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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Cleveland would probably require: A: a package with Moreno + filler of B: a package like above with one or both of Groshans/Orelvis plus like Kirk and Pearson.... Finessing them for Ramirez would probably STILL involve losing Groshans and Kirk, plus other pieces.
  2. haha uhhhh not sure how I would feel about that one
  3. this is like when they signed Ian Desmond and made him a first basemen except it's more money, so worse
  4. I caused a mess here with my perfectly correct post so I will bow out now and not touch the subject again.
  5. Well it was a thing that was said for the reasons I posted. But you are right... I don't think Biggio ever projected to be better than the other two, not even close.
  6. Admission - I don't even know what the policies are. I have not read them. I have not even read this whole thread.
  7. I don't really care. That's not a determinative argument; it's very possible for lots of places to have inferior policies. Like, the drinking age is 21 everywhere in the USA. That's f***ing stupid as f***.
  8. Vaccines do reduce the spread of Covid. 100% prevention is just not in the cards unfortunately. Not without like, 95%+ vaccination rates and stronger vaccines. But getting vaccinated reduces your chances of contracting a serious case of the disease and it helps you reduce viral load quicker. Both of those things make it less likely you will spread the disease. Now, vaccinated people can be less risk averse which would of course increase their chances of spreading disease. So there are some competing factors depending on the specific people and their practices. So when something like a sports league, or a big institution, is designing policies they can't create something that is swiss cheese with all of these different applications based on a million different facts. Like, it's just not sensible and reasonable for them to not have a vaccination policy at all just because Aaron Judge is healthy and in fantastic shape. They have to take the safe course of action. It's reasonable to think that vaccines reduce the spread of the disease for the above reasons. It's reasonable to have policies that require everyone to be vaccinated. From a policy perspective it's probably not a good idea to approach analysis with anecdotal reasoning. It's not logically sound to try to tear down a sensible policy for a large institution just because you can point to some anecdotes of fully vaccinated people catching Covid or spreading it. You need to approach these things with BROAD first principles. Which are something like: - Vaccines reduce viral severity - Vaccines reduce the chance to spread the disease If your argument against vaccine policies in MLB / Canada starts with "but the vaccine does not prevent Covid" or "but the vaccine does not 100% prevent the transmission of Covid" you're starting from an illegitimate premise. Even if the policy has the direct effect of say a 20% reduction on transmission within the institution the policy probably makes a lot of sense! good policy
  9. Available: Mikko Koskinen Linus Ullmark Jordan Binnington Ondrej Palat Josh Anderson Jamie Benn Brayden Schenn Evan Rodrigues Anders Lee Gostisbehere Severson Doughty Parayko Prices vary. Just send me offers, I will accept good ones or counter if there is traction. Young players with promise (or currently injured), high picks, very good prospects please. Zero interest in roster filler players... Not trading MacKinnon or Tkachuk so probably a waste of time to offer.
  10. 2019-2020 Cavan Biggio 3.8 fWAR; 695 PA Bo Bichette 2.6 fWAR; 340 PA Vlad Jr. 0.6 fWAR; 757 PA I mean he WAS the best in terms of cumulative on field production. Bo was better per game though. Cavan was giving people Ben Zobrist lite vibes while Vlad looked like a massive flop. And Bo had the look of a highly variable hacker with injury risks and questionable defense.
  11. cool lower case lettering is a sign of respect, DEADPOOL
  12. On paper yeah but right now not so sure. That is a huge upgrade on 2B (4+ wins) but also makes Jansen the 100% catcher until Moreno is ready and Grichuk a full time OF, representing two downgrades. So Orelvis Martinez gets burned and in the short term the MLB team gets better but not immensely better. And depth goes from decent to shaky. I would probably do it if Cleveland could add some bit pieces that would make Toronto's roster better constructed in the immediate term. Not sure they have those pieces though.
  13. Yes that would be awesome. Carlos Correa is a true Oriole
  14. I think if I said something bad about Juan Soto I'd have to just quit baseball fandom
  15. peak Acuna is just a guy in a cast peak Franco is going to be UNDERWHELMING
  16. They can't emulate the Rays because they are the f***ing Orioles and they are dumb as s***.
  17. Yeah it just depends on all factors. Team payroll, competitive environment, a bunch of other things. Some teams can be pretty damn good every year. Some teams need to take more deliberate shots in shorter windows. It would be silly for a team like the Dodgers to get too aggressive in a short window because they can be strong competitors every single year. It might be silly for a team like the, I dunno, Orioles to even try to be good all the time because they are in a tough division and for payroll and competency reasons their best strategy is probably to go f***ing all in if the gods ever bless them with a couple of homegrown superstars again.
  18. honestly, f*** you. why do I even reply? you're the new grant
  19. I mean you take the guaranteed WS ofc but it doesn't work like that because there are no guarantees In reality you can try to stack teams with like, 15% WS odds at best in any given season vs. try to be more consistently good without stacking teams and maybe having I dunno WS odds of a pew percentage points in most years. Like the Rays have 4% right now for 2022. It's all fuzzy math but that's the general picture. IN AN IDEAL WORLD you are just rock solid good most years and have 10% odds all the time haha
  20. My point is that it depends on the accumulation of the probability, meathead 10% WS odds in one season > 1% WS odds for seven seasons in a row, for example
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