Laika

Using PA as a barometer invites extreme survivor bias. You're doing weird stuff that doesn't make sense and isn't necessary. A league average (100 wRC+) hitter with neutral defensive value and neutral baserunning value is worth 2 wins in a full season. To understand WHY you need to know how WAR is calculated. The components of WAR are: Hitting runs Baserunning runs Fielding runs Positional adjustment League adjustment Replacement level adjustment The first three components are all runs relative to league average skill at those specific things. If a player moves through the first five components and has calculated exactly zero runs, but they played a full season, then they get 20 replacement level runs. A league average player is worth 2 wins. But why? Because it's WINS ABOVE REPLACEMENT and we specifically want league average players to be given an arbitrary number higher than zero. The 2.0 = average line was set in the creation of the statistic! But why 2? Because there is a set number of wins in baseball, and we know that an average team (.500 win rate) playing at true talent has, on average, a set of average players. We can crunch the numbers and figure out how many wins an average dude is worth on this scale. We could just as easily use WINS RELATIVE TO REPLACEMENT and the league average player would be worth zero wins. But, WRR is an inferior acronym.

yes pm me

God forbid a prospect be strong! Brute strength homers don't count in the big leagues.

Is "brute strength power" a scouting pejorative now?

So the only difference between this red jersey and last year's red jersey is that the logo is all red instead of normal? Also, I guess the arm crest was a flag. sick update

Lorde

I'm not sure if Gurriel will even be given OF reps this year. They'll probably start him in Dunedin as a shortstop, one would think.

I guess he has NL bench OF potential?

At least the OF depth in 2017 looks to be solid enough: Bautista/Pillar Upton Pearce Carrera Pompey (AAA) Ramirez (AAA) Alford (AA) Smith Jr. (AAA) Several MiLB options that could contribute.

Atkins implying that they aren't actively looking for another OF.

Who would ever pick Matt Thaiss over Eric Thames in a fresh dynasty draft right now? Bonkers. I'd probably put Thames over Pujols tbh.

omg he has Wil Myers 7th for 1B http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31002 vogelbach and cron over bird lmao

I've been checking for his updated top 500 every week o/u on Buxton's spot is set at 55

I'm just parroting BP here

Oh. Well he throws 100 and has a 60 OFP so that's dumb.

wat

mlb.com has those three prospects as Miami's 5th, 9th, and 16th best. All for Dan Straily!

Like, 200% Castillo straight up for Straily is probably close and some people would prefer the Reds side of that 1for1. Straily is just not very good... a below average, #5 SP. Being said, the odds are that Brice and White never impact an MLB team.

hahahah Marlins wow

VOMITS loudly

I dunno. One in five? What are the odds that 31 year old KP won't be worth paying 8-9M for? One in fifteen?

I think Pillar still has untapped offensive upside too. Certainly in terms of stolen bases. He also has good contact skills and could hit for a higher AVG with a slightly better approach. Think 2014 and 2016 Lorenzo Cain.

I don't think you guys are understanding the parameters of a Pillar extension. The team would just guarantee him some amount of $$ for his arbitration years in exchange for a team option or two on free agent years. It would be very low risk. It would be a contract with decent upside for the team. It would increase flexibility, bring about cost certainty. Kevin Kiermaier just got 3M in arb 1. Pillar is already under control through 2020. A Pillar extension would probably only be something like 16-18M guaranteed: 2017: 0.5M 2018: 3M 2019: 5-6M 2020: 8-9M 2021: 10-12M team option (or whatever) Maybe the team could even go lower than that since Pillar has earned like, 1M total in his entire baseball career to date.

f*** yes.

Good thought with that self-deprecating first sentence. Poorly executed though - should have hired a writer.