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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Is that even worse? There is a freedom that comes with having no expectations. There is that persistent glimmer of hope that a once-progressive front office will find a way to return to being progressive and successful. There is the realistic hope that MLB just does an Expos thing and forcibly buys the team. Their jerseys are nice.
  2. Laika
    Hard to see the Rangers selling even if they are far back Mets are right in it they shouldn't sell Fedde is more like Civale I guess it's Crochet, Flaherty who are better than Kikuchi Ask for Crochet will be huge though
  3. Laika
    I don't really agree. Since Kikuchi is much better than Civale right now, I think Toronto will get a notably better prospect for him. I guess we will find out. Other than Crochet, what other SP will be on the block?
  4. Laika
    pretty good i think ross is the kind of loser who learns from his mistakes
  5. Laika
    sooo what does the top of the 2025 draft look like anyway? are we going to get some bum at #5 again like Austin Martin or will it be more like the next year where players 3-6 were all good? Or the year prior, 2019, where most of the top 9 players were legit.
  6. Laika
    I also love lining into double plays
  7. Laika
    kikuchi stuff+ 111 (career 106) civale sutff+ 100 (career 97) one of them has a good fastball and the other does not. it's actually sort of silly to even compare them tbh, it's like a different market. civale is a guy with command and offspeed pitches, he's a more questionable play against top lineups and he also doesn't have an innings eating track record most good teams wouldn't even need a Civale but there are probably some good teams that would love to get Kikuchi as their SP3 or SP4, it would be an upgrade Guardians for example Bibee - 3.47 ERA Allen - 5.75 ERA McKenzie - 5.11 ERA (demoted) Carrasco - 5.21 ERA Lively - 3.03 ERA but c'mon it's Ben Lively Bieber - dead Curry - 5.74 ERA bad Kikuchi is their SP2
  8. Laika
    it's already 3-0 astros!!!!!!!!!!!!!! single single walk single walk the hound is on the loose!!!!!!!
  9. Laika
    Wait why does it matter at all what the Jays would do? The Jays are stupid. He has the stuff to give any team 5 strong and shut down a great lineup. It's true! whether or not he actually does that is just a matter of performance and pitch count.
  10. Laika
    WTF DO YOU MEAN YOU ARE "not too worried"???!!!! - expensive team - every good player is either running out of team control (Vlad, Bo, Jansen, Kikuchi, Garcia, Romano) or just looks worse now (Gausman, Springer, Berrios, Varsho, Kirk, Manoah, Romano) - horrible farm system - no track record of developing anything other than 25 year old platoon hitters who play 2B/LF/1B - everybody on the MLB team is declining early - MLB team is evidently horrible at game prep and strategy - front office clearly has their priorities all wrong when it comes to roster construction, drafting and development, coaching structure - front office is not progressive at all from what we can see - front office is scared to fire people - corporate ownership who will be slow and heartless when it comes to the big and important decisions - this GM whiffed completely on his last attempt at a quick rebuild or trading for MLB ready players (Drury, McKinney, Fisher, Waguespack, Kay, etc.) The only way to "not be too worried" right now is to just embrace death or be completely nihilistic
  11. Laika
    wtf do you mean you are "not too worried" the only thing the Jays can develop seems to be 25 year old platoon bats
  12. Laika
    #4 - Votto.... not on the team lol. If he is on the team he should be in a DH platoon with Turner, nothing more.
  13. Laika
    Kikuchi is a lot better though. Civale probably not a playoff SP. Maybe SP4 in along series. Kikuchi can probably be a SP in the playoffs because he has the stuff the shut down a good lineup for 5 innings. The Rays kind of just dumped Civale because they have better options for their rotation right now.
  14. Laika
    His Location+ is pretty consistent, 102 to 104 every single year. Basically one full standard deviation above the mean i.e. plus command.
  15. Laika
    That could be part of the explanation for sure. His movement profiles and velo look mostly the same between 2020 and now. But we know league-wide velo is up in the last 5 years. This chart is MLB avg fastball velo by year and inning. Can see that in 2020 his FB would have been a tick above avg and now it is a tick below.
  16. Laika
    But this is all level 1 public information Who is going to take on that contract for a guy who is running on stuff fumes and surviving mostly on good command?
  17. Laika
    Jose Berrios Stuff+ from 2020 through 2024 Fastball 101, 88, 83, 96, 82 Sinker 120, 104, 92, 92, 86 Curveball 155, 130, 115, 116, 107 Overall 121, 108, 95, 100, 92 uhhhhhhhhhh what is going on bros his velo is barely down or not down at all in that span. he is only 30. hello, Pete Walker? TJS incoming or something?
  18. Laika
    Worst throw attempt I have ever seen from an MLB SS
  19. Laika
    Should have kept Mayza around to help with the tank tbh "we are very confident that the talent is there for Tim Mayza to turn it around" - Ross Atkins
  20. Laika
    Tidy piece of work there. Best player hits the IL and we also get a look at arguably the best MLB ready prospect in the org (unless you still like Tiedemann the glass cannon...) Team Tank will be very happy.
  21. Laika
    But we all choose what numbers to look at Every projection system still says 100 wRC+ or better His BABIP, LD%, HR/FB%, and Bunt Hint success rate are all below his career norms, expectations, and projections at the moment. Some or all of that deviation is probably just noise.
  22. Laika
    The one thing that has been true about Varsho is that just when everyone and their mom starts to hate him because he looks utterly hopeless with the stick he goes on some kind of homer binge or has like 7 bunt hits and diving catches in a week
  23. Laika
    Yeah but we can thread the needle and have the best of all worlds if all of those guys figure it out and look awesome but then have season ending oblique strains
  24. Laika
    fire sale even if they don't sell the Gausman, Berrios, Vlad, Bo group maybe we get a lucky Gausman dead arm IL tiny. Broken toe for Vlad. Sprained hair for Bo.
  25. Laika
    He does not hit the ball hard often enough but he CAN nuke it and since he has such an extreme FB rate and pull rate he's basically just a dice roll at a home run every time he is at the plate Pretty s***** tbh but that kind of approach is always going to be very unstable, subject to all kinds of swings in batted ball luck or LD rate or HR rate. Still could end up as Kyle Schwarber lite with the stick at some point.
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