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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    Tonight's lineup is out. Anyone wanna guess who is catching? It's the catcher you would expect Buntoyo to start in a game where a loss could mean the end of the season.
  2. glory
    It's exaggerated in the sense that we can't determine how many wins it may have cost the team, but I don't think it's exaggerated in terms of playing a factor. These are human beings. They are big leaguers who had to play in non-MLB facilities for most of their home games, and while in theory baseball is baseball wherever it is played, I think there is a real difference between big league amenities and whatever they got in Dunedin/Buffalo. Nevermind the advantage of having an actual home crowd and not 2000-5000 locals mostly cheering for the other team or cheering for the sake of cheering since they didn't have a dog in the fight. If the Jays were allowed to play in Toronto 1-2 months earlier, I wouldn't be shocked at all if it meant the difference between being 1 game back of WC2 and being in a WC spot.
  3. glory
    Along with Montoyo, the bolded is the correct answer. By the end of the season, the Jays will have played 36 real home games all year. Any other team who played 36 games at home and 126 games on the road may have underachieved in a similar fashion, although a competent manager would have weathered some/a lot of that storm. Montoyo + Canada. 2021's biggest determining factors by a landslide.
  4. glory
    2015 Gibby was borderline Montoyo. Not full Montoyo, because no one is that stupid, but in a similar category. Had no idea who his best relievers were, defensive lineups were bad (pre trade deadline), and the team at the deadline was .500 with a huge positive RD, multiple MVP candidates, etc. The division was much weaker that year so they were able to win the division with their 2nd half run. The 2021 team is in the most stacked division in the league so their 2nd half run is likely going to fall short. Definitely some revisionism with Gibby, but in 2016-18 I thought he was a perfectly competent manager, and really that's all the team needed in 2021. Put Gibby on this team this season and it's leading the WC right now. No question in my mind. But they could definitely do better, and the job is much more appealing now than it was when Buntoyo was hired.
  5. glory
    I did not like Gibby at all in 2015, which saw the team ironically underachieve their pythag in a similar manner as the 2021 team, but he got remarkably better in 2016-18. I'd be fine with bringing him back, but ultimately, anyone who can tell the difference between his best players and his worst players would instantly be an improvement over Montoyo. Replacing Charlie is about the easiest improvement the team can make. It can't get worse, and I don't think anyone is as bad as him, so worst case is a minor improvement regardless of who it is.
  6. glory
    If the Jays go 4-1 the rest of the way, then there's probably a glimmer of a chance, but that would mean the Red Sox would have to go 3-2 and IMO they are more likely to go 4-1 than the Jays are. That's not even factoring the M's. I think the Jays are going to run out of time, or possibly already have. Maybe they surprise and go 5-0 the rest of the way, but they may have peaked in September about a week too early.
  7. glory
    I wish Montoyo was the M's manager so their record would be closer to their run differential (probably worse). Finishing behind them would be embarrassing.
  8. glory
    I'm in NY, so blacked out on MLB.tv for me, and I'm too lazy to go downstairs to watch it on cable. Stanton just did me a favor, I'm glad I wasn't watching.
  9. glory
    Watching on Gameday, but really want to see video of that strike 1 on Stanton based on where the location was.
  10. glory
    The Red Sox are down 4-2 heading into the 9th. Jays have to win this game if that score holds up.
  11. glory
    Horrible base running.
  12. glory
    CF Springer 2B Semien 1B Guerrero SS Bichette RF Hernandez DH Gurriel LF Dickerson 3B Espinal CA Jansen
  13. glory
    7 inning games and less than 162 regular season games + expanded playoffs. Wouldn't be surprised if that happened at some point. Not any time soon, but someday.
  14. glory
    The pitch clock is the single biggest change they can make that will improve the game. If they changed nothing else besides that, they'd still see a dramatic improvement. Hopefully they implement it next season. It might force the Dolis' of the world into retirement, but I'm sure the game will survive without them. I also like limiting the pick off attempts. That will not go over well with the older crowd, but will definitely cut some of the dead time between pitches, and stolen bases are one of the most exciting plays in the game so adding more of that will help. I think all the rules will help the sport become more visually appealing. Baseball doesn't need a huge change, just minor adjustments. None of these changes hurts the "integrity of the game", so even the ones against it will probably get over it soon enough.
  15. glory
    I'm actually surprised the cheat sheets aren't more hated by fans. I rarely see it brought up as an issue with the game, so maybe most fans don't care, but just looking at players on the field having scouting reports in their pockets is just a bad look, IMO. That's why in a way I was glad Kirk got his notes stolen just to show how stupid it is to bring them on the field to begin with, but I'm probably in the minority here.
  16. glory
    None of what they are doing appeals to a younger demo, so even if the old farts hate their ways, it's not like the young ones are going to gravitate to it, so who benefits from it? Not the sport, and not the fans. The league has to (justifiably) alter rules just to avoid the Rays making the game longer and more boring. Not a single positive comes from anything they do. If the players buy in to their BS, then good for them. I hope they enjoy being underpaid and/or thrown away the moment they make more than six figures.
  17. glory
    I like robo umps (obviously) and a pitch clock. Those two things specifically will help the sport, especially the pitch clock. I've watched baseball with casuals and non-fans, and the biggest issue for them is usually dead time between pitches. I remember seeing an interview with Theo Epstein where he said the things considered most exciting by fans were triples, doubles, and stolen bases. Not sure there is a way to increase 2B/3Bs, but the pick off limit should help SB's. I'm actually fine with all of those rules. Not entirely sure about the shift policy, but if it makes no difference in outcomes on average, then we probably won't even notice it.
  18. glory
    Jays go 5-1 and Yankees go 3-3 to force a tiebreaker. That's really the only way I see the Jays making it. If the Red Sox lose more than 1 game this week, it will be a damn miracle with the pitching they are facing.
  19. glory
    As mentioned though, Semien is on the wrong side of 30 now, while Bichette is still very young. Semien was a better defensive SS previously but will he be over the next 3-5 years? Another factor is that Bichette wants to be a SS, and the Jays, if they want any chance of extending him, have to consider his wants to some degree (unless he becomes 2019-2020 Vlad, then you just make the move and tell him to be quiet). If the Jays re-sign Semien, and Bo agrees to moving off SS, then that's another story, but I don't see that happening, and if Semien would prefer moving back to SS, then coming back to the Jays becomes a little less of a priority especially if the offers are similar elsewhere.
  20. glory
    Agreed. Bichette is still very young and having him at SS hasn't hurt the Jays chances of competing this season. Bringing Semien back as a 2B is fine, but I don't think Bo has Gleyber'd his way out of SS yet, so keep him there and work on his D. I vaguely remember a FG article about how having Matt Chapman at 3B helped Semien's fielding at short. I don't know how true that is, but I guess my point is, buy low on Chapman and keep Bo at short. Problem solved. If only it were that easy.
  21. glory
    Don't forget inexplicably giving Panik 123 plate appearances in 2+ months when Espinal was better in Spring Training and better throughout the season. Having a manager who legit did not know who his best players were and still being on pace to win 90 games is both remarkable and frustrating. Even a competent manager and this team might be comfortably in a WC spot right now.
  22. glory
    The Yankees sweeping was the worst case scenario for the Jays. TOR is 1 game back of Boston, but it's entirely possible that the Red Sox win their next 6 games or at least go 5-1. The road is a lot tougher now, unless the Jays can sweep the Yankees.
  23. glory
    Good. Not sure if going back to Montreal is the solution, but getting the hell out of Tampa is a good start. So many other markets would kill to have a baseball team period right now, much less one of the best teams in the sport. The Rays need to sell $10 tickets just to get 10k into that dump in September. There is no fixing that market. Take the L and move on (Nashville, Charlotte, Montreal, wherever).
  24. glory
    Yeah, the teams offering him long term deals last off season were likely trying to get him at a bargain. Now he gets 1/18 + probably well over $100m this winter. Smart move on his part. Could have easily taken the money but he knew his value and waited. Perfect example of betting on yourself.
  25. glory
    He's also just as hated by Yankees fans as Charlie is by Jays fans. Although no argument on the beta part. If Montoyo even tried to do a "Savages in the box" rant in front of an umpire, it would take him about 10 seconds before he had tears in his eyes and apologized profusely.
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