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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. If anybody wants Min’s team and he is not back by the draft - speak up now because it will be yours
  2. Laika

    NBA Thread

    I am actually pro-religion now FYI. The world is very complex. Your opinions however, aren't.
  3. Laika

    NBA Thread

    Hey man - you can't say "objectively speaking" and then "closer to god" in the same sentence. I mean Jehova's Witnesses are a life-ruining cult that sucks the joy out of life for an awful lot of people.
  4. Let’s be honest we’ve never been that close
  5. LOB% is pretty hard for a pitcher to control. There can be some non-luck in BABIP.
  6. Best ever through their age 27 season, and he still has half the season to go. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=1871&ind=0&team=&rost=&age=14,27&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate=
  7. Almost free: picks 87 and 88 Anderson Espinoza Trevor Stephan Definitely available: Jay Groome Kyle Muller Cole Winn
  8. Joey Murray is absolutely carving up the FSL at 22 years old. Top 5 in K-BB% for arms with over 40 IP. Top 3 in ERA. Things to keep in mind: - This is entirely age appropriate now. He is a year under the average pitcher's age, and the top hitters in the league are mostly 22/23. - This league has a .668 OPS so there are lots of pitchers who "dominate" the FSL right now. So simultaneously the "wait to see if it works in AA" thought is both invalid and valid.
  9. It's crazy how far "luck" can appear to swing a pitcher's fortunes. 1.80 ERA to a 5.00+ ERA with the same K and BB rates. It makes me think that perhaps there is something else under Snell's hood. Is everything really exactly the same? Are players approaching him in a different way, whereby their K/BB rates are the same but their batted ball profiles are different? I'm sure the majority of this is good luck meets bad luck but some of it might not be. Remember that Chris Archer with Tampa Bay somehow managed to go from great to mediocre without a decline in K/BB rates. It basically just showed up in his ERA.
  10. Yeah there's a multitude of factors. EV is a big one, launch angle is, so are hit direction (oppo vs pull) and speed. Notice at the 30-40 degree bracket for launch angle - a player can hit the ball harder and have a lower BABIP. They basically need to smash it at 95+ mph to get over the hump. Balls hit under that mph are cans of corn, medium depth fly balls, right. http://i.imgur.com/FPPJHGK.jpg
  11. Well it doesn't. A guy hitting hard line drives should have a higher BABIP over time. There is expected BABIP (xBABIP) which purports to correct for contact quality.
  12. The offensive core appears to be coming together at an accelerated pace. That's probably the best thing about this year so far. Yeah - Drury, Tellez, McKinney, Teoscar all suck but most of those players were expected to suck and I'm not sure if any of us really thought they'd be part of the next really good Blue Jays offense. I did not expect Biggio to be this advanced at the plate. I did not expect Gurriel to be this good at hitting. Bo is now mashing down in AAA and appears to be ready. Between those three and Vlad Toronto might have / probably has four hitters who can hit in the top 6 positions on a good offense, and they are under control for a long time. Add in Jansen and Grichuk, who are not playing well but still project reasonably well, and 2/3 of the long term offense seems to already be in place. Biggio - LF/2B Bo - SS Vlad - 3B/DH Gurriel - RF/LF Grichuk - RF Jansen - C Needed - probably a 3B, 1B, and CF. Biggio and Gurriel and Vlad all have defensive position questions though.
  13. The Cubs won 97 games and made the NLCS their first year with Lester. The example you should have used was probably Machado - San Diego although that's a bloated example from a desperate franchise. I want Toronto to spend money and try to compete in 2020, I just don't really think they will for... reasons. I am expecting another Galvis + Shoemaker + Richard etc. type of offseason, with a couple of trades sprinkled in for controllable assets.
  14. When did they do this? I don't think they have. Perhaps some source misinterpreted his quote or mistakenly thought Stroman only had control through 2019.
  15. When did Cashman say that? In either event it’s just posturing but I know he said he didn’t want to trade Clint for a rental, which Stroman is not. He’s posturing so that Frazier can hopefully, for them, be the entire return for Stroman or a pitcher like him
  16. Clint Frazier + a) two of Abreu, Contreras, Stephan, and King (this is the boring bulk return where the arms are probably relievers but might be Trent Thorntony surprise starters). or Luis Gil or Schmidt (super unlikely New York agrees to this) or c) Jonathan Loaisiga? No chance New York deals Deivi Garcia here and I think almost no chance they will want to part with Gil or Schmidt either. They'll try to pawn of Luis Medina who would be an interesting throw in but should have very little value. Their preferred deal will be getting value for Clint Frazier and including pitching.
  17. They are bottom 10 in payroll now after being nearly top 5 a couple of years ago. The payroll is already super flexible. Doesn't mean much when free agency is full of duds and land mines these days and the only way to build a sustainable winner is to progressively invest in research and player development and farm assets.
  18. Laika

    NHL Thread

    Not sure how someone like Carbonneau slides in but guys like Steve Larmer never even get a mention
  19. Laika

    NHL Thread

    The hockey hall of fame sucks. Guy Carbonneau's reputation is/was an elite defensive player I am guessing? 260 goals in 1318 career games is not that good. He's like if Patrice Bergeron was half as good as he actually is.
  20. Wait, am I the one who is out of touch?
  21. Chads get all the girls
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