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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Yeah they need to send Vlad down to A ball so he can find the right drug cocktail to make him a menacing hall of fame hitter
  2. Laika
    I think we can all agree that we should cheer against BTS this week. I set up a third place match too, if Zeros and Havok care about bronze
  3. Laika
    I'd probably offer Verlander something stupid like 3/45 if he is determined to rehab and come back. The team has the payroll room, you can't get a signing with more upside, and Toronto is apparently willing to waste real money on guys like Tanner Roark anyway... Give JV $5M guaranteed money for his rehab year and then it's a 2/40 gamble afterwards. That's a deal that could suck or win the team a world series in 2022
  4. Laika
    If Verlander wants to pitch then every GM will be willing to give him a decent one year deal. f***, he might get a two year deal. This is a Roger Clemens, Nolan Ryan type of pitcher. If he doesn’t retire he might be good for five more years!
  5. Laika
    I don’t think this thread needs any help going nowhere
  6. Laika
    Probably an 80% chance the Yankees retain Tanaka.
  7. Laika
    I don’t see who there is to splurge on though. I think it’s either a trade or a mid-range signing
  8. Laika
    BTW, welcome to the Good Posters Club. This post grants you a lifetime membership.
  9. Laika
    I never saw those pitching ninja tweets and I had no idea Ray's overhauled delivery was so obvious. The "short arming" thing is actually a trend. Lots of the Driveline guys do it. I don't know the exact justification but I think the theory is that it's a more consistent delivery than letting your arm extend and drag. Less movement, essentially, and it helps the arm get up on time. Clearly though, it doesn't work for everybody. Overhauling pitching mechanics from bad to "good" can actually make a pitcher worse, if they can't develop the muscle memory for the improved mechanics!
  10. Laika
    1000% at this point. His TIPS as a Blue Jays is 2.29!
  11. Laika
    Anything less than a sweep of this doubleheader will be UNACCEPTABLE.
  12. Laika
    How has he butchered the scientific method?
  13. Laika
    Yeah, part of the frustration with Vlad is that he's SO CLOSE to being great. It's not like he got to MLB and, whelp, it became clear that he can't hit elite MLB pitches. That type of obvious failure is almost easier to accept. If Jo Adell never hits MLB pitching it will kind of be the fulfillment of what was always an obvious risk in his profile. But Vlad can put the bat on nearly any pitch, strikeouts aren't a problem, and he can hit the ball 120 mph and 500 feet when he connects correctly. The mechanical flaws that have him hitting the ball 110+ mph directly into the dirt are just infuriating. It's so hard to figure out why it's the case, why it hasn't been fixed, whether it is a permanent or short term problem. You'd almost prefer a prospect to just fail, rather than tease you with their potential forever! (not really)
  14. Laika
    I don't think there's a clean comparable for Vlad's type of disappointment. Adell is not the same - his minor league numbers weren't nearly as good (up and down production and lots of Ks); scouts just like the shape of his butt an awful lot. Closest I can think of in the current era is Jurickson Profar. We are talking about a consensus (Keith Law excepted) #1 prospect being a let down.
  15. Laika
    Yes. Little known fact - Vlad had his own shuffle but the Blue Jays coaches made him stop when he got to spring training in 2019. It was a lot like Soto's.
  16. Laika
    It's not hard to imagine that a projection system would say that. Here is the lesson: Vlad has a large amount of historical inputs that suggest he will be a great hitter. Many of those inputs are still relevant to some degree. He has been mediocre at the MLB level but not bad enough and not mediocre for a long enough time to ruin his projections. The computer is being more objective (and, by coincidence, forgiving) than us emotional fans.
  17. Laika
    I think it is mostly regression to the mean (the mean being an average hitter). Biggio and Gurriel and Bichette don't have huge MLB samples. Absent otherwordly inputs (see Juan Soto) it tends to take a few seasons of great production before the projection systems accept that a player is great. On the flip side, the computer still thinks Vlad will be very good based on some of his Soto-like inputs (age, minor league production, K/BB rates).
  18. Laika
    Projection systems would have a different order Note that "Depth Charts" is ZiPS + Steamer. ZiPS and Steamer might disagree. https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=rfangraphsdc&team=14&lg=all&players=0&sort=21,d
  19. Laika
    Two spicy matchups heading into the weekend. BTS and zeros are neck and neck. The other matchup is just as close, despite the 9-3-2 score right now. 11+ of those categories could easily flip. Might we see some aggressive add/drops?
  20. Laika
    Yeah I don't fault Bo on that. It seems like he read the fact that the normal cutoff man was overthrown correctly. Bad luck.
  21. Laika
    He was good last year by modern measurements. Errors are a bad measurement of defensive contribution. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&year=2019&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=5&roles=&viz=show
  22. Laika
    Anderson's xwOBA (.394) is not even that much lower than his wOBA. He hits the ball hard enough for someone with 90th+ percentile sprint speed, and he has become a solid hitter as far as barreling up balls. Speed can go a long way in raising true talent BABIP. Yeah, he should probably on be hitting .310 or something like that but still, another example of why core skills (hit tool, speed, power) can be so important and peripheral or secondary skills (batting eye / walk rate) are not everything Tim is an excellent player.
  23. Laika
    okay look at the transaction history of literally every MLB team if you want proof that you are wrong no organization just acquires and holds players forever the teams that get ahead are the ones who make correction decisions on when to cut bait on someone and when to acquire someone new
  24. Laika
    Rafael Devers is actually the perfect example of WHY Toronto gave Vlad a chance to play third base. Devers came up as a doughy, fat, baby-bodied hitter just like Vlad. He was BAD at third base as a rookie and BAD AGAIN as a sophomore. In 2019 during his huge year he was above average at third base! Hard work and dedication, man.
  25. Laika
    Have you ever played fantasy baseball? Teams are constantly tinkering, adding and dropping, at the fringes of there roster. Injuries, performance, and other random events change player perceptions and roster considerations on a very frequent basis. It's this way in real baseball and if you've every played fantasy baseball you'd have a sense of it.
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