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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    My opinion is there’s lots of work to do left and he’s not ready for the major leagues in any way, shape, or form at this moment in time. That’s an entirely defensible position that also allows for improvement, which I hope happens. Just because I’m not anointing him as the next Vlad Jr doesn’t mean I don’t like the fact that he’s in the system. As it stands now he’d be lucky to have a career like Miguel Sano, I’m kinda hoping for more than a .5-3 WAR player who’s career is pretty much over at 29 because he could never make enough contact to take real advantage of his power.
  2. John_Havok
    The fact that he gets so many pop ups is evidence that those 3 areas you mentioned are not where they need to be. Yes, lots of HRs, but with everything else, still just barely a league average bat at 101 wRC+. There’s LOTS of work to do with him yet. HRs are great, but how many outs you make when you’re not hitting HRs is very important and right now, he’s making way too many. Also only has 1 more minor league season before he needs to be added to the 40 man roster.
  3. John_Havok
    The sentence structure displayed here is amazing lol
  4. John_Havok
    Good catch. Still…nearly 40% of PAs being useless is not encouraging.
  5. John_Havok
    See that? A real HR not a piece of s*** warning track fly out turned into a HR by MLBs cowardice.
  6. John_Havok
    He definitely overestimates his foot speed. He thinks he’s outthinking them but they all know he underthinks the thinking process. At least, that’s what I think.
  7. John_Havok
    Heh, Tapia just plain sucks. Really hope they get rid of him in the off-season one way or another.
  8. John_Havok
    I’d like to see the curve more early in counts for strikes, and he really needs to get to changeup in a better place (it’s too hard) to be more than a 4-5 kid of guy. He could easily be better than Stripling if he figures out the changeup.
  9. John_Havok
    What makes it worse is that he called a slider in virtually the identical spot a ball against Kirk. Why is he handing out fastball strikes there but getting the sliders right? If anything the slider should be the pitch that might get that call given it’s trajectory in coming across the plate, whereas the fastball starts out there and stays out there.
  10. John_Havok
    It’s a bad sign for Espinal when he’s become the kind of hitter they shift against. He has got to get back using the whole field.
  11. John_Havok
    Cole is about to implode out there
  12. John_Havok
    Can understand why Cole is pissed, that JBJ double was inches from being caught, and ditto the Kirk hit. Gotta love baseball. Fractions of an inch on the contact between ball and bat is the difference between giving up 1 run vs 3
  13. John_Havok
    Shut em down here and get a few more. 3 runs ain’t enough
  14. John_Havok
    I need a much bigger lead before I’m comfortable needing the pen to finish out 5 innings, especially with Romano out
  15. John_Havok
    That’ll work too
  16. John_Havok
    Time for the Major League special, strat the runners and have JbJ bunt up the 3b line.
  17. John_Havok
    Wow, that’s a cameraman fail of epic proportions
  18. John_Havok
    You kinda answered your own question about fWAR, bWAR and then mentioning babip. fWAR doesn’t give a s*** about what his babip actually is since a pitcher cannot control the outcome of a batted ball event.
  19. John_Havok
    It’s not his walks that are the problem, it’s the K rate combined with the pop up rate. Pop ups are basically strikeouts and his Iffb rate is more than 25%. 56% of his PAs are virtually worthless.
  20. John_Havok
    He really doesnt though. If they're they're on the inner half IN the strike zone... damage. Inside... he has nearly 0 damage (unless you count the foul balls to the shins, feet and knees). https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/george-springer-543807?stats=statcast-r-zones-mlb
  21. John_Havok
    I wonder what an MLB ID looks like.... and how I can make a fake one.
  22. John_Havok
    If there was a stat kept for fouling balls of your own legs, Springer would lead the majors by a ton. hell that one game he fouled a ball off both his legs on the same pitch. He brings it on himself though because he cant lay off those pitches 3 and 4 inches off the inner edge.
  23. John_Havok
    Yeah, your points are what I was trying to get at. Trying to find players that excel at 1 or 2 of the things mentioned isn't all that hard, the naked numbers are available, but weighting them into a cause and effect type of process that enables a teacm to teach the weaker aspects to get more out of your players is the ultimate goal Contact rate + bad swing decisions and not a great barell rate and you end up with Tapia or Pillar. add a much better barrel rate and you get Bo Bichette 2021. Contact rate + elite exit velo but not so great swing decisions but still a decent barrel rate and you get Vlad Guerrero 2022
  24. John_Havok
    It wouldnt necessarily be a statistic, more of a player evaluation measure that would hopefully be predictive of results, or identify guys that might only need to improve 1 aspect of the total package to break out.
  25. John_Havok
    good point
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