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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
  2. glory
    I don't think so. He wants to have the highest AAV in baseball or close to it (and I'm sure Boras wants that too). He's so young that he doesn't need to trap himself in a 15 year deal with a lower AAV, and let's be honest, $29m a year for someone of his caliber is not going to get it done regardless of which team is offering it. I definitely think he'd be more open to an extension with the Dodgers, Yankees, Mets, etc, but the money still has to be there. Wouldn't surprise me if Boras is trying to get $500m.
  3. glory
    He's getting money from the Jays for the rest of this season and all of next season, while having all the free time in the world to play bongos. He's fine.
  4. glory
    Soto is a generational hitting talent with probably the best offensive profile in the league, and year 1 of his FA deal will be his age 26 season. I disagree that he wouldn't be able to get $40m AAV, but even if he got a $35m AAV, a 12 year deal at that AAV is $420m + two years of arb before that. If he stays healthy and keeps performing like he has, then I think the only thing stopping him from $40m/yr is the amount of years he'd be looking for. Usually those long deals come at the expense of AAV. But in general, I think he's beating Trout's contract at a minimum, IMO. How much higher it goes depends on performance, health, etc.
  5. glory
    Trade value site has Soto's value at 193.7 and Bichette/Moreno/Martinez at 192.10, so that's probably a fair offer. We are talking about 3 chances at a World Series with Soto/Vlad on the roster together. Espinal would probably be better defensive SS than Bo, and Biggio has bounced back to the point where starting him at 2B is probably doable now. Kirk/Jansen cover catcher for at least the next 2.5 years (until Jansen is a FA) so the sting of losing Moreno won't be felt short term. Martinez has a high ceiling but also a risky profile so you could probably live with moving him. I'd do that deal and prepare for Soto to leave after 2024.
  6. glory
    I know health risk is always there, but I don't blame him for turning it down if he wants to bet on himself. On the open market he'd easily get over $40m AAV two years from now. He's making $17m this season. Two more years of arb he's likely looking at, what, $50m (give or take) over the next two years? So if someone will give him over $400m two years from now, plus the ~$50m he will get in arb over the next two years, then why would he sign that Nats deal? Only reason would be if he was terrified of injury or performance over the next 2 years, and he clearly isn't. I agree it's tough to turn that much guaranteed money down, but if he feels he can get more, possibly much more, then good for him to bet on himself.
  7. glory
    Yeah I think Vlad will rebound offensively, but right now his 2019, 2020, and 2022 seasons are far closer to each other than they are to his 2021 season. Not to mention the first four months of his 2021 season had him playing his home games in a minor league stadium and spring training complex (don't remember what his home/road splits were but I'd imagine they were somewhat significant). If he was a SS or OF, then no problem, but as a 1B (much less a 1B who previously had body fat issues), it's hard to justify the Tatis-level contract it would take to get him to sign at this point. I don't think he takes 10/300 even at his current performance. He becomes a FA after his age 26 season. That's very young. He's not Acuna or Albies who signed their primes away for way less than they were worth, he's likely looking to maximize his earnings. The extension candidates on this team are probably Kirk and Moreno, as I don't believe they were highly touted so their signing bonuses were probably marginal, though could be wrong on that.
  8. glory
    Hopefully there is some 9th inning magic because this would be a terrible loss.
  9. glory
    Banda in a high leverage spot seems a little risky.
  10. glory
    Jays had their 2nd best starter on the mound, their best lineup on the field, and are facing a AAA roster (almost entirely) and still could lose. If there is a way to blame Charlie and/or Tapia for this, please let me know.
  11. glory
    Yeah this is an excellent lineup. The right players are playing, and moving Bichette down in the order was badly needed. Schneider already looking better than Buntoyo.
  12. glory
    Yeah with the current roster, if they don't want to play both catchers at once and want to use DH as a revolving door of rest days for their regulars, then Biggio needs to be the everyday utility player. When Gurriel is DH, then Biggio is in LF. When Vlad is DH, then Biggio at 1B. Etc. The issue is when Springer needs a blow, but either live with Zimmer there in that spot or might as well use Biggio there. Not like Tapia is a great defensive CF. Basically, Tapia shouldn't be on this team, so the fact that he's in the lineup at all is a problem. My guess/fear is that this is a 2016 Justin Smoak situation where they see Tapia having some type of breakout potential with the bat and wanting to see it through. Otherwise his playing time makes no sense at all.
  13. glory
    I know it’s not happening this season but really hope the Angels trade him. You just don’t know how long he will be able to do both at this level, and it would be a shame if he wastes any more of this for that franchise.
  14. glory
    Yeah as much as I want them to replace Tapia, I see them standing pat on the position player side. My guess is all the pickups are going to be pitching (1 starter and then as many RP's as they can afford/get).
  15. glory
    The player to benefits most from the way the Jays use the DH spot is Tapia, who is awful. If Benintendi were getting those plate appearances instead, it would be a pretty dramatic upgrade. The Jays simply don’t like using both catchers at the same time often enough. Replacing Tapia with a LH OF would be a nice fit.
  16. glory
    So Benintendi is not a trade option for the Jays. Would have fit perfectly. Need a LH bat to avoid Tapia getting 550 plate appearances.
  17. glory
    First game, Tapia starts. Thread is necessary.
  18. glory
    The Jays would have to miss the playoffs entirely for Schneider not to be named the full time manager after this season, IMO. Seems like more of a formality, but I guess we will see. The last time the Jays were looking for a manager it was in a season where they were expecting to tank hard after being bad for 2 straight years. The job should be a lot more attractive now than it was then, so hopefully they do an actual search at the end of the season. Maybe Schneider ends up being the right call regardless. We will see.
  19. glory
    Montoyo will be back working in the Rays org in no time. He's never going to be a manager again, but he'll still be in baseball, I'm sure.
  20. glory
    Oh my god, best news of the season.
  21. glory
    Always have to enjoy this lineup when we get it. Probably won't see it again for a few days at least (unless the team losing actually smartens them up).
  22. glory
    With the way the Jays use DH, I don't think Horowitz has a future here even if the bat is legit.
  23. glory
    If they fire Charlie then it’s going to be Schneider replacing him. I don’t know if that’s better or the same (can’t be worse, I hope).
  24. glory
    The Jays were a World Series pick by many outlets if I recall correctly. They have to be the biggest so far. The White Sox were supposed to win their (s*****) division but the Jays were supposed to be the best team in the AL (or at least damn close to it).
  25. glory
    Probably a frightening thought for every team in the league other than this one.
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