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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. CJ Cron, who is apparently legit, is available
  2. Boxy is dum Sounds like they just don't care about him catching much this season. Probably a good idea - why tax his body if the defense is fully developed.
  3. Nothing wrong with getting on base in a still winnable game.
  4. People were actually worried that he was an egregiously bad framer. There was some minor league framing data floating around that basically said he sucked.
  5. You always have to give a catcher a full mulligan on season #1, but it's fair to worry right now.
  6. Well you're right. There needs to be a centrepiece and Patino would be a good one.
  7. Way too much. Leave Patino or Allen out of it and Padres fans might still tell you it's way too much.
  8. The author of that old stuff does opine that the only reason walk rate is significant at certain levels is likely because it is correlated with ISO. I agree with most of what you're saying. I'm not sure that walk rate in the high minors is "highly" predictive of reaching the majors / major league success - IIRC other indicators are more important than walk rate in the upper minors. Generally, the fact that walk rate becomes more predictive the closer we get to MLB implies that it should not be wholly irrelevant in, say, A+, A, and A-, and/or that walk rate probably is relevant for a certain subclass of prospects down there.
  9. You can read the old posts/studies if you want. https://tht.fangraphs.com/katoh-forecasting-a-hitters-major-league-performance-with-minor-league-stats/
  10. Spencer Torkelson for the name, please and thanks The Blue Jays are doing pretty well in the Tankathon. Sitting 3rd and only 4 games back of the #1 pick.
  11. It's not an adage. People have shown recently that walk rates in the low-minors are not predictive of major league success. To Olerud's point - we know walk rates start to have predictive value in the upper minors and it would likely be easy to show that low-minors walk rates are predictive of both upper-minors walk rates and MLB walk rates (for the players that make it!), so if a prospect has other low-minors predictors of MLB success like contact rate and exceptional age vs. level, it's probably fair to apply some value to a high walk rate. But that ^ type of logic does not make the scientist in me comfortable.
  12. I believe this would have been in the context of - mid/long-term projections of position player talent. Not the context of 2019 position player talent. Still arguably an awful quote, but if, pre-2019, you're thinking of: Jansen C - stud Guerrero 3B/1B - stud Bo SS - stud Gurriel 2B/LF - chance to stick Biggio 2B/3B/LF - chance to stick Grichuk RF - known good commodity Alford OF/BN - skills to maybe stick Assume at least one of McKinney, Teo, Tellez, Drury = a long-term piece 2020-2021 impact: Smith, Groshans? Then it doesn't seem that awful.
  13. Literally the poison, please.
  14. Laika

    NBA Thread

    It was a quiet 47 points, as far as 47 can be quiet. He was just their only option for large parts of the game so he had the ball, took the shots. It didn't really seem like he was dominating or anything...
  15. baseball ref now shows college stats - and summer league stats like cape cod! RIP baseball cube
  16. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Kawhi seems to be making a lot of poor decisions tonight
  17. Teoscar Hernandez generally does not seem like something that's going to work work very well
  18. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Won the quarter by a point but played like s*** for a lot of it if we are being honest
  19. Laika

    NBA Thread

    welp wtf just happened on offense
  20. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Should be up by 20+ right now. Not really taking advantage enough so far.
  21. I mean it doesn't seem like he will ever hit enough to be a corner outfielder.
  22. Maybe it's his natural position, lol. Not much to lose so why not.
  23. Last year's 8th rounder Joey Murray is really killing it. 6 IP with 6 K's and no BB tonight. Coming into the night, through 11 starts he had a 11.1 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9. His dominant NCAA numbers have barely declined in the low minors. A ton of K's for a guy who throws like 88-91
  24. When does DDL want to start the draft? Soon or after the signing deadline? I can't find a source for the 2019 signing deadline anywhere.
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