Ray is going to lead in IP and he has a good shot at leading in ERA (if Lance Lynn doesn't qualify). Narrative could be on Ray's side too if Toronto makes it in - he has carried his team more than the other candidates have. And his FIP / fWAR lagging looks to be a bit unfair or not indicative of skill.
Hard to bet on the voters not leaning for Cole because of, you know, New York and wins.
Could end up decided by who misses the playoffs.
Not sure Eovaldi is really that close because he's not going to end up leading any of Wins, K's, ERA, or IP.
Lynn will be short on IP but has been excellent.
Ray is actually way ahead in RA9-WAR and bWAR.
He's got it!