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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. Orgfiller
    It went under his glove as a routine fieldable groundball. That’s a 3 base error all the way.
  2. Orgfiller
    How does Vlad even mishit that. That should’ve been sent 450 feet.
  3. Orgfiller
    It's kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy. The reason homers are important in the playoffs, or more decisive, is because pitching and defense are that much better compared to the regular season. The best teams are in the playoffs, and the best teams tend to have better pitching and defense, so the baseline is already naturally significantly higher. With better pitching and defense, it's harder to string hits together and make s*** happen on the bases, so out-homering the opponent will set you up better for getting wins. You also can't be a bad hitting team and make the playoffs, generally speaking. So teams that make it will have more prolific power hitters/hit better for power as a team, and it will be manifested into better winning chances when encountering good pitching + defense in the playoffs, against similarly powerful teams.
  4. Orgfiller
    Yeah, most seem to think Votto is essentially a slam dunk HOF'er, and Freeman will easily surpass him in fWAR next season barring catastrophic injury in the offseason, and will be within a couple of decent (2-3 win) seasons from also overtaking him in bWAR as well. He's peaking offensively and baserunning wise in his mid 30s lol. To be fair, this is also around exactly when Votto started succumbing to injuries and age related decline. Freddie is easily tracking to surpass him in most counting stats, with career-wise wRC+ currently a wash, though he likely ends up under as his decline years bring down the overall performance.
  5. Orgfiller
    Moreno is a poor framer and DRS believes he's the second coming of Yadier Molina (who was, unsurprisingly, one of the best framers of all time). That's where the massive (2+ wins) difference in rWAR and fWAR are coming from. OAA still thinks he's a good defensive catcher, albeit more good than great due to the aforementioned framing issues. Fun fact: Varsho is 0.4 dWAR behind Moreno, as DRS believes he's Brett Gardner in LF and Kevin Kiermaier in CF. He has 27 DRS combined, 17 of which are attributed to his CF defense - which is as much as KK has but Varsho has accrued it in half the innings.
  6. Orgfiller
    He did strike out 7. The weird thing is a lot of the Rays’ hits were on fastballs way outside the zone. Almost as if they were just waiting on Kikuchi to lose his release point and miss up and away, which he does pretty often throughout his starts. Kind of a fascinating strategy, don’t think many teams are just waiting for a pitcher to miss but not in the middle of the zone.
  7. Orgfiller
    Oops
  8. Orgfiller
    I mean, Gausman exists. The pitching and defense has been great, that’s why we’re here. The hitters as a group have been decent but nobody has stood out for prolonged periods without slumping or getting injured (Bo).
  9. Orgfiller
    I feel like a big part of it is how many fans are transplants. Lots of NYY, Red Sox and Canadian snowbird fans down south. Obviously Florida also has a big Latin American community, and many of those fans are also Yankees or Red Sox (Big Papi) fans by default. Those games for the Rays probably average by far the most attendance, while Miami doesn't even get to see the Yankees all that much.
  10. Orgfiller
    While I'm sure there were mechanical swing changes involved, I'm pretty sure Heyward has changed his swing many times throughout the course of his career. I think it's been a big thing and a source of frustration with fans of the teams that have employed him. He never lived up to the offensive bar he put up in his rookie 20 year old season and bounced between awful to mediocre to somewhat above average offensively ever since. That's not to say he was a bust or his career hasn't been a productive one, but it's been a recurring theme for him to make changes to his swing that have had varying levels of success, or lack thereof.
  11. Orgfiller
    They've done what now seems like an obvious move in retrospect, and completely shielded him from facing LHP. Career 116 wRC+ vs RHP but 78 against LHP. As a result this is his best offensive season since his 20 year old rookie year, granted, there's a fair bit of smoke and mirrors here as the underlying Statcast batted ball numbers aren't very good. Still an excellent fielder though and he's a neutral baserunner, so a very valuable platoon bat who faces the majority of pitchers.
  12. Orgfiller
    They're just the raw values, the units presumably being run value added (or subtracted) relative to some baseline level. I think Savant prefers relative to average than to replacement level. They’re basically just giving you more info now in the main player dashboard rather than just the percentile rankings. At least now you can see how they compare to the rest of the league even if they’re unqualified.
  13. Orgfiller
    Definitely still in. Not sure what moves I need to make in the offseason to fix the issues with the team but I'll be exploring my options.
  14. Orgfiller
    This is how
  15. Orgfiller
    To be fair it might’ve been a cutter and the movement caught him off guard. But yeah he was way behind on that.
  16. Orgfiller
    Way to dig in for the last batter Berrios.
  17. Orgfiller
    That was some Rick Ankiel s*** from Ragans.
  18. Orgfiller
    Came off the bag, he’s out.
  19. Orgfiller
    Insane plate discipline from Babe. No idea how he took that 2-2 slider low in the zone.
  20. Orgfiller
    Kirk should apologize to Waters for that absolute robbery of a strike. No one handles the bottom of the zone like he does.
  21. Orgfiller
    2021 Vlad gets that over the fence but that was an excellent AB.
  22. Orgfiller
    I remember thinking the same about Matt Moore back in the day.
  23. Orgfiller
    Not really honestly. I love Trout obviously but he’s now 32 on a huge contract until he’s 39 and it’s pretty clear his durability is a big concern especially at this point in his career. The Angels would have to eat half his salary to even get the conversation started for most teams to begin offering any half decent prospect.
  24. Orgfiller
    97 from Chad Green is exactly what we needed to see. Makes the slider far more effective.
  25. Orgfiller
    Lol come on man
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