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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Clevinger has had one healthy season and he will be 31 when he comes back. Lots of upside. It's not that I don't like him, I'd just rather have the names ahead of him in a keep 20 league. Sounds like he could be a big trade chip for you, if Strasburg was that popular.
  2. I agree with all of this. But the truly athletic, two-way, do it all catchers might as well go into the same tier as the Captain Americas. Sometimes those guys get overrated due to intangibles, or non-existent traits. Matt Wieters being the everlasting example. Really curious to see where Moreno lands on the midseason top 100s. He has to be a 60 FV which will make him top 25, and you can make a top 10 case if you look at some of the names he is competing against.
  3. I agree with all of this. But the truly athletic, two-way, do it all catchers might as well go into the same tier as the Captain Americas. Sometimes those guys get overrated due to intangibles, or non-existent traits. Matt Wieters being the everlasting example. Really curious to see where Moreno lands on the midseason top 100s. He has to be a 60 FV which will make him top 25, and you can make a top 10 case if you look at some of the names he is competing against.
  4. Not really. Mostly we are just happy that the incompetent and inexperienced GM who set assets like them on fire is gone.
  5. Yeah but evaluators were slapping 70 hit and 80 arm grades on him. He was top 20 on every major list at some point and I think top 10 on a few. Almost as good as it gets for a C prospect.
  6. And especially catchers and pitchers
  7. yeah they both blow. it's just shocking that Jansen is probably the better defender and Reese might actually, somehow, be a slightly better hitter. the exact opposite of how they profiled
  8. Yeah but even those reports would have defined the "surprising" power as a 40 or 45 grade tool. He's hitting like a guy with 70+ pop right now! Leads the damn AANE in dingers and has a higher ISO than guys like Oneil Cruz, Riley Greene, and even super elite prospect Gabriel Moreno. It's kind of nuts when you think about it. I almost wonder if there is something funny going on in New Hampshire.... lol
  9. When a player like Taylor combines mediocre ISO with low AVG and low BABIP in the minors, I tend to assume that they don't hit the ball hard. That may not be true all of the time. What evidently has happened with Samad Taylor is that he had pool noodle IN GAME power, most of the time, but he had okay RAW POWER that was just rarely showing up in games. Probably because of an underdeveloped hit tool.
  10. Reese McGuire MLB batting average by season: 2018 - .290 2019 - .299 2020 - .077 2021 - .290
  11. That package is pretty bonkers. Might be tough to actually get a player good enough for all of that.
  12. Both potential studs, can't go wrong, I'd take Marte. More dynamic and more room for error. Could be a top 10 prospect. Gabriel Moreno would go after McClanahan but above Lowe. Somewhere in there.
  13. He had pool noodle power in previous years so this is borderline shocking to see.
  14. Guerrero Franco Bieber Torkelson Kelenic Alvarez Carlson Semien Peralta May McCullers Abrams Brujan Adell McClanahan Suarez (assuming Euginio?) Murphy Pearson Meyer Manning Clevinger Lowe Strasburg Corbin Heaney Woods Richardson Alek Thomas? Bart Verlander Stripling Hancock There is my incredibly rough, one minute ranking of your players. The bolded names count up to 20. In deep keeper leagues with a specific keeper amount, you need to tailor everything to optimize your top 20 through the cutdown. Yes, you probably should trade some of these older guys if you can, but the ultimate goal needs to be consolidating multiple pieces into clear keeper upgrades. Strasburg for Grayson + Patino + Casas would be a f***ing steal and you should do it immediately, but then you still have work to do because you may not be able to fit Casas into your top 20. You should try to do your own 2-for-1 and 3-for-1 trades to push every bit of value you can into your top 20. Package Clevinger with two good prospects you don't love (say Joey Bart and Nate Pearson) for one rock solid keeper, for example. Identify the prospects you could live without and try to package them up for young core players. You could compete as soon as 2022 if you can convert some of those flimsy prospects into bankable production, because your nucleus seems very good.
  15. Lopez really chops at the ball - practically swings down at it. He does not try to hit for power from what I've seen.
  16. One of the most common reasons a prospect will fail is an inability to make contact. If you can put the bat on the ball you have a chance. Lopez isn't very similar to Espinal. Better offensive tools across the board but worse defense, apparently. Lopez' ceiling might be more like Marwin Gonzalez.
  17. 5 team games he just has one start pushed back a day, basically they might be appealing just to line up the start of his 5 game suspension in a strategic way
  18. That's one game without Montoyo and Manoah only has a start pushed back a day. So a net win.
  19. Greg Polanco dropped. Sad. I'm not touching him
  20. The platoon splits that right handed hitters demonstrate tend to be much smaller than lefties. I think the average wOBA split for LHB is about 9% but for RHB it's more like 6%. Meaning the typical LHB will be 9% worse against same-side pitching, while the typical RHB is only 6% worse against same-side pitching. Because of this, I would also assume that the hitters who exhibit NO platoon splits are more likely to be RHB. Righties don't get dusted by ROOOGYs the same way lefties get dusted by LOOOGYs. Even to the point that it is a concern (say the true talent platoon splits of Bo, Vlad, and Teo all end up being more like 9%) it's a problem that is solvable by just plugging one LHB in between them, or even one RHB with no true talent platoon split. So it's not really an intractable long term problem.
  21. Doesn't matter as much when it happens in this direction. A lot of these right handed hitters won't exhibit huge platoon splits. Now having a lineup of mostly lefties is probably a bad idea.
  22. Yeah but they're all freaks. If I look at a population and notice that a subset of the population is more likely to be/do something (say I notice short+bald people are more likely to order a wife from Russia), if I then look WITHIN that subset of the population that specific dependent variable will likely just look normally distributed within the subset. Plenty of short+bald people don't order their wives from Russia.
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