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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. Is there a tool out there that shows what locations of pitches he hits on the ground more often?
  2. Compare him to Shohei.... realistically the only meaningful difference in Shohei vs Vlad is the LA Sweet Spot.... shohei 84th percentile, Vlad ... 23rd percentile. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/shohei-ohtani-660271?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
  3. Brownie literally just gave you a sample size of more than 3 years.... so not sure how this makes sense. Ya can't just say "use the 3 years up to a week ago.... because reasons" Olson wRC+ with RISP from 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 - 136 , 133, 193, 77 (overall wRC+ those same years - 147, 120, 160, 110) Alvarez wRC+ with RISP from those same years - 157, 152, 222, 75 (overall wRC+ those same years - 137, 185, 170, 145) Vlad wRC+ with RISP same years - 173, 116, 97, 125 (overall wRC+ 166, 133, 118, 136) Olson wrc+ with RISP compare to overall, worse, better, far better, far worse Yordan same comparisons - better, worse, otherworldly better, terribly worse Vlad - better, worse, worse, worse Its almost like they can't really control what they do with RISP, and the sample sizes induce large variance swings. Like, I don't think you would just say "boy it looks like Olson and Alvarez have just forgot how to hit with RISP this season..." But there are general truths like when a hitter hits well overall, they also hit well with RISP. When they aren't hitting well overall, they don't hit well with RISP. This myth that players can just summon the clutch ability at will it pure romanticist garbage.
  4. I think it's such a niche play that doesn't happen very often it's pretty much a moot point. The real key is the play at 2B needing to be actually close enough for it to matter. However.... MLB rules thought of this already: Rule 6.01(a)(5)Any batter or runner who has just been put out, or any runner who has just scored, hinders or impedes any following play being made on a runner. Such runner shall be declared out for the interference of his teammate However..... Rule 6.01(a)(5) Comment: If the batter or a runner continues to advance or returns or attempts to return to his last legally touched base after he has been put out, he shall not by that act alone be considered as confusing, hindering or impeding the fielders.
  5. Not that I'm an expert in body language, but there's something about Bo lately that makes me think he's mentally checked out
  6. Wtf was that? Wow lol 35.2 mph EV, IF single deflects of 1b
  7. Not sure I can remember a rain delay broadcast switching to another game, that also goes into a rain delay.
  8. A .500 team with a incredibly positive runs diff (+103 at the end of July 2015) looks a lot different than a .500 team with a negative diff. There was a tangible reason to believe the Jays record wasn't truly indicative of their talent, so adding to the roster was very defensible. For the Jays to get to .500 by the end of July this season, they'd probably be looking at a run diff of maybe -15 or -20 by that point unless they went on an absolute tear with the pitching pulling their s*** together along with an offensive resurgence.
  9. 107 wRC+ is not "butt cheeks". below expectations for him, sure, but if your slumps are at a 107 wRC+, you're welcome on my team any day of the week.
  10. If it was 10/200, I could probably convince myself that's not awful. 8/200... dry heaving anything under 8 years in duration at 200 I would probably vomit for a week.
  11. Pretty much what I thought as soon as that 7 run inning happened.
  12. Yeah, his underperformance the past 2 seasons, in comparison to what everyone in baseball knows he's capable of.... makes him the weirdest tradeable/untradeable asset. To trade him, you'd want to get something back that corresponds to a guy closer to 2021/22 Vald than the 2023/2024 vlad. But why would any team want to pay that? They want to buy low and "fix" him, making it a landslide win for them. Couple that with the marketing angle and how important he is to Rogers as the marketing face of the Jays and it all adds up to him not being traded
  13. Anyone have Vlads splits from June 19th onwards? Pre and post haircut splits.
  14. Idiot Vlad...should have pulled that ball instead of hitting a weak ass double to CF The Springer goes at hits one out when all they needed is a sac fly Bunch of morons
  15. He said he would never sign with the Yankees, not never play for them. If he gets traded he has no choice.
  16. 2 of them on fastballs, not just hanging garbage. That's a good sign.... hopefully.
  17. Awe man, just when Vlad starting hitting fastballs in the air for HRs again....
  18. Naw, pull a "Captain america" roll in a fake grenade and fire everyone who doesn't try to jump on it.
  19. I would have fired the hitting coach halfway through last season.
  20. Oh for sure, I'm not saying they should go scorched earth at all. I'll never understand that mindset in MLB given the way the draft works and how talent is developed. It makes no sense. The Orioles could just as easily still be garbage if they only hit on the usual % of picks. Good for them they hit on a ridiculously higher % more. Plus, given the Jays use to Rogers as the face of their marketing juggernaut, a full out tank makes even less sense from a business perspective. Sure, they'll trade some guys this year but the reason they aren't winning now isn't because a few trades haven't worked out or they didn't sign the right FAs last off-season. It's still largely because the same suspects from last season are all way below where they should be offensively. They couldnt mitigate all of those issues with the FA pool from last season.
  21. Well, it does matter where you draft in terms of how much money you get to sign your picks, and how many picks you have also matters. But yes, I agree that in the MLB system you can great great talent outside the traditional top end picks like other sports given, but that only because of the way tye cash pools are setup. Tons of times teams simply just can't take their top rated players because they know they won't sign. MLB draft gives so much leverage to the draftees compared to other sports.
  22. Hindsighting the MLB draft and saying there was interesting players taken after your teams pick is pretty foolish given the amount of pre-draft deals that get done every year It's commonplace that players will tell certain teams they won't sign so don't bother drafting them, and go lower to the team they want to go to. It's a s*** system tbh
  23. Yeah, but a full blown rebuild gets you the Orioles seasons from 2018-2021...except no extra picks handed to you for free by MLB to ensure you're bonus pools are huge. Not a single person should ever want their team to go that route, when the MLB draft is such a crapshoot
  24. I agree. It will be a sellers market and the jays have pieces that are always coveted at the deadline. I'd be pretty shocked is someone doesn't get fired if they get swept on Cleveland.
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