Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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I feel like at this point the term on these big FA contracts can essentially be ignored. None of these teams expect the players to be useful in years 9, 10, 11... they just stretch out the deal to keep the AAV down for luxury tax. Heck they probably don't even model the players out to be useful in years 7 and 8. I bet the models look something like: star for a few years, good for a few more years, then replacement level from 36 onward. So it helps to translate them to, say, 8 year deals. Say they are: 8/$45M for Judge 8/$43.75M for Correa 8/$37.5M for Turner 8/$35 for Boogers They kind of make more sense when you think about them like this. Judge has the most projected WAR. Best chance at immediate superstar impact. Correa is the youngest, second best projected, and of the shortstops has the most traditional offensive profile with walks and homers. The relative numbers kind of make sense, and they also kind of make sense in relation to the highest AAV contracts in history coming into this offseason when you think about the new CBA, inflation, etc.
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Prime JA Happ had four consecutive ~3 WAR seasons. That's basically all Bassitt has been. If Bassitt pitches at all like Happ did from 2016 to 2018 the Jays will be thrilled.
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Because their catcher probably sucks worse than their #6 SP situation. They still like Desclafani I think and their best MLB ready prospect is a Tiedemann type arm, in Kyle Harrison. I dunno. I agree it's not a likely deal. Pitchers also love to sign in SFG so they can probably get their pick of SP veterans to be swingmen or MiLB options.
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Well they obviously think they can compete. They just signed three veterans.
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LMAO are the Red Sox really acquiring Garrett Cooper? The 32 year old 1.5 win (at best) player with no defensive utility? Banger move, Chaim.
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then do it you wimp BTS will bet you $100
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Projected WAR Marlins 36.9 Orioles 36.6 Giants 35.5 Pirates 34.7 DBacks 34.5 The Giants blow. f*** the Giants
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Poll: Which catcher would you move in the off-season?
Laika replied to Omar's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
You can model out risk. Biggest factors increasing injuries are past injuries and age. And whether your first name is Byron. -
Poll: Which catcher would you move in the off-season?
Laika replied to Omar's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
lmao @ the most people saying Kirk do you guys even watch baseball? -
Their model is pretty dumb on Cobb. He's got to be worth $20M; he's as good as Bassitt.
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Well.... he probably would have accepted the QO to be honest if he believes in himself and had any sense of the market. Because the QO is way better than the deal he just took. So we'd probably have Stripling on 1/$19 instead of Bassitt. I kind of prefer Bassitt on his deal, but it could go either way.
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well the opt-out is very powerful it lets Stripling capture the value of most of his remaining talent upside
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22 batters is not really ropes off. That's twice through + change. I don't remember game specifics but it could be basic one-off things like his pitch count as 60 so they let him ride, or the other team had all RHB at the top of their order. Look at Drew Rasmussen TBF per game. He is kind of the current model of a "twice through the order guy" as handled by the best player handling team in baseball. Many times he faces 22 hitters.
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Not really. They let him face a few more hitters, a few times... but he was stilling getting yanked for the most part after facing 21 or 22 batters.
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I thought it would make sense for them to sign Correa. I guess they still could but I have not seen their team rumoured around any free agent.
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This offseason has been great. Not only is Toronto doing smart things, but the O's and Red Sox look pathetic. I was very mildly worried that Baltimore would spend and become a real pest in 2023 but it doesn't look like they plan on it.
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He had a great year but it was only 134 innings, being guarded against going through lineups more than twice. And his prior two years stank.
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Nice deal. Loved what Stripling did here but the upgrade to a guy of similar per-hitter talent who can eat significant innings in Bassitt is worth the added cost. Last year was painful with no decent #5 SP, Berrios getting yanked early all the time, and Stripling only being a two times through the order pitcher.
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Bellinger was an integral part of my championship. I believe he had a .422 wOBA in the semis against Detroit and homered against Jimbo in the championship week. If I could go back in time I would pay even MORE for him.
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If Kevin Kiermaier can stay healthy and his hip surgery takes five years off his metabolic age…
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I mean he's not the best OF in fantasy baseball but it's hard to ask for more than 6th best Randy is worse in real life because he's not a plus defender, even in LF. That's the big bummer.
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The only thing they do better than most or any other teams is cycle through players aggressively, while properly evaluating them at the major league level. So they will have guys like Seth Brown and Cole Irvin turn into 2 win players out of nowhere. That's a skill. It's not captured by prospect rankings or team projections. Chris Bassitt is one great example. Wasn't Mark Canha a rule 5 pick? Other than that which you might call "Dumpster Diving Skill" I am really not sure what else they do well anymore.
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ah found it seems kind of hocus pocus, not sure how much this stuff matters
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Rays DFA Feyereisen This is literally like the #LoD when you just have too many decent relievers and can't find a trade so you drop someone He had surgery and is out until late summer at the earliest but he also has years of cheap control left and was quite good... would like this guy.
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what changes?
