is proving that AA’s voodoo from 2021 might still exist.
  15. The Braves advancing past the Dodgers would be "playoffs are a crapshoot" on steroids. The Dodgers are starting Yamamoto in Game 3 (probably to match up with Sale) and have Skubal and Snell in the first two while the Braves are probably running bullpen games due to lack of options. Although this is the same team that won a World Series in 2021 with Eddie Rosario and Jorge Soler as their best players, so maybe AA still has some voodoo magic left over from back then.
  16. I think Keys will be traded. His best position is probably 1B, and that position is taken until 2067 when Vlad's contract ends. This team values defense way too much to throw him in LF and hope he sticks, and they barely played him in September. So on this team he's really DH-mainly. That makes him a bit less valuable to the Jays and possibly more valuable in a trade as other teams could use him at 1B or possibly 3B depending on how he looks there. Davidi mentioned Abrams, Marte, and Neto as potential trade targets. I don't think the Jays have enough expendable prospect depth to get any of those players but Keys would probably be involved in a deal like that for someone. If Arizona hates Marte enough to sell low then maybe that's an option.
  17. Robert has a career 137 wRC+ against LHP and 122 the last two seasons. As long as he's used as a platoon player, he's likely a more useful asset to the Jays than Straw would be aside from clubhouse vibez. Of course there's injury history to take into account, so that hurts Robert, but slap hitting Straw combined with slap hitting Bateman, combined with slap hitting Gimenez, combined with slap hitting Clement, etc, etc, is a bit overkill. Need to diversify that skill set a bit.
  18. A Bateman/Robert platoon would be pretty interesting. I'd much rather they go that route than the more boring route of picking up Straw's option (or declining the option and bringing him back on a cheaper, but still probably around $5-6M a year, deal). Or go get Denzel Clarke from the A's now that Bolte is their everyday CF. At least you could look at bat speed, defense, and base running, and see a potentially useful backup making the minimum. I feel like Suzuki might be the team's main offensive target. They really need a RHB who can bat somewhere in the top 4 spots of a playoff lineup, and he's clearly in that category. Age is really the biggest issue there.
  19. I think the Jays are going to make a big move (or two) prior to the lockout. November might be quiet for teams/owners who want to avoid any dollars spent before a work stoppage, but there are a handful a teams who DGAF about money and thankfully the Jays are one of them. The Dodgers have an owner going through major legal issues so that might open the market up if they are a bit more reserved in spending because of it. The Mets have a Dollar Store version of Peter Brand from Moneyball as their GM so how they spend will depend on Cohen. Should be interesting. Whatever this winter's version of Dylan Cease is, I think the Jays do it pretty early in the off season.
  20. Was Donnie Baseball trying to get a 3 inning save from a closer who rarely pitches more than 1 inning? I originally thought he was brought in to face the top of the Braves order but then they brought him back for a 2nd inning, and who was going to pitch the 9th if the Phillies still had the lead? Just odd managing there. Last night’s SD crowd reaffirmed who I am rooting for in the NL. That crowd in a World Series would be incredible.
  21. From Shi Davidi: "Still, since they always big-game hunt, they’re sure to at least check in with Tarik Skubal but they’ve also done lots of work on this year’s Japanese class, including starters Kaima Taira and Hiromi Itoh, and third baseman/outfielder Teruaki Sato". Ross Atkins this winter:
  22. The Jays came off one of the more infuriating seasons that I can remember, but on the last game of a lost season the stadium was packed, and the fans gave departing players the type of send off that players dream about. One thing that is understated aside from the obvious financial advantage the Jays have is that they've built a culture that players want to play for (like Bieber above). Obviously without money that wouldn't mean much to free agents, but when you combine culture with deep pockets, that's a huge competitive advantage. Hopefully the MLBPA wins and we don't see a salary cap (and I don;'t think we will).
  23. NL: Anyone but the Dodgers. Literally anyone. Don't care who, as long as LA is bounced in the DS. I'll probably root for the Padres, but wouldn't be against any of the non-LA teams making a run. AL: Picking a team here is impossible. Half of them don't even belong in the post season, and the other half are the AL East which I don't like for homer reasons. I refuse to root for the Rays at any point unless it helps the Jays, so won't root for them. I don't hate the Yankees like others here do, but my least favorite sports team just won a title (Knicks) and if the Yankees win in the same year, insufferable would be an understatement. Maybe the White Sox just due to how crazy their fans in the stadium are. I have Astros fatigue and the Guardians put me to sleep every year. TLDR, I guess Padres in the NL and White Sox in the AL.
  24. Yeah Abrams is an option as well though after trading Nimmala I’m not sure the Jays have enough in the farm to make a trade like that. Some of the older more expensive options that could be traded (Seager, Lindor, Bo, etc) should cost a lot less due to their salaries. Arraez can’t be given the QO and his offensive profile is what Ross dreams about at night, so I could see that happening, but I’d shoot for more/higher impact if possible.
  25. I wonder who the "significant middle infielder" the Jays were allegedly discussing at the deadline was. Aside from the FA class (Lowe, Chisholm, Arraez), there should be a few big money infielders potentially available in trades like Seager, Lindor, Bo, and possibly Marte.
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