I mostly operate under the assumption that there is no such thing as a hockey prospect. For fantasy. The elite players go straight from junior to the league. The minors is for grinders, support players, weird big defensemen, and goalies.
This is not categorically true but is probably good heuristic.
I don't think Otto Lopez had anything to do with the decision to trade Martin.
Martin - you are hoping he can be a cornerstone player.
Lopez - you are hoping he can find any type of MLB role.
I don't know most of these players but this seems f***ing horrible lmao
William Eklund
Stuart Skinner
Anton Lundell
Morgan Frost
Filip Zadina
Nathan MacKinnon
Matthew Tkachuk
Bit of a logical leap there. You cannot say "if you didn't compete against black athletes you are not the best of all time".
The most you can say is what Jim did "no one can conclusively say "this player is the best all time"."
Batters getting in shape is also very different than pitchers getting in shape.
Pitching is so much about balance, consistency, and rhythm. If you change your weight and physique drastically, even if for the better, it can realistically throw all that stuff out of whack. I think that's why you don't see a lot of chubby pitchers with success on their resume trying to change their physique like that.
Yes but only Jim and connorp are allowed to talk politics and we can put an end to it whenever we want. have fun.
you guys can even make your own thread, "jim and connorps's political bants", if you want.
The dream:
Freddie Freeman, Yusei Kikuchi or Zack Greinke, and Collin McHugh (all of the FA relievers kind of suck, wow)
More realistic:
Kyle Seager (one year), Drew Smyly, and Collin McHugh (all of the FA relievers kind of suck, wow)
It's not JUST a gut feel thing. From watching them play, I guess the most specific thing I could say is that I think there is a subjective luck component for Espinal's MLB data that is tricking Steamer.
I would not be shocked if the other projection systems show bigger differences between the two players.
Sort of.
Teams have more sophisticated measurements and projections than Steamer. It's not like Steamer has solved baseball projections and front offices aren't needed anymore.
You need to adjust your lens for everything.
Think in terms of normal distributions / standard deviations, probabilistic outcomes, and bayesian methods.
The bayesian part is what a lot of public saber people can struggle with, I think.
87.9 is 263rd out of 404
we are talking about 35th percentile vs 4th percentile, Jim. It's like, an entire standard deviation of difference on a normal distribution. So it's not just "a bit different".