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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    Kikuchi isn't walking as many as last year but he's been getting thoroughly destroyed. More strikes but easier to hit as a result.
  2. Orgfiller
    You’re doing god’s work pointing out these intriguing relief arms in the minors.
  3. Orgfiller
    The team must be enamoured with his stuff and command/composure to be promoting him this aggressively with just a 9 inning look. Great stuff, we could use another homegrown power arm knocking at the door.
  4. Orgfiller
    Bang on. It's kind of unfathomable how he's improved significantly in some of his biggest weak points (at least among publicly available stats), and yet he's still a relative disappointment because he somehow can't seem to sustain even a .200 BABIP. How is that even possible? How is someone with this much power, who has improved on swing decisions at the surface level, not just absolutely dominating with the results to show. Him having more homeruns than every other type of hit is mindblowing. Even a Joey Gallo-esque BABIP would make him into a top 50 prospect by age-relative performance.
  5. Orgfiller
    This is the opposite of how casuals act. Casuals want to be acquiring big names. If you trade your franchise cornerstone (Chapman, Olson, Sean Murphy) for a package deal, then you're getting "4 nobodies" in return for a star. At the very least if you trade them for one or two very good prospects, you can half justify it by saying "okay we traded our best player away but at least we got the #X and Y prospects in the game". In the A's case they quite literally traded their stars for nobodies, not even a single guy with high upside. Just boring near-MLB players with a 2-3 WAR ceiling and as we see, a much lower floor.
  6. Orgfiller
    Davis Schneider is single handedly turning himself into a centrepiece for a deal with the A’s.
  7. Orgfiller
    You're not wrong, but a team like the Rays very much does this kind of thing. Fairbanks, Nick Anderson, Jalen Beeks (part of their current pen) were all traded for very tangible assets. They traded Willy Adames, the centerpiece of the Price deal, for J.P. Feyereisen (sucked, now good with the Dodgers), Drew Rasmussen - originally a reliever, good but broke under a starter's workload, and our very own Trevor Richards went to the Brewers, acquired via previous trade. It's just really f***ing hard to build a good bullpen, the elite arms are worth a fortune, the half capable ones cost real players (Teoscar, Groshans), and the rest of them are a bunch of gas cans.
  8. Orgfiller
    Yeah, sometimes relievers gonna reliever. Steve Delabar was an all-star reliever in 2013, unplayable the rest of his career. Dominic Leone was acquired and had a career year in 2017 and then has bounced around as a replacement level reliever all over the league. The O's took Yennier Cano who was a complete nobody with good stuff and bad command, AKA every other reliever ever, and now he's walked 1 in 27 innings. Credit to them for targeting an arm like that and turning his career around, but if he then went to walk 30 the rest of the season it shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone. Clay Holmes went from journeyman to unhittable to pumpkin in the span of a calendar year. The Rays are seemingly the experts of getting career years out of relievers before shipping them out just before they combust, although their bullpen this year has been garbage so it's not always a foolproof strategy. Relievers are volatile. Target the good arms and try to make them all not look exactly the same (the Rays strategy) and some years your bullpen will just be unhittable, others they'll be unplayable.
  9. Orgfiller
    I guess it's just more frustrating that the share of the bad luck is all coming against the good bats - Vlad, Chapman, Springer, even Varsho is vastly underperforming. Like nobody would care as much if Merrifield and his bloops got a few more outs in return for some of the rockets the aforementioned players hit not being caught.
  10. Orgfiller
    Yeah I'm pretty sure it's just EV and LA. A counterpoint to that though, the Braves have the highest pull rate in the league (and highest xWOBA to go along with it as well) and as a team are underperforming by even more than the Jays. So I feel like it's really just luck all things considered.
  11. Orgfiller
    This advice is Vlad in a nutshell.
  12. Orgfiller
    If there's one thing that's truly unexplainable to me is why over half the lineup is underperforming their expected stats: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/expected_statistics?type=batter&year=2023&position=&team=141&min=q&sort=13&sortDir=asc These are pretty big gaps, for some of our better hitters. 5 of them with more than just a tiny difference. Varsho sure would look better with an actual wOBA of .324, Vlad with a .400+ wOBA, Springer with a .337. Do they just have unprecedented predictable hitting patterns that every team in the league is ahead of us in? Meanwhile of course, the f***ing Rays. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/expected_statistics?type=batter&year=2023&position=&team=139&min=q&sort=13&sortDir=desc Basically their entire lineup is overperforming. You can't convince me that if you take a look at their hitting talent and ours and tell me that this is just something that's teachable and the Jays are way behind. Sure, Tampa is definitely doing something to make all of these guys straight up hit better, but not being lucky on purpose.
  13. Orgfiller
    I mean if there's one group of guys who you could just tell to get their heads out of their asses and hit better it's Springer, Bichette (already elite), Vlad, Chapman, Kirk, Jansen, Belt (actually looking competent these days). The only ones there currently with issues is Vlad who has every single hitting tool you could ask for, but bad habits, and Kirk who's become a groundball machine but could certainly snap out of it. It's not like this is the Yankees current lineup who is Judge, Rizzo, Torres and a bunch of literal scrubs to just be better. These guys are actually good and have been good. Biggio, Espinal, whatever, yeah good luck to them.
  14. Orgfiller
    Springer is finally regressing to his xStats and career numbers and you wanna move him down lol. 136 wRC+ in May, .335 xWOBA this season. He's fine unless you want to flip him and Bo for whatever reason and fix something that isn't broken. Springer's power will return, no reason to move him around in the lineup.
  15. Orgfiller
    What's been the problem with Kirk's defense? His arm has been lacklustre, but as evidenced by games like today the pitchers aren't giving him anything to work with. He's a good framer and an excellent pitch blocker, two aspects in which he's been better than Moreno at.
  16. Orgfiller
    Vlad has to be the most angsty good hitter in a clutch spot. He just can't look for a good pitch, just has to make an impact on anything close to the zone and as usual makes weak contact as a result of swinging at junk.
  17. Orgfiller
    Yup
  18. Orgfiller
    Can't wait for a Bo single and Manuel Margot to rob Vlad of a homerun the next AB.
  19. Orgfiller
    Small victories, since those are the only ones it seems we'll get this game; Biggio and Kirk have a few decently hit balls this game. This to go along with Cavan's homerun from yesterday.
  20. Orgfiller
    Is it honestly worth considering stretching Richards out for 3-5 innings until Francis is healthy or we find another SP option? Something like Pearson for 2, Richards for 3-4, turn it over to the rest of the bullpen and have another long man in waiting (to replace Manoah's spot) in case it all goes horribly wrong.
  21. Orgfiller
    Wow, a line drive straight at someone, who would've thought.
  22. Orgfiller
    Man, Belt is just a solid ass hitter. Ump's been great too in an otherwise awful game to watch.
  23. Orgfiller
    Yeah those all sucked for sure.
  24. Orgfiller
    I mean it's not luck that their awful fielding 1B can't make routine plays but hangs on long enough to make the out. But Kirk hitting a rocket to RF with a man on second only to find yet another glove is truly infuriating.
  25. Orgfiller
    Brooks Raley is the Ron Washington first base meme personified. "It's incredibly hard". He looks hopeless out there.
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