With so many teams fighting for basically 1 WC spot, I think it's highly unlikely that 83 wins is enough. You have to expect that one of Cleveland, Texas or Baltimore will finish strong. I think 84 wins is likely the bare minimum to get in maybe even 85. We definitely have a decent shot and the schedule is in our favour but we literally can't take a single series off the rest of the way. The next 2 series against the Royals and As we need to win 4 of 6, preferably 5. Both those teams are basically out of it so they will be playing loose with no pressure on them. Baltimore we need to at least split those 6 games so we hold on to the tiebreaker, and then take 2 of 3 from Texas, Detroit and Cincy. That gets us to 84 wins and I think would be enough especially since we would hold the tiebreaker against both Cleveland and Baltimore in this scenario. Texas is honestly the team that scared me the most. They have a fairly easy schedule and hold the tiebreaker against us no matter what we do in that last series against them since they swept us 4-0 in June. I see that series as an absolute must win vs them. We aren't in the worst position but let's not kid ourselves, getting that last WC spot is still gonna be extremely tough. We basically have little to no margin for error and are gonna need one of the best September's in franchise history.