His BABIP was .290 last year and he still had an inflated ERA. I don't recall what his strand rate was. Obviously, anytime a guy has an ERA way above his xFIP there are going to be stats to suggest he'll turn it around. He just seems really inconsistent, and yes I am using the eye test but he tends to just lose it for periods. How many pitchers have had an ERA much higher (not 90 points but say 40-50) than their xFIP over a long career? Legitimate question I am curious.