91 was the real season results. Run differential and many other systems would show the Jays should have won 99ish games. Improper pen usage, some bad bounces, inexperienced kids in tight games …whatever narratives people want to spin to explain the 91 wins vs the 99…. One could say losing Semien (6.6 fWar) and Ray (4 fWar) would drop the Jays to being around 88 wins assuming all other contributions remain similar. So you don’t need to add 13-14 wins to get to 91, not even sure where you got the idea those guys were responsible for 14 wins.
There’s tons of room to recreate those guys in the aggregate. Couple of solid pen arms, Montoyo not being a brain dead idiot, Jansen hitting like he can see the ball again rather than waving at butterflies, Ryu remembering the goal of his job is to miss bats, Manoah starting a full season, Pearson doing something for more than 10 games….add a decent starter, grab a decent bat, some defensive depth and the Jays would be in the 95ish win projections and could easily surpass 100 wins.
Losing Semien and Ray is not some deathblow to the team that puts them in the mid 70s win expectations. Give your head a shake.