You have a point on the QO, but for the record 60% the Fangraphs crowd didn't think he'd get offered one from the Padres.
And the whole Happ vs Kennedy thing is kind of artificial. I could see Happ getting 3/42 and Kennedy getting 3/33, it will all just depend on when they sign and who wants their services and how good their agents are.
Personally, I think Kennedy is probably worth roughly 36 million dollars on a three year deal. That's with no QO attached.
And as we know, it will probably take a premium to get any decent free agent arm to sign in Toronto, Canada, in the AL East, blah blah blah.