Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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I don't think you know what literally means. Not really. It's one outing. SSS The very base level principles still apply. The coefficients and the significant values just need to be tweaked, or figured out again. The kid has like, 60 career innings. I'd rather assume his true talent is 9/10ths of the way towards his FIP, then put on my theory induced blindness goggles and call him "hittable".
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New Forum tips and hints, as well as your suggestions
Laika replied to TheHurl's topic in Jays Centre Issues & Suggestions
It's buggy. Most of the time I have to refresh the page to see them, when they've been posted correctly. -
What an absurd thing to pull out of your buttocks. Sure they do. Doesn't mean the run values of events are the same. The "FIP" or whatever might need to be tweaked, but DIPS would still matter. The biggest obstacle is by the time you obtain a meaningful sample size, with kids that age, they've probably developed and changed their true talent level. Still, it's better than ERA or whatever. And yeah, one inning of # of hits given up is completely meaningless.
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Anyone else suddenly feel like some waffles?
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http://i93.photobucket.com/albums/l75/obie19/Hockey%20GIFs/tumblr_lkt0v27Tv21qchnhv_zps305a237f.gif
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http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/2619467/bostonwins_medium.gif
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Leafs fans are used to being disappointed. This year, you guys got CRUSHED. I feel bad.
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hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
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Jesus H Christ, it was tongue in cheek.
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Can't wait until they rush Nolin to the big leagues this summer and he blows his arm out!
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Good thing I didn't start him in fantasy!
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Makes no sense, unless he's going handle deep. Nightsticks are so smooth.
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He's nothing special. Definitely not much more than a back end SP right now. But he's still an upgrade at some SP slot for like, 95% of the league. I get trading him for a good Holds guy if you have the depth. But I just don't get handing someone the extra value in the picks. I don't care though so lets stop talking about this don't even respond plz just let me have the last word k.
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Yeah it's not a big deal at all. Comes and goes, but even when it lags the delays aren't brutal.
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Of course it's a category. You're still wrong though. For some perturbed reason you think that past ERA is more predictive of future ERA than DIPS is, because all of a sudden fantasy baseball is a different thing or whatever, some asinine theater where past DIPS is worthy of the trash can and an ERA sample the size of one or two seasons is king s***.
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lol. ERA ftw.
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I made a mental note to put a waiver claim in on him, but then I was too busy and forgot Um. Wat. That seems kind of dumb. Not even sure how to approach a rebuttal... there are several weird limbs sticking out of that reasoning.
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I like how 200 innings is enough to prove that someone is a DIPS buster. The "losing his rotation spot" argument might be legitimate. I'm not really following lots of these stories this year with the same type of fantasy slanted hawk eye that I have in the past. I have no idea what they're doing in Boston. I don't think I own a single Boston pitcher in any of my leagues.
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Really, all you'd be asking is "do worse pitchers have shorter / more shallow peaks?". And the answer, in general, would be "of course". A pitcher with a 7 k/9 and a 3.5 BB/9 = very mediocre, and possibly quite s***** depending on other peripherals like GB%. In general, a pitcher with a lower walk rate is better. Better pitchers can decline a bit and still be given opportunities, since they're still effective relative to replacement level. Pitchers who walk more hitters, in general, are worse. When they start to decline they lose opportunities fast. Their peaks would be shorter and end more abruptly. But that doesn't mean that their talent peaks are any more shallow. They'd just cross a threshold of opportunity.
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I dunno. Joba? DO? It's not so much that they're always sitting there in the FA pool, it's just that new opportunities pop up fairly frequently as guys get hurt, demoted, whatever.
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A) 3.87 xFIP in 228.2 career innings = effective. It's irrelevant how many guys he walks. That's not enough innings to throw DIPS out the window and look at his ERA. I would've dropped Porcello before him if I were you. So what? The predictive value of last year's Holds total is basically nil. Mitchell Boggs was 3rd in baseball and now he's dead. KRod was fifth and he's terrible. Holds are fleeting no matter how many a guy had last year, and they are a totally waiver-wire acquirable commodity. You got tangibly more value in this trade, but as has already been said, it's pretty irrelevant.
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Ok, now I'm starting to feel some lag on this board. Maybe some upgrades are necessary?
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What is your MiLB.TV info? I always forget it. Email it to me bro
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Really, this is just Ricky reverting to what he has been for most of his career. The period of aberration was the 2 or 3 years he had as a good MLB SP. Right now he's just being the same guy that he was through 5 years or whatever in the minors. He peaked sharply, but it was fleeting.
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It definitely is until we fully fill out our minor league systems. I got Tony Cingrani for a middle of the pack waiver priority (I think). That seems like a case in point to me.
