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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Would not do that trade A SS without any SB can be a tough own in category fantasy as you typically get 20 bags from SS 5x5 auction calc using Fangraphs DC ROS still has Carroll above Seager. 24th in projected dollar value vs 42nd for Seager. If I am dumping CC for a NOW performer I at least want someone who projects to be as good or better immediately and helps me in all categories. Not many of those guys.
  2. Laika
    Just looks like a power projection lotto ticket
  3. Laika
    I don't think it really changes their odds of getting the call OM has always had 3B on his resume they just focused in on 2B to begin this year for whatever reason SH would only be an emergency 2B for the Jays anyway. Really tough to see him getting a single inning there unless there are 2 major infield injuries ahead of him.
  4. Laika
    We will know everything we need to know in a month. The rest of May is a cakewalk, 3 more against DET who are just okay then 3 against the White Sox again. 3 against PIT to turn the month over. So on June 3 Toronto should be closer to the playoffs in the standings. If they aren't it's over. But if they are they then have to do well from June 3rd on where it is: Orioles x4 Red Sox x6 Yankees x4 Guardians x6 Brewers x3 As x3
  5. Laika
    I think the main reason he is doing better on pitches up is just plate discipline. O-Swing 2023: 32.4% O-Swing 2024: 26.2% Chase rate in 2023 was 51st percentile (28.1%) per statcast Chase rate in 2024 is 73rd percentile (23.4%) per statcast His K rate is actually worse in 2024 but I think the swing decisions are overall better. He's making less contact in the zone but sometimes that happens when you are doing more confident/aggressive swings. The flip side occurs when a player is lost and just fighting to put the ball in play all the time - you get this sort of artificial reduction in whiff rate which is not always a good sign.
  6. Laika
    Everyone thought he would sign for like $60M. Modest AAV but some term to it because of his age. The actual $$$ number was shocking. Being said, I think he could still be sneaky good. Elite contact rate and the maxEV and hard hit rate so far lines up with some guys who have decent power. 109 maxEV and 41% hard hit rate is comparable to someone like Dansby Swanson or Lourdes Gurriel. But so far he has a contact rate in line with f***ing Luis Arraez... There is something there
  7. Laika
    They do still pitch him high more often than others. By % he sees 24% of pitches high/away or high/inside, and then 12% in the upper third of the zone. Compare to Vlad = 15% total high/away or high/inside and only 9% in the upper third. So, 50% more pitches "up" than Vlad. But he did see slightly more pitches up last season. Interestingly he has good numbers on pitches high/away and high/inside (out of the zone), good wOBA and xwOBA this year and good wOBA on pitches in the high/middle portion of the zone. He has a dead zone low/away in the zone and a happy zone low/middle in the zone. Pitchers try to hit the dead zone but it's dangerous because you miss by six inches and you are in his hottest part of the zone.
  8. Laika
    Biggio is finally, mercifully, a pure bench player
  9. Laika
    Converted IF CF not his natural spot
  10. Laika
    lmao at Varsho hitting seventh dude leading the team in homers and it's not even close and hitting f***ing seventh
  11. Laika
    Goooooooose
  12. Laika
    Jamie Campbell's dream come true
  13. Laika
    joey votto has schlong covid
  14. Laika
    - walk rate at career norm - k rate good (best of career) - baserunning good - defense FINE by OAA (0) and DRS (-1). UZR hates him this year. - BABIP of .220 - wOBA .257 vs xwOBA .309 Lots of things under the hood look fine. The not so fine things are specific: - maxEV, hard hit rate, launch angle, pull rate all down so he's either gone over the cliff with his bat speed and the maxEV, hard hit rate, launch angle, pull rate will just never recover OR he's just going through some sort of timing issue that might at least be partly fixable the fact that the K rate is good makes me think it's not just a simple loss of bat speed and even if he is f***ed in terms of power, he is not presently playing like a player who should be replacement level. .309 wOBA with okay speed and close to avg defense could even approach 2 WAR over a full season. Whit Merrifield last year was .304 wOBA, 1.3 WAR in 592 PA with slightly negative D
  15. Laika
    yeah
  16. Laika
    The Vlad trades are hilarious
  17. Laika
    Buy low on Atkins. Extend him for 5 more years. $60,000 annual salary.
  18. Laika
    The complete TNP bull thesis looks like this: - the core physical talents will shine through despite the poor record and run differential and this team therefore has a much better playoff chance than the websites say. also, a better chance to actually do something in the playoffs. - lots of money is coming off the books after 2025 and this is a top 10 payroll organization so with shrewd spending there is no reason they can't just remain competitive indefinitely - the problems on the farm are overstated and there may be enough talent in AAA alone to at least form part of the next core. - Ross's track record of quality MLB-level moves will help along the way.
  19. Laika
    Yeah the idea probably came from some of the boring angry whiteys Maybe Matt Chapman who knows
  20. Laika
    I was getting sick of the jacket too but in hindsight, it was never the issue. John Schneider's quote from back then is very cringe now. It was annoying seeing Gurriel and Teoscar bumble around on defense and then goof around with the jacket but that really had nothing to do with the jacket and everything to do with poor defensive skills. And I guess I can see why the brass may have thought that Vlad needed to mature, since he dropped 3 WAR from '21 to '22 while dancing with The Barrio all season long. But that was a flop too - thesis refuted by 2024 and the first quarter of 2024.
  21. Laika
    I guess Ross read my post? The jacket is back and there is a red carpet too! fun fun fun baseball is supposed to be fun and entertaining
  22. Laika
    Yeah I saw a red carpet rolled out after one of the homers this series
  23. Laika
    s***** post from an even worse human being back to work!
  24. Laika
    Jean Joseph in Dunedin is only 8 months older than Arjun Nimmala and is hitting: .268/.372/.465 20 games, 17 strikeouts and 10 walks, 3 homers! and 2 steals. his OPS is 15th out of 100 qualified FSL hitters one of only 5 hitters under 20 in the FSL with an OPS over .800 his 20 year old fellow outfielders Victor Arias and Yhoangel Aponte are also having interesting seasons, but the K rates are a bit of a concern
  25. Laika
    I don't think that but I think there is no such thing as a minor lat injury and any injury of the arm/shoulder/neck increases the chance of a subsequent injury and/or could be sign or precursor for a bigger problem. The general point is just that he still has some stuff but he is a high injury risk player and a coinflip at actually providing any value to the team. Two years at high AAV = two expensive flips of the coin Three years at lower AAV = three slightly less expensive flips of the coin #logic #smart #genius #thankthispost #respect #moderator #topposter #funniestposteraward2019 #MVPosting #posteroftheyear #correct #objectivetruth
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