Starting to think the Blue Jays just... actually suck?
The top of the rotation would be good enough for a playoff series but you have to get there first. The depth behind Cease, Gausman, Yesavage has completely imploded. Anything Miles and Corbin provide going forward is gravy. The only rational hopes at stabilizing the SP4 and SP5 slots with above average production might be Bieber and Bloss getting healthy and performing (big ifs all around; Bloss and Miles would probably share the SP5 innings).
The bullpen is good enough as well, the only real problem being how to use Hoffman. But the lack of SP depth (which might be an issue all year) directly negatively impacts the bullpen as it is overworked and some of the good RP need top be used early or as openers, multiple times per week.
The defense is gone. Negative OAA and DRS this year compared to +14 and +51 last year. Some of this is by choice (playing guys like Sanchez, Sosa, Pinango), some of it is by bad luck (Kirk injury) but some of it is either inexplicable or natural decline (Clement and Varsho have fallen off a cliff). Hard to say this will improve. Kirk coming back will help. I guess we should expect Ernie to figure it out, regress. But him and Varsho are 30...
The baserunning is bottom tier and will not improve.
The hitting is bottom tier. Third worst xwOBA in baseball. Gimenez is obviously completely cooked, and locked into the lineup. Vlad is a mess, hitting like Yonder Alonso while getting paid to be Miguel Cabrera. The team's best HR hitter is a TTO import who is useless in most games. Kirk's return might help mildly but who knows how he will hit with that broken thumb recovery. Barger's return will be a soft impact as he is very redundant with so many LHOF on the roster. Springer is almost 37 and 2025 looks like it was indeed a dead cat bounce. Daulton Varsho is a moron who turned away from his offensive carrying skill, power. The lineup is out of balance, with too much aggression and not enough patience. Almost every player has a broken swing and it is June.