And then before THAT, he was consistently above average for like six straight years, with a broad skill set.
Not much has really changed about his game ever. Strikeouts, power, speed, defense.
It's really not recency bias. In baseball, you need to weight the most recent information more heavily. Any projection system would.
We need to see the deal before passing judgment. If it's Upton at full salary, or near full salary, I don't like it at all.