Jump to content
Jays Centre
  • Create Account

John_Havok

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    21,482

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    29

 Content Type 

Profiles

Toronto Blue Jays Videos

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospect Rankings

Toronto Blue Jays Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Toronto Blue Jays Fan Guides & Resources

2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Toronto Blue Jays News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. John_Havok
    Catchers man. Unless they're Buster Posey-esque the smart money is always on letting them walk. Even Adley has taken a step back this season with the bat ( for him, still well above average for a catcher) and he'll be 27 next year.
  2. John_Havok
    Adrian Pinto also returned from injury amd has been legit mashing for Vancouver since getting back there in the admittedly Pinto-sized sample. 67 PA, 3 HR, 7 doubles, 1 triple and OPS north of 1.000
  3. John_Havok
    Yeah, at this moment the depth is thin. It's basically Bloss and Macko as the default 6 and 7 until Manoah and Ricky T are back and healthy
  4. John_Havok
    Macko is back from his forearm soreness. Thrown 2 straight shutout appearances for Dunedin. Their season is over before he would pitch again there so ...he might get one more start at AA
  5. John_Havok
    I dont think its necessarily about handing them jobs, its just that neither of them have options next season. It sure seems like a waste of value to place either of them in the pen just for depth purposes when they're both clearly good enough for the rotation. If they find a pitcher to add above them, sure, I guess you could make that argument, but both would be on track for around 130 IP next season. I guess as it stands now, Yariel would be the guy theyd move to the pen if they had to.
  6. John_Havok
    If they both hit like they are now, whether they are 1B or DH doesn't really matter. Worry about that problem in 5-7 years.
  7. John_Havok
    f***ing rocket for an arm though.
  8. John_Havok
    I also agree that the arbitration system is rather stupid. But, the reason I generally don't have a problem with how players usually gets raises, is because of how little they earn when they're in their prime years doing a lot of heavy lifting for league minimum. And those big overpaid contracts are usually only going to superstars now, largely thanks to analytics. FOs aren't breaking the bank for average players and the 2 WAR veterans are usually left with whatever they can get.
  9. John_Havok
    Really? Even using 5 million per win... in either season...doing the math suggests Vlad's value would be 30% of 5 million. I'm admittedly too lazy to look up what the actual win value was for 2019...but league minimum salary was 555,000. 30% of 5 million is 1.5 million. Being paid about a 3rd of what you're worth could certainly qualify as drastically underpaid. And if the value a win was higher than 5 million it just gets worse ... I know that's not really the spirit of your argument, but the fact remains a disproportionate number of wins in MLB is generated by ayers in their first 3 years of service time, while.being drastically underpaid at league minimum. That's the basis for those new bonus pools. It's still extremely tilted, but it's a step in the right direction.
  10. John_Havok
    He pitched well. Didn't have his usual stuff or command and still managed a QS against a good hitting lineup.
  11. John_Havok
    I'll let you know the answer when your post finishes loading
  12. John_Havok
    But vlad isn't really overpaid .... and was severely underpaid in years 1, 2, 3, less so in 4, and is trending to be severely underpaid in year 5. But that's a separate argument. They're allowed to use publicly available stats, with limits. They can't use any statcast stuff But yes, the reason it's not getting fixed is because the owners benefit faaaaaaaaaar more often than they get boned. This last CBA negitiation proved that
  13. John_Havok
    Its just because of the stats that get used, and remember the arbitrators aren't exactly baseball nerds. I bet if you lined up the traditional stats like hits, HRs, RBIs ... etc etc, they'd all be in the same general area heading into their final arb year.
  14. John_Havok
    it's hard to say. The limited samples could go either way. 2023 in 42 chances, he was -1 OAA 2024 in 62 chances he's +3. So +2 in 104 chances, which is just not a lot of chances to go on. To put it in perspective, Bo has 239 chances in 2024 and was a +1 OAA, so the variance in outcomes for Clement could swing pretty far one way or the other with full time reps.
  15. John_Havok
    Yep. Its pretty easy to ballpark what he will get given the precedent of the those 4 guys.
  16. John_Havok
    Bout the same time all of that info became instantly accessible in real time?
  17. John_Havok
    Excellent. Now go hire the genius in the Rays org at the same level, give him a fake promotion title and pay him whatever he wants to join Toronto.
  18. John_Havok
    Don't have to look that far in house, Orelvis hit 28 at age 19 in a single season split between A and A+. 98 games, 2021.
  19. John_Havok
    It's not based on nonsense. Just like you saw them pull Francis in his last start, likely because of his dip in velocity and his own admitted fatigue. The same is probably true for Yariel who averaged 94.7 mph on the 4 seamer in June, but only averaged 93.6 in August. Fatigue for a guy who didn't throw a single competitive pitch in 2023 other than the WBC is a virtual certainty. If you want to quibble over calling it an "innings limit" vs a "he's clearly fatiguing at this point so maybe we should back off slightly since a tired arm is far more injury prone than a healthy arm" fact of his circumstance...sure.
  20. John_Havok
    All of this back and forth can pretty be summed up as: If there's a skillset that could still succeed despite obvious flaws at 18 years old, it would be Nimmala's. Doesn't mean he will of course but...
  21. John_Havok
    My guess is he's really close to his innings limit. Remember he didn't pitch at all last year. Up to 88.2 IP now this season. Probaby have him scheduled for around 100 IP, 4 starts left with regular rotation...so, probably 3 IP each for his last few starts
  22. John_Havok
    Not sure why they kept calling sliders...he'd alreafy whiffed on the high inside fastball a few pitches earlier. Should have gone back there
  23. John_Havok
    Agree. But Wagner has a pretty legit so far. And let's not forget about Orelvis. They still need to fill out the top of the lineup though. Need Bo to bounce back (if not traded) amd a near Vlad equivalent or better up there. There's none of those in house. Right now the lineup has 1 feared hitter and a lot of good enough to get by. I really hope August Horwitz shows up for 2025, that would be ideal. Power actually surfaced.
  24. John_Havok
    Ohtani, Betts and Freeman went back to back to back to open the game against Arizona. First time in franchise history to start the game with 3 HRs.
  25. John_Havok
    It's also called sarcasm.
×
×
  • Create New...