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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    Sabermetrics isn't about OBP. It's about exploiting a particular aspect of baseball that other teams undervalue. In Billy Beane's case, it was OBP. It is now widely recognized that OBP is important, so OBP is itself no more Sabermetric than my left testicle. So any argument that uses a team with a high OBP as an example who has this amazing understanding of sabermetrics is baseless. Using tiny sample sizes of one player in rookie ball as evidence of anything is stupid. And perhaps the most telling reason that this thread is pretty much filled with garbage, is you're here agreeing with everything he's saying.
  2. John_Havok
    The only thing that he's said in this entire thread that's true is that OBP is important. Pretty much everything else is a steaming pile of crap.
  3. John_Havok
    Very much a project, the jays knew that when they took him.
  4. John_Havok
    Oh the irony....
  5. John_Havok
    Maybe, but the Jays need all of their rotation pitching well in order to make any noise in the fall. Forgive my pessimism,but despite wang and Rogers pitching well over their first few starts expecting them to be even average starters is a stretch. Buerhle is #5 at best and Johnson is inconsistant from 1 start to the next. The rotation is a mess right now and I don't think AA has a legit chance to fix it for a run this year
  6. John_Havok
    I don't think he is, but still, by definition, it's a pretty crappy debut.
  7. John_Havok
    Stop the presses, we have a Matt Smoral sighting! 0.1 IP, Hit the first batter who was then CS, then 3 consecutive walks before he got the hook.
  8. John_Havok
    I've already stated repeatedly that I think Pillar will make the majors and be a contributor, but not as a regular long term.
  9. John_Havok
    Re-read this thread and there's plenty of legitimate points raised.
  10. John_Havok
    Melky Cabrera at 24. 4th year in the majors. Pillar at 24. Total of 353 PA at AA and higher, only 26 of which are at AAA. Yep very equal
  11. John_Havok
  12. John_Havok
    Right now it's actually slightly lower than the last two years but within .6%, and 2 ish % higher than his career average. But his walk rate is he lowest of his career.
  13. John_Havok
    Gotta cut dem walks...
  14. John_Havok
    Maicer hasn't impressed thus far, but I think he's about ready to go on a bit of a run. I like Maicer better than Kawasaki as a starting 2b ROS. I also think how Maicer plays between now and the deadline is really going to play heavily into how aggressively AA pursues a 2b via trade.
  15. John_Havok
    I think you greatly underestimate the jump in skill level from AA to AAA and finally to the majors. I have no real doubt that Pillar will make the majors, and will probably contribute pretty well in a 4th OF only replacement getting 250-300 PA in a season.
  16. John_Havok
    Since neither Kawasaki nor Boni would be playing full time, choosing one over the other based solely on "what have you done for me lately" would be short sighted. It comes do to who's skillset plays better on the bench of the Jays right now, and a switch hitting speedster who can back OF and infield is probably more needed than a light hitting MIF only backup. Bear on mind the Jays are going to go through this again when Lawrie comes back unless there's another injury at the same time. Dump a reliever or dump Boni.. Then when Santos is back...
  17. John_Havok
    Yep legit. Rick Litsch and ECJF were wonderful friends
  18. John_Havok
    He was specifically referring to catcher and CF though, neither of those guys you mentioned fit that bill
  19. John_Havok
    He just told you. Guys with good defense and better than league average BA and OBP, you know, those guys hat never really get traded?
  20. John_Havok
    Sure would like to see some pop though...
  21. John_Havok
    Pillar very unclutch. 4-4 in th game and he comes up with an insurance run at 2b, 2 outs... Dribbler to SS.... #bust
  22. John_Havok
    Might try the Reading feed at http://www.1340wraw.com/main.html
  23. John_Havok
    Non prospect Adam Loewen 5-5 today, all singles, mashing over his last 10 games. Non-prospect of course, but still nice to see.
  24. John_Havok
    Also worth mentioning tha Reed Johnson put up 4.4 fWAR / 5.1 bWAR in 2006 in his career year at age 29 while only hitting 12 HR
  25. John_Havok
    No real power projection would likely stop him long term, but he could probably carve out couple years as a full time guy frm 26-30ish, then be that rotating 4th OF that gets 250 PA every year after that, filling in over short stretches due to injury. I know we've all heard the Reed Johnson comparison's and that's probably what he's looking at. Really hard to project anyone as a long term full time player in the OF when his power ceiling is probably 10-12 HR
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