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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. Don’t think there is a free agent starting market at this point. Realistically, this guys being DFA to claim, trade for someone or call up your best farm guy that you don’t think will make an ass of himself. Signing any SP straight to an MLB deal would require another DFA, and they’re running thin on those available. Thornton, Jackson and Hatch are the last 3 candidates and they’re already going to need 2 of those for Green and Ryu. Granted theses thing’s generally take care of themselves with additional injuries, but…quite honestly the Jays pitching staff health as a whole over the past few seasons has been remarkably good.
  2. Early top 3 for the AL would probably be Gausman, Eovaldi and… 1 of Framber, Ryan, or McClanahan …even though McClanahan getting votes would really just be him benefitting from the W column, he walks way too many for my money to be considered for the Cy. Id probably vote for 4 or 5 other guys before considering McClanahan even for third place if I was voting today. Side note, how much is Seattle missing their offense right now…they have 3 of the top 9 starting arms in the AL by fWAR, and can’t consistently win games thanks to their offense sucking.
  3. oh ffs, the strike zone is wide as f***... again
  4. I would love, and not even joking, LOVE to see the name of "Captain Obvious" on the nameplate when you walk into a sports psychologists office. Or any psychologists office for that matter.
  5. In this thread i learned so much about how Manoah should act and behave 100% of the time, from the perspective of people who have 0 insight into anything related to what life is like as a professional athlete. how some of you aren't employed by organizations looking for specialists in player mindsets and psychology I'll never know. Even worse than armchair managers, now we have armchair sports psychologists. My mind is blown every day at the genius level insights here.
  6. Is there a heat map that shows how many pitches he has seen in each of those zones?
  7. The fairly big problem with xWOBA though, especially relating to Vlad, is it doesnt take spray angle into account. only EV and launch angle. Bad swing decisions really negate some of the xWOBA for sure as when you swing at crap pitches, you would definitely lose even more predictability of where it's going. That heat map also doesn't tell you how many pitches he's seen in those zones, and I would wager there's probably waaaaaay more on that outer half off the plate than in off the plate
  8. June 6 Bichette - 1 Point - John_Havok Vladdy - 2 Points - jays4life19, jaysblue Varsho - 2 Points - mphenhef Springer - 2 Points - Dylan Belt - 3 Points - WryNGinger, JaysAllMighty Kirk - 4 Points - Stangstag Merrifield - 5 Points Kiermaier - 6 Points - wilko Espinal - 6 Points Off the bench: 10 Points
  9. Todays amateur hour scouting report on Hunter Brown: he's pretty f***in' good. Features mainly 3 pitches, 4 seam fastball (avg 96mph), curve (83mph) and slider (92mph), and will very occassional mix in splitters (88mph) to left handed hitters. Pitch mix vs RHB: 4 seam(42%), Curve (25%), Slider (33%) Pitch mix vs LHB: 4 seam (37%), Curve (34%), Slider (24%) Splitter (6%) GB/FB rates to LHB: 54% / 27% HR per Flyball to LHB: 4% GB/FB rates to RHB: 60% / 19% HR per flyball to RHB: 14% xFIP to LHB: 3.27 xFIP to RHB 2.58 No current Blue Jay has ever faced him.
  10. He has 2 fastballs, sinker and 4 seam, the slider and a changeup that it definitely below average. He's not a 2 pitch pitcher, but if you want to split hairs about which ones were plus vs the current plus... then hes probably not even a 2 pitch pitcher.
  11. Vlad's numbers are purely the product of poor swing decisions. He has the talent to put the bat on any ball in or near the strike zone and hit it harder than most. As a result, his brain tells him to swing at pitches that he shouldn't be swinging at. Sure he can still make harder contact on that pitch 2 or 3 inches outside, or inside, but he's putting those balls in play when he should be taking them for balls. Look at his walk rate plummetting, he's getting every opportunity to put himself at 1B via the walk and just wont do it because there's something in his brain that tells him he has to swing at something he can make contact with. The secondary problem is that he keeps getting just enough positive results on those crappy swing decisions that he keeps doing it, even though it's really not all that positive. The HR he hit on that pitch in the last game of the Mets series... way up and in at the upper and innermost corner of the strike zone. he shouldnt have swung at that pitch. Yes, he hit a HR this time, but how mnay pitches in that area has he actually done damage on this season or his career? not many. That one positive result is going to keep his brain swinging at that crap and the next 25 times he does, the results will probably not be good.
  12. uh oh... Jim vs connorp This is gonna go off the rails in a hurry.
  13. His 2.2 million bonus from last season should come in handy.
  14. The real Sherriff lives here.
  15. There's a real disconnect between the point you think youre making and the point you're making.
  16. already posted. lock it up mods
  17. May's position player contributions
  18. Just as I thought. No point going to Buffalo. Get him straight to the complex to get that performance team on his video
  19. He's kind of an interesting case. His power out put is down, but babip is way up over his career norms. I wonder if that's a conscious change or just a weird variance
  20. They'll be the next "great organization" from the dipshits who judge orgs based on 1 guy they get lucky drafting or signing after 15 years of garbage.
  21. His #'s are nuts. Hitting for monster power and his fastest sprint time clocked in the minors would be #1 in MLB.
  22. I don’t even think AAA can help. He needs to go to the complex and let them figure out his mechanical issues. I think “arm fatigue” IL stint is a few hours away
  23. Twitter loves making stuff up. Francis can’t simply be called up, someone has to get DFA first
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